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The Covid-pandemic has ended. Again

Bibliographic Data

ID19554348
AuthorsJeroen Oskam (0000-0002-9020-4036, Hotelschool The Hague), Timothy M E Davis (0000-0003-0749-7411, Hotelschool The Hague), Tim Davis (0000-0001-5729-6680)
Year2023
Volume9
Issue1
Pages4-20
Publication date2023-03-29
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueJournal of Tourism Futures (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 2055-5911 • E-ISSN: 2055-592X
PublisherEmerald (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1108/jtf-03-2022-0091
OpenAlexW4281560622
LanguageEN
Citations received1
References cited64

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to discuss the evolving interpretations of the Covid crisis and its impact on hospitality and tourism. Design/methodology/approach Scenario planning paper following Framework Foresight about the Covid pandemic and its impact on hospitality and tourism. Research input was gathered from research reports in different disciplines and discussions with an expert panel. Findings The paper argues that hypothesized recovery scenarios were founded on hope and inaccurate extrapolations, and that hospitality and tourism may head for permanently lower volumes. Research limitations/implications The paper contributes to the debate on tourism resilience and hopeful visions of a sustainable restart. Practical implications Instead of just focusing on direct pandemic impact and that of governmental measures, a third variable of consumer confidence will be decisive, and more important than expected by many initially, in future scenarios for hospitality and tourism. Originality/value The proposed scenarios that were designed with executive level industry input have so far proven more realistic than prevalent views of a swift recovery

Business · Futures studies · Hospitality · Originality · Pandemic · Political science · Psychological resilience · Public relations · Scenario planning · Social science · Sociology · Tourism · Vision · Computer Science · Cruise Tourism Development and Management · Diverse Aspects of Tourism Research · Medicine · Psychology · Social Psychology · Tourism, Volunteerism, and Development · Marketing

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Unique citing works1
Citations per year1
Citation span2025 - 2025 (1)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 1
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