Reconstructing Earth's surface temperature over the past 2000 years
The science behind the headlines
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 12929477 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Jason E Smerdon (0000-0001-6276-0249, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, corresponding author), Henry N Pollack (University of Michigan) |
| Year | 2016 |
| Volume | 7 |
| Issue | 5 |
| Pages | 746-771 |
| Publication date | 2016-06-24 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews Climate Change (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1757-7780 • E-ISSN: 1757-7799 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1002/wcc.418 |
| OpenAlex | W2461294398 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 4 |
| References cited | 196 |
The last quarter century spans the publication of the first assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change in 1990 and the latest report published in 2013–2014. The five assessment reports appearing over that interval reveal a marked increase in the number of paleoclimate studies addressing the climate of the last 2000 years (the Common Era). An important focus of this work has been on reconstruction of hemispheric and global temperatures. Several early studies in this area generated considerable scientific and public interest, and were followed by high‐profile and sometimes vitriolic debates about the magnitude of temperature changes over all or part of the Common Era and their comparison to 20th‐ and 21st‐century global temperature increases due to increasing levels of atmospheric greenhouse gases. Behind the more public debates, however, several consistent themes of scientific inquiry have developed to better characterize climate variability and change over the Common Era. These include attempts to collect more climate proxy archives and understand the signals they contain, improve the statistical methods used to estimate past temperature variability from proxies and their associated uncertainties, and to compare reconstructed temperature variability and change with climate model simulations. All of these efforts are driving a new age of research on the climate of the Common Era that is developing more cohesive and collaborative investigations into the dynamics of climate on time scales of decades to centuries, and an understanding of the implications for modeled climate projections of the future. WIREs Clim Change 2016, 7:746–771. doi: 10.1002/wcc.418 This article is categorized under: Paleoclimates and Current Trends > Paleoclimate
Climate change · Climate model · Climate science · Climatology · Earth system science · Geography · Global temperature · Global warming · Greenhouse gas · Meteorology · Paleoclimatology · Proxy (statistics · Climate variability and models · Computer Science · Environmental Science · Geology and Paleoclimatology Research · Tree-ring climate responses · Geology
Dendroclimatology and Dendroecology
Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era
Quantifying uncertainties in global and regional temperature change using an ensemble of observational estimates
Ridge Regression
Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia
Global-scale temperature patterns and climate forcing over the past six centuries
Sparse inverse covariance estimation with the graphical lasso
Annual climate variability in the Holocene
Unprecedented 21st century drought risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains
Asian Monsoon Failure and Megadrought During the Last Millennium
Low-Frequency Signals in Long Tree-Ring Chronologies for Reconstructing Past Temperature Variability
North American drought
Proxy-based reconstructions of hemispheric and global surface temperature variations over the past two millennia
Uncertainty in climate change projections
The early medieval warm epoch and its sequel
Extracting a Climate Signal from 169 Glacier Records
Northern hemisphere temperatures during the past millennium
Climate over past millennia
Was the Medieval Warm Period Global?
Highly variable Northern Hemisphere temperatures reconstructed from low- and high-resolution proxy data
Fennoscandian summers from ad 500
Global Signatures and Dynamical Origins of the Little Ice Age and Medieval Climate Anomaly
Regression Shrinkage and Selection Via the Lasso
European summer temperatures since Roman times
Simulation of air and ground temperatures in PMIP3/CMIP5 last millennium simulations
A noodle, hockey stick, and spaghetti plate
Climate models as a test bed for climate reconstruction methods
North American megadroughts in the Common Era
High-resolution palaeoclimatic records for the last millennium
Little Ice Age' summer temperature variations
Alternative methods of proxy-based climate field reconstruction
The 'segment length curse' in long tree-ring chronology development for palaeoclimatic studies
Ice Ages
| Unique citing works | 4 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 0,4 |
| Citation span | 2016 - 2025 (10) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 3 |