Beyond crystal balls
Crosscutting solutions in global health to prepare for an unpredictable future
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 15367531 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Wladimir J Alonso (0000-0001-7038-0801, National Institutes of Health, corresponding author), Benjamin JJ McCormick (0000-0002-8060-0502, Fogarty International Center), Benjamin Joseph James McCormick, Mark A Miller (0000-0001-9076-6066, National Institutes of Health), Cynthia Schuck-Paim, Cynthia Schuck‐Paim (0000-0002-9760-7786), Ghassem Asrar (0000-0002-1066-8384, Joint Global Change Research Institute), Ghassem R Asrar |
| Year | 2015 |
| Volume | 15 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 955-955 |
| Publication date | 2015-09-24 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | BMC Public Health (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1471-2458 • E-ISSN: 1471-2458 |
| Publisher | BioMed Central (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1186/s12889-015-2285-1 |
| PMID | 26400682 |
| OpenAlex | W2160217556 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 61 |
We propose a shift from a focus on the prediction of individual disease patterns to the identification and mitigation of broader fragilities in public health systems. Modeling capabilities should be used to perform "stress tests" on how interrelated fragilities respond when faced with a range of possible or plausible threats of different nature and intensity. This system should be able to reveal crosscutting solutions with the potential to address not only one threat, but multiple areas of vulnerability to future health risks. Actionable knowledge not based on a narrow subset of threats and conditions can better guide policy, build societal resilience and ensure effective prevention in an uncertain world
Computer security · Data science · Identification (biology · Management science · Psychological resilience · Public health · Resilience (materials science · Risk analysis (engineering · Risk assessment · Vulnerability (computing · Computer Science · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Engineering · Medicine · Public Health Policies and Education · Zoonotic diseases and public health
The Parable of Google Flu
Global trends in emerging infectious diseases
Hygiene, Sanitation, and Water
Strategies for containing an emerging influenza pandemic in Southeast Asia
An Approach for Assessing Human Health Vulnerability and Public Health Interventions to Adapt to Climate Change
Global, regional, and national causes of child mortality
Global health security
Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 301 acute and chronic diseases and injuries in 188 countries, 1990–2013
Does climate adaptation policy need probabilities?
Predictive habitat distribution models in ecology
Climate change and future populations at risk of malaria
Climate Change
The Earth as Transformed by Human Action. Global and Regional Changes in the Biosphere over the Past 300 Years
Health in All Policies — All Talk and Little Action
Ecosystem approaches to human health
| Citation velocity | historical |
|---|---|
| Highly cited | No |