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Estimation of cause-specific mortality in Rakai, Uganda, using verbal autopsy 1999-2019

Bibliographic Data

ID19529972
AuthorsDorean Nabukalu (0000-0002-2680-0669, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, corresponding author), Júlia Almeida Calazans (0000-0002-6215-3251, Universitat Autonòma de Barcelona), Milly Marston (0000-0001-8970-2081, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine), Clara Calvert (0000-0003-3272-1040, University of Edinburgh), Hadijja Nakawooya (0000-0002-0566-547X, Rakai Health Sciences Program), Brendah Nansereko (0009-0005-6077-116X, Rakai Health Sciences Program), Robert Sekubugu (Rakai Health Sciences Program), Gertrude Nakigozi (0000-0001-6193-2790, Rakai Health Sciences Program), David Serwadda (0000-0001-6532-6587, Rakai Health Sciences Program), Nelson K Sewankambo (0000-0001-9362-053X, Rakai Health Sciences Program), Godfrey Kigozi (0009-0008-9142-6870, Rakai Health Sciences Program), Ronald H Gray (0000-0003-1952-6507, Johns Hopkins University), Fred Nalugoda (0000-0001-6119-9293, Rakai Health Sciences Program), Fredrick Makumbi (0000-0002-6460-7325, Rakai Health Sciences Program), Tom Lutalo (0000-0003-3380-1720, Rakai Health Sciences Program), Jim Todd (0000-0001-5918-4914, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine)
Year2024
Volume17
Issue1
Pages2338635-2338635
Publication date2024-12-31
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueGlobal Health Action (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 1654-9716 • E-ISSN: 1654-9880
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/16549716.2024.2338635
PMID38717826
OpenAlexW4396721350
LanguageEN
Citations received2
References cited33

BACKGROUND: There are scant data on the causes of adult deaths in sub-Saharan Africa. We estimated the level and trends in adult mortality, overall and by different causes, in rural Rakai, Uganda, by age, sex, and HIV status. OBJECTIVES: To estimate and analyse adult cause-specific mortality trends in Rakai, Uganda. METHODOLOGY: Mortality information by cause, age, sex, and HIV status was recorded in the Rakai Community Cohort study using verbal autopsy interviews, HIV serosurveys, and residency data. We estimated the average number of years lived in adulthood. Using demographic decomposition methods, we estimated the contribution of each cause of death to adult mortality based on the average number of years lived in adulthood. RESULTS: Between 1999 and 2019, 63082 adults (15-60 years) were censused, with 1670 deaths registered. Of these, 1656 (99.2%) had completed cause of death data from verbal autopsy. The crude adult death rate was 5.60 (95% confidence interval (CI): 5.33-5.87) per 1000 person-years of observation (pyo). The crude death rate decreased from 11.41 (95% CI: 10.61-12.28) to 3.27 (95% CI: 2.89-3.68) per 1000 pyo between 1999-2004 and 2015-2019. The average number of years lived in adulthood increased in people living with HIV and decreased in HIV-negative individuals between 2000 and 2019. Communicable diseases, primarily HIV and Malaria, had the biggest decreases, which improved the average number of years lived by approximately extra 12 years of life in females and 6 years in males. There were increases in deaths due to non-communicable diseases and external causes, which reduced the average number of years lived in adulthood by 2.0 years and 1.5 years in females and males, respectively. CONCLUSION: There has been a significant decline in overall mortality from 1999 to 2019, with the greatest decline seen in people living with HIV since the availability of antiretroviral therapy in 2004. By 2020, the predominant causes of death among females were non-communicable diseases, with external causes of death dominating in males

Autopsy · Cause of death · Disease · Economics · Estimation · Sociology · Verbal autopsy · Demography · Global Health and Epidemiology · Global Maternal and Child Health · HIV/AIDS Impact and Responses · Medicine · Internal Medicine

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    Open Access•Dorean Nabukalu, Tom Lutalo et al.•PLOS Global Public Health•2026

  • Cause-specific mortality transition among women of reproductive age with special reference to maternal mortality

    Open Access•Milly Marston, Sophia Kagoye et al.•Global Health Action•2026

  • Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950–2017

    Open Access•Daniel Dicker, Grant Nguyen et al.•The Lancet•2018

  • Burden of non-communicable diseases in sub-Saharan Africa, 1990–2017

    Open Access•Hebe N Gouda, Fiona J Charlson et al.•The Lancet Global Health•2019

  • Dynamics of life expectancy and life span equality

    Open Access•José Manuel Aburto, Francisco Villavicencio et al.•Proceedings of the National…•2020

  • Measuring causes of adult mortality in rural northern Malawi over a decade of change

    Open Access•Judith R Glynn, Clara Calvert et al.•Global Health Action•2014

  • Upsurge of Homicides and Its Impact on Life Expectancy and Life Span Inequality in Mexico, 2005–2015

    José Manuel Aburto, Hiram Beltran-Sanchez•American Journal of Public Health•2019

  • A decomposition method based on a model of continuous change

    Open Access•Shiro Horiuchi, John R Wilmoth et al.•Demography•2008

  • Lifespan Dispersion in Times of Life Expectancy Fluctuation

    Open Access•José Manuel Aburto, Alyson Van Raalte•Demography•2018

  • Population-level adult mortality following the expansion of antiretroviral therapy in Rakai, Uganda

    Open Access•Dorean Nabukalu, Georges Reniers et al.•Population Studies•2020

Unique citing works2
Citations per year2
Citation span2026 - 2026 (1)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 2
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