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Stratospheric contraction caused by increasing greenhouse gases

Bibliographic Data

ID15544827
AuthorsPetr Pišoft (0000-0002-5034-9169, Charles University, corresponding author), Petr Šácha (0000-0001-9707-1750, Charles University, corresponding author), Lorenzo M Polvani (0000-0003-4775-8110, Columbia University), Juan Antonio Añel (0000-0003-2448-4647, Universidade de Vigo), Laura de la Torre (0000-0001-5305-6946, Universidade de Vigo), Roland Eichinger (0000-0001-6872-5700, Charles University), Ulrich Foelsche (0000-0002-9899-6453, University of Graz), Péter Huszár (0000-0001-6287-5337, Charles University), Christoph Jacobi (0000-0002-7878-0110, Leipzig University), Jan Karlický (0000-0002-2936-0785, Charles University), Aleš Kuchař (0000-0002-3672-6626, Charles University), Jiří Mikšovský (0000-0002-5259-2269, Charles University), Michal Žák (0000-0001-8774-2194, Charles University), Harald E Rieder (0000-0003-2705-0801, BOKU University)
Year2021
Volume16
Issue6
Pages064038-064038
Publication date2021-05-06
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueEnvironmental Research Letters (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326
PublisherIOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1088/1748-9326/abfe2b
OpenAlexW3159691828
LanguageEN
Citations received5
References cited53

Rising emissions of anthropogenic greenhouse gases (GHG) have led to tropospheric warming and stratospheric cooling over recent decades. As a thermodynamic consequence, the troposphere has expanded and the rise of the tropopause, the boundary between the troposphere and stratosphere, has been suggested as one of the most robust fingerprints of anthropogenic climate change. Conversely, at altitudes above ∼55 km (in the mesosphere and thermosphere) observational and modeling evidence indicates a downward shift of the height of pressure levels or decreasing density at fixed altitudes. The layer in between, the stratosphere, has not been studied extensively with respect to changes of its global structure. Here we show that this atmospheric layer has contracted substantially over the last decades, and that the main driver for this are increasing concentrations of GHG. Using data from coupled chemistry-climate models we show that this trend will continue and the mean climatological thickness of the stratosphere will decrease by 1.3 km following representative concentration pathway 6.0 by 2080. We also demonstrate that the stratospheric contraction is not only a response to cooling, as changes in both tropopause and stratopause pressure contribute. Moreover, its short emergence time (less than 15 years) makes it a novel and independent indicator of GHG induced climate change

Atmospheric sciences · Climate change · Climatology · Global warming · Greenhouse gas · Mesosphere · Stratopause · Stratosphere · Tropopause · Troposphere · Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics · Atmospheric chemistry and aerosols · Atmospheric Ozone and Climate · Environmental Science · Geology

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Unique citing works5
Citations per year1
Citation span2021 - 2023 (3)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 5
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