Skip to main content

ETHNOS_APP

Home • Search • Journals • List 0

Advances in Group-Based Trajectory Modeling and an SAS Procedure for Estimating Them

Bibliographic Data

ID2330516
AuthorsBobby L Jones (0000-0003-3290-0663, Carnegie Mellon, Pittsburgh, PA), Daniel S Nagin (0000-0003-0075-1851, Carnegie Mellon, Pittsburgh, PA)
Year2007
Volume35
Issue4
Pages542-571
Publication date2007-05-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueSociological Methods & Research (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0049-1241 • E-ISSN: 1552-8294
PublisherSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0049124106292364
OpenAlexW1997944093
LanguageEN
Citations received167
References cited15

This article is a follow-up to Jones, Nagin, and Roeder (2001), which described an SAS procedure for estimating group-based trajectory models. Group-based trajectory is a specialized application of finite mixture modeling and is designed to identify clusters of individuals following similar progressions of some behavior or outcome over age or time. This article has two purposes. One is to summarize extensions of the methodology and of the SAS procedure that have been developed since Jones et al. The other is to illustrate how group-based trajectory modeling lends itself to presentation of findings in the form of easily understood graphical and tabular data summaries

Data mining · Group (periodic table) · Mathematical economics · Outcome (game theory) · Presentation (obstetrics) · Trajectory · Bayesian Methods and Mixture Models · Computer Science · Mathematics · Statistical Methods and Bayesian Inference · Statistical Methods and Inference

  • Capturing the dynamic nature of stress exposure in the Pittsburgh Girls Study

    Open Access•Kate Keenan, Haoyi Fu et al.•SSM - Population Health•2021

  • Trajectories of neighborhood change

    Open Access•Merle Zwiers•Architecture and the Built…•2018

  • Trajectory analyses of virologic outcomes reflecting community-based HIV treatment in Washington DC 1994–2012

    Open Access•Joanne Michelle F Ocampo, Michael Plankey et al.•BMC Public Health•2015

  • Análisis de las trayectorias de la marginación municipal de México de 1990 a 2010

    Open Access•Delfino Vargas Chanes, Fernando Cortés et al.•Estudios Sociológicos de El…•2014

  • Parental Health and Children's Economic Well-Being

    Open Access•Robert L Wagmiller, Mary Clare Lennon et al.•Journal of Health and Social…•2008

  • Trajectories of affective states in adolescent hockey players

    Patrick Gaudreau, Catherine E Amiot et al.•Developmental Psychology•2009

  • Do trajectories of household risk in childhood moderate pubertal timing effects on substance initiation in middle school

    Sarah D Lynne-Landsman, Sarah D Lynne‐Landsman et al.•Developmental Psychology•2010

  • Combining group-based trajectory modeling and propensity score matching for causal inferences in nonexperimental longitudinal data

    Amelia M Haviland, Amelia Haviland et al.•Developmental Psychology•2008

  • Identifying stable variants of callous-unemotional traits

    Open Access•Natalie Goulter, Eva R Kimonis et al.•Developmental Psychology•2017

  • Early influences and later outcomes associated with developmental trajectories of Eriksonian fidelity

    Aerika Brittian Loyd, Richard M Lerner•Developmental Psychology•2013

  • Depressive symptom trajectories and the association with diabetes and cardiovascular diseases in middle-aged and older Chinese adults

    Open Access•Panpan Huai, Kangning Bao et al.•BMC Public Health•2026

  • Long-term impact of maternal pre-pregnancy BMI on the risk of overweight/obesity in preschool children

    Open Access•Ang Mao, Shuqin Yang et al.•BMC Public Health•2024

  • Trajectories of Substance Use

    Open Access•K J Sittner•Journal of Research on Adolescence•2015

  • Ethnic Identity and Offending Trajectories Among Mexican American Juvenile Offenders

    Open Access•George P Knight, Sandra H Losoya et al.•Journal of Research on Adolescence•2012

  • Acculturation and Enculturation Trajectories Among Mexican‐American Adolescent Offenders

    Open Access•George P Knight, Delfino Vargas Chanes et al.•Journal of Research on Adolescence•2009

  • Trajectories of perceived discrimination from adolescence to emerging adulthood and substance use among Hispanic youth in Los Angeles

    Open Access•Jennifer B Unger, Daniel W Soto et al.•Addictive Behaviors•2015

  • Stability and Change of Moral Disengagement and Its Impact on Aggression and Violence in Late Adolescence

    Open Access•Marinella Paciello, Roberta Fida et al.•Child Development•2008

  • Developmental trajectories of depressive symptoms from early childhood to late adolescence

    Open Access•Marielle C Dekker, Robert F Ferdinand et al.•Journal of Child Psychology and…•2007

  • Trajectories of Disability in the Last Year of Life

    Thomas M Gill, Evelyne A Gahbauer et al.•New England Journal of Medicine•2010

  • An Examination of First and Second Generation Immigrant Offending Trajectories

    Bianca E Bersani•Justice Quarterly•2014

  • “From Your First Cigarette to Your Last Dyin’ Day”

    Open Access•David C Pyrooz•Journal of Quantitative Criminology•2014

  • Methods and Measures

    Open Access•Nilam Ram, Kevin J Grimm•International Journal of…•2009

  • Group-based multi-trajectory modeling

    Open Access•Daniel S Nagin, Bobby L Jones et al.•Statistical Methods in Medical…•2018

  • Social Support, Stressors, and Frailty Among Older Mexican American Adults

    M Kristen Peek, Bret Howrey et al.•The Journals of Gerontology…•2012

  • Foundations of Activity of Daily Living Trajectories of Older Americans

    L G Martins, LINDA G MARTIN et al.•The Journals of Gerontology…•2015

  • Longitudinal Trajectories of Psychological Resilience and Cognitive Impairment Among Older Adults

    Open Access•Peicheng Wang, Ruihua Li et al.•The Journals of Gerontology…•2025

  • Socioeconomic Stratification and Multidimensional Health Trajectories

    Xiao Xu, Jersey Liang et al.•The Journals of Gerontology…•2014

  • The trajectories of depressive symptoms among working adults during the Covid-19 pandemic

    Open Access•Divya Joshi, Andrea Gonzalez et al.•BMC Public Health•2021

  • Late-onset or chronic overweight/obesity predicts low self-esteem in early adolescence

    Open Access•Wei Jie Gong, David Fong et al.•BMC Public Health•2022

  • An investigation of the longitudinal trajectory patterns of health-related quality of life among Australians with disabilities

    Open Access•Rubayyat Hashmi, Byron Keating et al.•Quality of Life Research•2024

  • Developmental Trajectories of Marijuana Use from Adolescence to Adulthood

    Open Access•Judith S Brook, Jung Yeon Lee et al.•Psychological Reports•2011

  • Risk and protective factors for the course of post-traumatic stress disorder in frontline workers after the Christchurch, New Zealand earthquake

    Open Access•Dennis Mcbride, David Mcbride et al.•Disaster Prevention and…•2018

  • Trajectories of Emotional Symptoms and Peer Relationship Problems in Children after Nuclear Disaster

    Open Access•Misari Oe, Masaharu Maeda et al.•International Journal of…•2018

  • Analyzing Trajectories of Acute Cigarette Reduction Post-Introduction of an E-Cigarette Using Ecological Momentary Assessment Data

    Open Access•Alexandra Guttentag, Tuo‐Yen Tseng et al.•International Journal of…•2022

  • Does Work Disability Contribute to Trajectories of Work Participation before and after Vocational Labour Market Training for Job Seekers

    Open Access•Teemu Leinonen, Taina Leinonen et al.•International Journal of…•2021

  • Increasing and Decreasing Alcohol Use Trajectories Among Older Women in the U.S. Across a 10-Year Interval

    Open Access•Janet Kay Bobo, April Greek et al.•International Journal of…•2011

  • Trajectories of Outpatient Service Utilisation of Hypertensive Patients in Tertiary Hospitals in China

    Open Access•Zijing Pan, Wanchun Xu et al.•International Journal of…•2020

  • Sleep duration and quality trajectories during the early days of the Covid-19 pandemic

    Open Access•Anthony Levasseur, Mathieu Pelletier-Dumas et al.•BMC Public Health•2025

  • Exposure to Intimate-Partner Violence and Resilience Trajectories of Adolescents

    Open Access•Dilan Aksoy, Celeste Simões et al.•International Journal of…•2023

  • Work participation trajectories among 1,098,748 Finns

    Open Access•Tea Lallukka, Erkki Kronholm et al.•BMC Public Health•2019

  • Trajectories of seasonal influenza vaccine uptake among French people with diabetes

    Open Access•Aurélie Bocquier, Sébastien Cortaredona et al.•BMC Public Health•2019

  • Beyond what meets the eye

    Open Access•Sahar Ramazan Ali, Éric Lacourse et al.•BMC Public Health•2026

  • Trajectories of Psychopathology Among Youth with Physical Illness

    Open Access•Megan Dol, Dillon T Browne et al.•Child Psychiatry & Human…•2025

  • Student-teacher relationship trajectories and mental health problems in young children

    Open Access•Lauren R Miller-Lewis, Lauren Miller‐Lewis et al.•BMC Psychology•2014

  • How Relationship Satisfaction and Negative Communication Trajectories Change in Emerging Adults’ Dating Relationships

    Open Access•Stéphanie Jolin, Marie-France Lafontaine et al.•Emerging Adulthood•2022

  • The Impact of Parental Incarceration on Sport Participation Trajectories from Adolescence to Young Adulthood

    Open Access•Ji-Won Park, Jiwon Park et al.•International Journal of…•2020

  • Work-Related Exposures and Sickness Absence Trajectories

    Open Access•Tea Lallukka, Leena Kaila‐Kangas et al.•International Journal of…•2019

  • The Pattern of Hemoglobin A1C Trajectories and Risk of Herpes Zoster Infection

    Open Access•Bo‐Lin Pan, Bo-Lin Pan et al.•International Journal of…•2022

  • Testing the effects of a prenatal depression preventive intervention on parenting and young children’s self-regulation and functioning (Epic)

    Open Access•Alicia Diebold, Jessica K Johnson et al.•BMC Public Health•2021

  • Association of Cesarean Birth with Body Mass Index Trajectories in Adolescence

    Open Access•Yunping Zhou, Yanqing Zhang et al.•International Journal of…•2020

  • Association of Life's Essential 8 with all-cause mortality and risk of cancer

    Open Access•Jinguo Jiang, Ning Ning et al.•BMC Public Health•2024

  • Joint Trajectories of Frailty and Cognitive Function in Older Koreans Based on 14‐Year Period Data From Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging ( KLoSA )

    Open Access•Yunkyung Jung, Jiyoung Lyu•Geriatrics and gerontology…•2026

  • The association between international mobility and academic impact

    Open Access•Yi Lü, Bo Yang et al.•Scientometrics•2026

  • Distinct Patterns of Urban-Rural and Sex Disparities in Children's BMI Trajectories From 2013 to 2018

    Open Access•Yunping Zhou, Pengli Yu et al.•Frontiers in Public Health•2021

  • Trajectory of medical expenditure and regional disparities in hypertensive patients in South Korea

    Open Access•Gi-Hyun Kim, Ji-Soo Song et al.•Frontiers in Public Health•2024

  • Multi-trajectories of systolic and diastolic hypertension and coronary heart disease in middle-aged and older adults

    Open Access•Mingzhuo Li, Miao Zhou et al.•Frontiers in Public Health•2022

  • Association of BMI trajectories and healthy aging among Chinese older adults

    Open Access•Xiaodan Kuang, Pan Ding et al.•Frontiers in Public Health•2025

  • Trajectories of liver dysfunction and long-term evacuation status after the great East Japan earthquake

    Open Access•Fumikazu Hayashi, Kyoko Abe et al.•International Journal of Disaster…•2024

  • Tracing Parenthood’s Uneven Impacts

    Open Access•Xiangchen Liu•Journal of Family and Economic…•2026

  • Buprenorphine Adherence Trajectories and Their Impact on Opioid Overdose and Healthcare Costs

    Open Access•Olajumoke A Olateju, Tyler Varisco et al.•Drug and Alcohol Review•2025

  • Prognosticating Offending in Early Adulthood

    Open Access•Thomas A Loughran, Megan Bears Augustyn et al.•Journal of Quantitative Criminology•2024

  • The role of self-compassion in loneliness during the Covid-19 pandemic

    Robin Wollast, David A Preece et al.•Cognition & Emotion•2024

  • Relational Processes as Predictors of Relationship Satisfaction Trajectories Across the Transition to Parenthood

    Open Access•Hagar Ter Kuile, Tanja Van Der Lippe et al.•Family Relations•2021

  • Modeling Heterogeneity in the Long-Term Trajectories of Individuals’ Well-Being

    Open Access•Robin Wollast, Joseph Phillips et al.•Personality and Social Psychology…•2026

  • Trajectories of loneliness across adolescence

    Open Access•Peter Verboon, Elody Hutten et al.•Journal of Adolescence•2022

  • Applying Offending Trajectory Analyses to Men Adjudicated for Child Sexual Exploitation Material Offenses

    Open Access•Kelly M Babchishin, Angela W Eke et al.•Criminal Justice and Behavior•2022

  • Relative strengths in daily living skills among autistic individuals and individuals with related developmental conditions who have co‐occurring intellectual disability

    Open Access•Elaine Clarke, Catherine Lord et al.•Journal of Child Psychology and…•2026

  • Continuity of trajectories of autism symptom severity from infancy to childhood

    Open Access•Martina Franchini, Isabel M Smith et al.•Journal of Child Psychology and…•2023

  • Does the Premium Fit the Risk? The Role of Criminal Escalation in Case Processing

    Open Access•Shi Yan, Jason Walker•Crime & Delinquency•2022

  • Maintaining External Connections During Incarceration

    Open Access•Audrey Hickert•Crime & Delinquency•2022

  • Biopsychosocial Predictors of Couples’ Trajectories of Sexual Function and Sexual Distress Across the Transition to Parenthood

    Open Access•Inês M Tavares, Natalie O Rosen et al.•Archives of Sexual Behavior•2023

  • Men Who Have Sex with Both Men and Women in West Africa

    Open Access•Marion Fiorentino, Bakary Coulibaly et al.•Archives of Sexual Behavior•2024

  • What Has Been Learned from Group-Based Trajectory Modeling? Examples from Physical Aggression and Other Problem Behaviors

    Open Access•Daniel S Nagin, Richard E Tremblay•The Annals of the American…•2005

  • Age Trajectories of Poverty During Childhood and High School Graduation

    Open Access•Dohoon Lee•Sociological Science•2014

  • Successful for whom

    Daren Fisher, Marshall H Becker•Behavioral Sciences of Terrorism…•2023

  • Trajectories of ethnic neighbourhood change

    Open Access•Merle Zwiers, Maarten Van Ham et al.•Population Space and Place•2017

  • The diversity of transitions during early adulthood in the Finnish labour market

    Antti Saloniemi, Janne Salonen et al.•Journal of Youth Studies•2020

  • Longitudinal deprivation trajectories and risk of cardiovascular disease in New Zealand

    Open Access•Nichola Shackleton, Frances Darlington‐pollock et al.•Health & Place•2018

  • Long-term neighborhood ethnic composition and weight-related outcomes among immigrants

    Open Access•Félice Lê-Scherban, Sandra S Albrecht et al.•Health & Place•2019

  • Diverging Neisseria gonorrhoeae Morbidity in Non-Hispanic Black and White Females

    Open Access•Emily Rowlinson, James P Hughes et al.•Journal of Urban Health•2022

  • Developmental Trajectories of Achievement Goal Orientations During the Middle School Transition

    Open Access•Stéphane Duchesne, Catherine F Ratelle et al.•The Journal of Early Adolescence•2013

  • The Interactive Role of Socioeconomic Status, Race/Ethnicity, and Birth Weight on Trajectories of Body Mass Index Growth in Children and Adolescents

    Open Access•Fred Danner, Fred W Danner et al.•The Journal of Early Adolescence•2012

  • Seven-Year Trajectories of Depressive Symptoms and Their Predictors Among Older Americans

    Open Access•Xiaoling Xiang•Journal of Aging and Health•2019

  • Latent Heterogeneity in Long-Term Trajectories of Body Mass Index in Older Adults

    Open Access•Anda Botoseneanu, Jersey Liang•Journal of Aging and Health•2012

  • Quality of Life Trajectories Predict Mortality in Older Men

    Open Access•Philip St John, Philip D St John et al.•Journal of Aging and Health•2016

  • Trajectories of Multiple Behavioral Risk Factors and Their Associations With Cognitive Function Trajectories Among Older African Americans and White Americans

    Open Access•Chien‐Ching Li, Yifan Chen et al.•Journal of Aging and Health•2021

  • Intergenerational transmission of criminal and violent behaviour

    Sytske Besemer•Intergenerational Transmission of…•2013

  • Longitudinal correlation between poverty and mental health trajectories among low-income populations in China

    Siyuan Guo, Sheng Sun et al.•Asia Pacific Journal of Social…•2024

  • Trajectories and predictors of alcohol consumption over 21 years of mothers׳ reproductive life course

    Open Access•Nam Tran, Gail Williams et al.•SSM - Population Health•2015

  • Trajectories of nonmedical use of prescription opioids among adolescents in primary care

    Lewei A Lin, Lewei Lin et al.•Addiction Research & Theory•2016

  • Trajectories of antidepressant use before and after a suicide attempt among refugees and Swedish-born individuals

    Open Access•Ridwanul Amin, Syed Rahman et al.•International Journal for Equity…•2021

  • Perinatal Food Insecurity and Postpartum Psychosocial Stress are Positively Associated Among Kenyan Women of Mixed HIV Status

    Open Access•Pamela M Murnane, Joshua D Miller et al.•AIDS and Behavior•2019

  • Patterns of Oral PrEP Adherence and HIV Risk Among Eastern African Women in HIV Serodiscordant Partnerships

    Open Access•for the Partners Demonstration Project Team, Maria Pyra et al.•AIDS and Behavior•2018

  • Identifying the best measures of alcohol consumption to predict future HIV viral suppression trajectories

    Open Access•Veronica L Richards, Robert F Leeman et al.•AIDS and Behavior•2022

  • Long-term Patterns of Self-reported Opioid Use, Vacs Index, and Mortality Among People with HIV Engaged in Care

    Open Access•Joella W Adams, Yu Li et al.•AIDS and Behavior•2021

  • Antiretroviral Adherence Trajectories Among Black Americans Living with HIV

    Open Access•Erik D Storholm, Laura M Bogart et al.•AIDS and Behavior•2018

  • Patterns and Correlates of Prescription Opioid Receipt Among US Veterans

    Open Access•for the VACS Project Team, Christopher T Rentsch et al.•AIDS and Behavior•2019

  • Using the Group‐Based Trajectory Model to Study Crime Over the Life Course

    Daniel S Nagin, Alex R Piquero•Journal of Criminal Justice…•2010

  • Trajectories of control

    Open Access•Abigail Novak•Journal of Criminal Justice•2025

  • Developmental Trajectories and Predictors of Juvenile Detention, Placement, and Jail Among Youth with Out-of-Home Child Welfare Placement

    Open Access•Karen M Kolivoski, Jeffrey J Shook et al.•Journal of the Society for Social…•2014

  • Group-Based Modeling of Development

    Daniel S Nagin, Daniel Nagin•Group-Based Modeling of Development•2005

  • Analyzing developmental trajectories of distinct but related behaviors

    Daniel S Nagin, Richard E Tremblay•Psychological Methods•2001

  • Bootstrap Methods

    B Efron•The Annals of Statistics•1979

  • Zero-Inflated Poisson Regression, with an Application to Defects in Manufacturing

    Diane Lambert•Technometrics•1992

  • Analyzing developmental trajectories

    Daniel S Nagin•Psychological Methods•1999

  • Assessing the Impact of Exposure Time and Incapacitation on Longitudinal Trajectories of Criminal Offending

    Open Access•Alex R Piquero, Alfred Blumstein et al.•Journal of Adolescent Research•2001

  • Crime in Emerging Adulthood

    Open Access•Alex R Piquero, Robert Brame et al.•Criminology•2002

  • A SAS Procedure Based on Mixture Models for Estimating Developmental Trajectories

    Open Access•Bobby L Jones, Daniel S Nagin et al.•Sociological Methods & Research•2001

  • On the Development of Different Kinds of Criminal Activity

    Open Access•Robert Brame, Edward P Mulvey et al.•Sociological Methods & Research•2001

Unique citing works167
Citations per year7,95
Citation span2005 - 2026 (22)
Citation velocitycurrent
Highly citedYes
Citation typesNeutral: 157
Ethnos_APP • Open Source Project • MIT License • Frontend v2.0.0 • Privacy and Cookies • API Documentation: api.ethnos.app/docs • API Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17049435 • Frontend Source Code: GitHub • DOI: 10.5281/zenodo.17050053 • cruz.rio.br • Expectantes Misericordiae