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Beyond the Toxic Trio

Exploring Demand Typologies in Children’s Social Care

Bibliographic Data

ID10897253
AuthorsR Hood (0000-0002-4134-4892, Faculty of Health, Social Care and Education, Kingston University, and St Georges, University of London, Kingston Hill, Kingston-Upon-Thames, KT2 7LB, UK, corresponding author), Allie Goldacre (Faculty of Health, Social Care and Education, Kingston University, and St Georges, University of London, Kingston Hill, Kingston-Upon-Thames, KT2 7LB, UK), Calum Jr Webb (0000-0001-7521-2110, University of Sheffield), Paul Bywaters (0000-0002-6375-6222, University of Huddersfield), Sarah Gorin (0000-0002-0721-3880, Faculty of Health, Social Care and Education, Kingston University, and St Georges, University of London, Kingston Hill, Kingston-Upon-Thames, KT2 7LB, UK), Keith Clements (0000-0001-8183-4987, National Children’s Bureau, 23 Mentmore Terrace, Hackney, London, E8 3PN, UK)
Year2021
Volume51
Issue6
Pages1942-1962
Publication date2021-10-02
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe British Journal of Social Work (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0045-3102 • E-ISSN: 1468-263X
PublisherOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/bjsw/bcab058
OpenAlexW3151247816
LanguageEN
Citations received12
References cited20

Demand for children’s social care is often conflated with rates of intervention and associated with a limited constellation of parental risk factors. This article reports on a more comprehensive picture of demand obtained through a quantitative study of child welfare interventions in England. Longitudinal child-level data were combined from children’s social care services in six English local authorities over a four-year period (2015–2018). Latent class analysis was undertaken for a random sample of child episodes where an assessment was undertaken (n = 15,000). The results were tested for consistency across LAs and to identify the most appropriate number of classes. Conditional probabilities were used to interpret the demand represented by each class, and to explore the relationship between typologies and child characteristics such as age, gender and ethnicity. The analysis found seven classes, or typologies of demand, to be present in factors at assessment across all the LAs, which were linked to certain child characteristics and intervention pathways. The findings go beyond the ‘toxic trio’ terminology often used to profile risks to children and support the innovative use of administrative data to provide insight into patterns of demand. Implications are discussed for strategic responses to child welfare problems and the multi-agency context of prevention

Actuarial science · Agency (philosophy) · Consistency (knowledge bases) · Context (archaeology) · Developmental psychology · Economics · Ethnic group · Geography · Intervention (counseling) · Latent class model · Psychological intervention · Sample (material) · Social science · Sociology · Typology · Welfare · Child Abuse and Trauma · Child and Adolescent Health · Computer Science · Homelessness and Social Issues · Psychology

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  • Implementing Schwartz Rounds in children's social care

    Open Access•David Wilkins, Sarah Thompson et al.•Journal of Social Work•2025

  • Un/mothering

    Open Access•Brenda Herbert•Feminist Review•2026

  • A Risk or a Buffer? The Dual Role of Poverty in Community Perceptions of Child Protection Demand

    Open Access•Ning Zhu, Juulia Hietamäki et al.•Child & Family Social Work•2025

  • The Physical and Mental Health of Mothers of Aboriginal Children in Out‐of‐Home Care in Western Australia

    Open Access•Fernando Lima, Melissa O’donnell et al.•Australian Journal of Social Issues•2025

  • Domestic violence and abuse in local child safeguarding policy

    Open Access•Alexander Russell, Keith Clements et al.•Health & Social Care in the…•2022

  • Parental risk factors and children entering out-of-home care

    Open Access•Nell Warner, Jonathan Scourfield et al.•Children and Youth Services Review•2024

  • Determinants of receiving child protection and welfare services following initial assessment

    Open Access•Donna O’Leary, Donna O'Leary et al.•Children and Youth Services Review•2024

  • Macro-level predictors of child removals

    Open Access•Timo Toikko, Aleksandra Gaweł et al.•Children and Youth Services Review•2024

  • Responding to Domestic and Family Violence

    Open Access•Christine Ablaza, Ella Kuskoff et al.•The British Journal of Social Work•2023

  • Categorising Demand for Child Welfare Services Using Latent Class Analysis

    Open Access•R Hood, Allie Goldacre et al.•The British Journal of Social Work•2023

  • Intervention Pathways following a Social Work Assessment

    Open Access•R Hood, Allie Goldacre et al.•The British Journal of Social Work•2024

  • Improving Policing

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  • Latent Class Cluster Analysis

    Open Access•Jeroen K Vermunt, Jay Magidson•Applied Latent Class Analysis•2002

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    Open Access•Paul Bywaters, Jonathan Scourfield et al.•Journal of Social Work•2020

  • Deciding on the Number of Classes in Latent Class Analysis and Growth Mixture Modeling

    Karen Nylund‐gibson, Karen L Nylund et al.•Structural Equation Modeling: A…•2007

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    Open Access•Mark Thomas, Mary O’hara et al.•Austerity Bites•2014

  • The Character of Harms

    Open Access•Malcolm K Sparrow•Character of Harms•2008

  • Social work, poverty, and child welfare interventions

    Open Access•Kristal Morris, Will Mason et al.•Child & Family Social Work•2018

  • Austerity bites

    Kate Mattheys•Disability & Society•2014

  • The ‘toxic trio’ (domestic violence, substance misuse and mental ill-health)

    Open Access•Guy C M Skinner, Paul Bywaters et al.•Children and Youth Services Review•2021

  • Untangling child welfare inequalities and the ‘Inverse Intervention Law’ in England

    Open Access•Calum Jr Webb, Paul Bywaters et al.•Children and Youth Services Review•2020

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    S Rogowski•The British Journal of Social Work•2014

  • Referrals and Child Protection in England

    Andy Bilson, Katie E C Martin•The British Journal of Social Work•2017

  • Screen, Ration and Churn

    Open Access•R Hood, Allie Goldacre et al.•The British Journal of Social Work•2020

  • Austerity, rationing and inequity

    Calum Jr Webb, Paul Bywaters•Local Government Studies•2018

Unique citing works12
Citations per year3
Citation span2022 - 2026 (5)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 11
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