Paul Demeny
Biographic Data
| ID | 83065 |
|---|---|
| NAME | Paul Demeny |
| GIVEN NAMES | Paul |
| FAMILY NAME | Demeny |
| SIGNATURE | DEMENY P |
| AFFILIATIONS | Population Council |
| VERIFIED | No |
| TOTAL WORKS | 58 |
| TOTAL CITATIONS | 212 |
| AUTHOR COUNT | 58 |
| EDITOR COUNT | 0 |
| FIRST PUBLICATION YEAR | 1961 |
| LATEST PUBLICATION YEAR | 2016 |
| H-INDEX | 7 |
Europe's Two Demographic Crises
Sub-replacement fertility in national populations
This paper comments on the four main functions demographers perform: fact-finding, analysis, prediction, and policymaking. Successes in the first two of these are counterbalanced by weakness in predictive ability. The focus of the comments, however, is on policy. Demographers were influential in promoting efforts to lower very high fertility but are ineffectual in proposing policies that could reverse the tendency of fertility to sink well below …
Geopolitical Aspects of Population in the Twenty-First Century
Over the second half of the twentieth century rapid population growth in the less developed countries has redrawn the global demographic map. Many once-poor countries have also experienced strong economic growth, which in combination with the demographic change has yielded marked shifts in the world's economic balance, with far-reaching geopolitical implications. At the same time, low fertility in much of the developed world presages a future of …
Population Policy and the Demographic Transition
World Population 1950–2000
The Political Demography of the World System, 2000-2050
Population Futures for the Next Three Hundred Years
The long-range population projections of the United Nations issued in 2003 span three centuries and are elaborated for all countries of the world according to the present-day political map. This note discusses the merits and limitations of this ambitious enterprise. The numerical implications of various contrasting assumptions concerning fertility, in combination with single hypothetical future schedules of mortality and international migration, …
Population Policy Dilemmas in Europe at the Dawn of the Twenty‐First Century
The article discusses issues raised by persistent below‐replacement fertility in Europe. The continent's demographic predicament is highlighted by comparing age structures and relative population sizes between populations in and outside Europe—such as those of Russia and Yemen and those of an enlarged 25‐country European Union and a 25‐country hinterland to the EU in North Africa and West Asia—during the past 50 years and prospectively up to 2050…
Prospects for international migration
Short Reviews
Books reviewed in this article: Tom Athanasiou, Divided Planet: The Ecology of Rich and Poor Ester Boserup, My Professional Life and Publications 1929–1998 Joachim von Braun, Tesfaye Tekxu, and Patrick Webb, Famine in Africa: Causes, Responses, and Prevention John Brotchie, Peter Newton, Peter Hall, and John Dickey (eds.), East West Perspectives on 21st Century Urban Development: Sustainable Eastern and Western Cities in the New Millennium Alex d…
Georges Demeny, pionnier du cinema
The Earthscan Reader in Population and Development (US edition title)
Resources and Population
Since the beginning of the twentieth century, the world's population has increased threefold. The revolution has not only changed the size of the population; it is radically transforming its age structure and its spatial distribution, with attendant problems and contradictions. Despite measurable advances in human welfare, such as increased longevity, more than one billion people - about one third of the total population of the Third World - live…
Policies Seeking a Reduction of High Fertility
IT IS A COMMON CLAIM in contemporary documents discussing national strategies concerning population change that policies aimed at reducing high fertility comprise two components. One addresses supply-the means that enable individuals or individual couples to control their fertility (family planning programs). The other component addresses promoting economic and social development to ensure that demand for the services provided by family planning …
The British Population
This book is a general account of the contemporary population of Britain. It describes the demographic characteristics of the British people...[and] offers explanations for some of the patterns and trends. It suggests where the trends may be going and why they may be important. Sections are included on historical and current population trends population distribution fertility marriage patterns households and families mortality trends and differen…
Population Matters
Global population trends
Tradeoffs Between Human Numbers and Material Standards of Living
Paul Demeny, Tradeoffs Between Human Numbers and Material Standards of Living, Population and Development Review, Vol. 16, Supplement: Resources, Environment, and Population: Present Knowledge, Future Options (1990), pp. 408-421
World Population Trends
Essay| January 01 1989 World Population Trends Paul Demeny Paul Demeny Distinguished Scholar, The Population Council Paul Demeny, an economist and demographer, is Distinguished Scholar at The Population Council, New York. He is editor of the quarterly journal Population and Development Review. Search for other works by this author on: This Site PubMed Google Scholar Current History (1989) 88 (534): 17–19. https://doi.org/10.1525/curh.1989.88.534.…
The Cassandra Conference
Varieties
La revanche du tiers-monde
Comparative Patterns of Economic Development, 1860-1914
Rural Development, Population Growth, and the International System
Paul Demeny, Rural Development, Population Growth, and the International System, Population and Development Review, Vol. 15, Supplement: Rural Development and Population: Institutions and Policy (1989), pp. 345-365
Comparative World Data
Population Policy Dilemmas in Europe at the Dawn of the Twenty‐First Century
The article discusses issues raised by persistent below‐replacement fertility in Europe. The continent's demographic predicament is highlighted by comparing age structures and relative population sizes between populations in and outside Europe—such as those of Russia and Yemen and those of an enlarged 25‐country European Union and a 25‐country hinterland to the EU in North Africa and West Asia—during the past 50 years and prospectively up to 2050…
Social Science and Population Policy
IN THE MID19 50s, ON THE INITIATIVE OF THE National Science Foundation, a series of massive surveys was undertaken assemble an adequate body of fact about the current status of science in the United States. In the field of population, the product was The Study of Population, a volume of nearly 900 closely printed pages, published in 1959. To today's reader perhaps surprisingly, of the book's 33 chapters none was devoted to population policy. This…
On the End of the Population Explosion
Population projections have proliferated in the last decade or 2 yet the publics fascination with population projections and the policymakers demand for them continues unabated. Recent contributors to forecasting population are Donald J. Bogue and Amy Ong Tsui. Their findings the nature of the supporting arguments and their policy conclusions single their work out for more than routine attention. Their results vary markedly with results derived f…
Pronatalist Policies in Low-Fertility Countries
Paul Demeny, Pronatalist Policies in Low-Fertility Countries: Patterns, Performance, and Prospects, Population and Development Review, Vol. 12, Supplement: Below-Replacement Fertility in Industrial Societies: Causes, Consequences, Policies (1986), pp. 335-358
Population and the invisible hand
This paper discusses the validity of the belief that the invisible hand can work to shape population processes. It also comments on the contemporary policy agenda and the debates that surround it. The outcome of the invisible hand is an uncoordinated social process based on the self-seeking actions of a multitude of independent agents. Demographic change becomes a matter for public concern whenever it can plausibly be assumed that such modificati…
Re-Linking Fertility Behavior and Economic Security in Old Age
This note discusses the case for and outlines the broad contours of an institutional innovation that developed countries might wish to consider if they are confronted with the prospect of sustained below-replacement level fertility. The proposed institutional reform stays within the frame of reference of the armamentarium of pronatalist policies now applied or contemplated in highly developed countries with below-replacement fertility insofar as …
Policies Seeking a Reduction of High Fertility
IT IS A COMMON CLAIM in contemporary documents discussing national strategies concerning population change that policies aimed at reducing high fertility comprise two components. One addresses supply-the means that enable individuals or individual couples to control their fertility (family planning programs). The other component addresses promoting economic and social development to ensure that demand for the services provided by family planning …
Population Policy and the Demographic Transition
The Political Demography of the World System, 2000-2050
A Perspective on Long-Term Population Growth
This paper presents some of the results of projections prepared by the World Bank in 1983 for all the worlds countries. The projections (presented against a background of recent demographic trends as estimated by the United Nations) trace the approach of each individual country to a stationary state. Implications of the underlying fertility and mortality assumptions are shown mainly in terms of time trends of total population to the year 2100 ann…
On the End of the Population Explosion
Focus is on the substantive issues raised in the Reply to this authors criticism of the propositions expounded by Bogue and Tsu on world fertility trends their causes and policy implications and the prospects for zero population growth. The discussion is organized around 4 main topics -- world population in the year 2000 estimates of recent fertility decline explaining fertility decline and the case for family planning programs. The 5.88 billion …
Population Policy
Issues of population policy are brought into sharper focus through an examination of the rationales for and types of governmental action. Governments are providers of public goods: this function may include the design and execution of suitable measures to modify demographic behavior. In particular through public intervention members of a society may be able to secure for themselves a higher level of welfare by correcting situations in which some …
Investment allocation and population growth
Coneidérase por 10 general que el objetivo mas importante de los programas de desarrollo económico es el aumento del ingreso por habitante. Aunque por dejinición las variaciones del ingreso por habitante están determinadas por las variaciones del agregado ingreso y población, el «manejo» consciente de la variable población con el objeto de alcanzar mayores aumentos del ingreso por habitante, considérase que se escapa comunmente del dominio propio…
World Population 1950–2000
Observations on Population Policy and Population Program in Bangladesh
The demographic target of Bangladesh population program is reduction of the population growth rate from 3% per annum to 2.8% between FY75 and FY78 and plans envisage a sizable delivery system with emphasis on modern contraceptive technology. In terms of the largely peasant culture and poor economic conditions of the country capital investment will be high per births averted and the program will compete for goods already in short supply. Estimates…
A reconsideration of negro-white mortality differentials in the United States
Este trabajo resume los resultados de una investigacion sabre la validez de las dijcrcnciales de mortalidad entre blancos y neqros, como se preseniasi en las tables de vida oficiales desde el inicio del siglo. En primer lugar, se ha derivado niveles de mortalidad y diferenciales por encima de la primera infancia sin usar los registros oiiales exisienies, mediante la interpretacion de series acumulativas de tasas de sobrevida dediez años, implicit…
Geopolitical Aspects of Population in the Twenty-First Century
Over the second half of the twentieth century rapid population growth in the less developed countries has redrawn the global demographic map. Many once-poor countries have also experienced strong economic growth, which in combination with the demographic change has yielded marked shifts in the world's economic balance, with far-reaching geopolitical implications. At the same time, low fertility in much of the developed world presages a future of …
Bucharest, Mexico City, and Beyond
Estimation of Vital Rates for Populations in the Process of Destabilization
El empleo de técnicae de estimaciones estoblee requiere idealmente que la población se encuenire en un esiado de perfecta estabilidad. Sabido es que en la práctica esta condición rara vez se cumple, aunque por lo qeneral se toleran pequeñas desoiaciones de la estabilidad. Sin embargo, no seha prestado suficiente atención a la conveniencia de definir los limites de las desoiacionee permieiblee y de cuantificar los sesgos que en las estimaciones es…
Europe's Two Demographic Crises
The Population of Tropical Africa
Sub-replacement fertility in national populations
This paper comments on the four main functions demographers perform: fact-finding, analysis, prediction, and policymaking. Successes in the first two of these are counterbalanced by weakness in predictive ability. The focus of the comments, however, is on policy. Demographers were influential in promoting efforts to lower very high fertility but are ineffectual in proposing policies that could reverse the tendency of fertility to sink well below …
Population Futures for the Next Three Hundred Years
The long-range population projections of the United Nations issued in 2003 span three centuries and are elaborated for all countries of the world according to the present-day political map. This note discusses the merits and limitations of this ambitious enterprise. The numerical implications of various contrasting assumptions concerning fertility, in combination with single hypothetical future schedules of mortality and international migration, …
Prospects for international migration
The Demography of Tropical Africa
The Economics of Government Payments to Limit Population
Introduction
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Investment allocation and population growth
Coneidérase por 10 general que el objetivo mas importante de los programas de desarrollo económico es el aumento del ingreso por habitante. Aunque por dejinición las variaciones del ingreso por habitante están determinadas por las variaciones del agregado ingreso y población, el «manejo» consciente de la variable población con el objeto de alcanzar mayores aumentos del ingreso por habitante, considérase que se escapa comunmente del dominio propio…
Estimation of Vital Rates for Populations in the Process of Destabilization
El empleo de técnicae de estimaciones estoblee requiere idealmente que la población se encuenire en un esiado de perfecta estabilidad. Sabido es que en la práctica esta condición rara vez se cumple, aunque por lo qeneral se toleran pequeñas desoiaciones de la estabilidad. Sin embargo, no seha prestado suficiente atención a la conveniencia de definir los limites de las desoiacionee permieiblee y de cuantificar los sesgos que en las estimaciones es…
A reconsideration of negro-white mortality differentials in the United States
Este trabajo resume los resultados de una investigacion sabre la validez de las dijcrcnciales de mortalidad entre blancos y neqros, como se preseniasi en las tables de vida oficiales desde el inicio del siglo. En primer lugar, se ha derivado niveles de mortalidad y diferenciales por encima de la primera infancia sin usar los registros oiiales exisienies, mediante la interpretacion de series acumulativas de tasas de sobrevida dediez años, implicit…
The Demography of Tropical Africa
The Population of Tropical Africa
The Demography of Tropical Africa
Asian Universities and Population Policy
A conference held in April 1972 in Jogjakarta Indonesia brought together the heads or senior representatives from 20 leading Asian universities to discuss the universities role in population policy. The main attention of the conference was devoted to an examination of the functions and organizational aspects of universities with respect to formation and execution of national population policies. Research into the socioeconomic determinants of fam…
Population Policy
Issues of population policy are brought into sharper focus through an examination of the rationales for and types of governmental action. Governments are providers of public goods: this function may include the design and execution of suitable measures to modify demographic behavior. In particular through public intervention members of a society may be able to secure for themselves a higher level of welfare by correcting situations in which some …
Observations on Population Policy and Population Program in Bangladesh
The demographic target of Bangladesh population program is reduction of the population growth rate from 3% per annum to 2.8% between FY75 and FY78 and plans envisage a sizable delivery system with emphasis on modern contraceptive technology. In terms of the largely peasant culture and poor economic conditions of the country capital investment will be high per births averted and the program will compete for goods already in short supply. Estimates…
Population Policy and the International Donor Community
On the End of the Population Explosion
Focus is on the substantive issues raised in the Reply to this authors criticism of the propositions expounded by Bogue and Tsu on world fertility trends their causes and policy implications and the prospects for zero population growth. The discussion is organized around 4 main topics -- world population in the year 2000 estimates of recent fertility decline explaining fertility decline and the case for family planning programs. The 5.88 billion …
On the End of the Population Explosion
Population projections have proliferated in the last decade or 2 yet the publics fascination with population projections and the policymakers demand for them continues unabated. Recent contributors to forecasting population are Donald J. Bogue and Amy Ong Tsui. Their findings the nature of the supporting arguments and their policy conclusions single their work out for more than routine attention. Their results vary markedly with results derived f…
The North-South Income Gap
Picture the map of the world as popularized by the cover of the recent report of the Brandt Commission on international development issues. A line is drawn on the map that, following it from west to east, runs along the southern borders and shores of the United States, Europe, the Soviet Union, and Japan. The line then swings down to enclose the continent of Australia along with New Zealand into a tenuous geographic brotherhood with the globe's u…
Headbirths or The Germans Are Dying Out
Equality, the Third World, and Economic Delusion
The Coming Boom
Regional Model Life Tables and Stable Populations
A Perspective on Long-Term Population Growth
This paper presents some of the results of projections prepared by the World Bank in 1983 for all the worlds countries. The projections (presented against a background of recent demographic trends as estimated by the United Nations) trace the approach of each individual country to a stationary state. Implications of the underlying fertility and mortality assumptions are shown mainly in terms of time trends of total population to the year 2100 ann…
Population on the World Agenda, 1984
Thise comments and remarks were fomulated in 1974 during a panel discussion which was part of the program for the Population Tribune a nongovernmental meeting organized in parallel with the 1st UN World Population Conference at Bucharest. The panelists discussed the ways in which they expected the deliberations of a similarly conceived international conference taking place 10 years after Bucharest would differ from those of the 1974 meeting. The …
World Population Prospects
World Population Projections 1984
This edition of World Population Projections contains an up-to-date assessment of demographic prospects through the year 2150. From data available as of early 1994, demographic profiles were drawn for 206 countries, economies and territories, including separate projections for the countries of the former Soviet Union. These detailed projections show total population by age and sex, birth and death rates, migration levels, population growth, ferti…
Bucharest, Mexico City, and Beyond
Population and the invisible hand
This paper discusses the validity of the belief that the invisible hand can work to shape population processes. It also comments on the contemporary policy agenda and the debates that surround it. The outcome of the invisible hand is an uncoordinated social process based on the self-seeking actions of a multitude of independent agents. Demographic change becomes a matter for public concern whenever it can plausibly be assumed that such modificati…
Sociology (42 works) · Population (37 works) · Demography (36 works) · Political science (33 works) · Economics (24 works) · Geography (19 works) · Development economics (15 works) · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management (15 works) · Economic growth (14 works) · Law (11 works)