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How accurate are the prices in the British colonial Blue Books

Bibliographic Data

ID13028346
AuthorsTom Westland (0000-0002-5075-9301, University of Cambridge, corresponding author)
Year2021
Volume37
Issue1
Pages75-99
Publication date2021-08-19
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueEconomic History of Developing Regions (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2078-0389 • E-ISSN: 2078-0397
PublisherTaylor & Francis (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/20780389.2021.1959314
OpenAlexW3193765275
LanguageEN
Citations received6
References cited35

Despite the widespread use of the British colonial Blue Books as a statistical source, there has been little investigation of their reliability. This article compares retail price reports in the Blue Books with annual averages constructed from weekly market reports published in four colonial African newspapers. It finds that the Blue Books can sometimes be an unreliable guide to staple prices, with the median error in the order of 25%, though some series are reasonably accurate and some are very inaccurate. Estimating annual averages was complicated by high price volatility and seasonality. In a simulation, the article shows that colonial officials would have usually needed to gather price quotations reasonably frequently in order to be likely to obtain accurate annual averages. A new effort to find non-official sources for prices, especially for staples, and for the early colonial period, would help to refine estimates of living standards and agricultural market dynamics in colonial Africa

Advertising · Business · Colonialism · Econometrics · Economics · Newspaper · Order (exchange · Volatility (finance · Colonialism, slavery, and trade · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Historical Economic and Social Studies · History · Finance

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Unique citing works6
Citations per year2
Citation span2023 - 2026 (4)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 6
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