Numeracy and Decision Making
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 23338309 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Ellen Peters (0000-0003-0702-6169, Decision Research, Eugene, Oregon), Daniel Västfjäll (0000-0003-2873-4500, Decision Research, Eugene, Oregon), Paul Slovic (0000-0002-7473-6403, Decision Research, Eugene, Oregon), C K Mertz (Decision Research, Eugene, Oregon), Ketti Mazzocco (0000-0003-1382-6779, University of Trento, Trento, Italy), Stephan Dickert (0000-0002-8554-4626, Decision Research, Eugene, Oregon) |
| Year | 2006 |
| Volume | 17 |
| Issue | 5 |
| Pages | 407-413 |
| Publication date | 2006-05-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Psychological Science (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0956-7976 • E-ISSN: 1467-9280 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications (PUBLISHER • US) |
| DOI | 10.1111/j.1467-9280.2006.01720.x |
| PMID | 16683928 |
| OpenAlex | W2145885996 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 224 |
| References cited | 20 |
A series of four studies explored how the ability to comprehend and transform probability numbers relates to performance on judgment and decision tasks. On the surface, the tasks in the four studies appear to be widely different; at a conceptual level, however, they all involve processing numbers and the potential to show an influence of affect. Findings were consistent with highly numerate individuals being more likely to retrieve and use appropriate numerical principles, thus making themselves less susceptible to framing effects, compared with less numerate individuals. In addition, the highly numerate tended to draw different (generally stronger or more precise) affective meaning from numbers and numerical comparisons, and their affective responses were more precise. Although generally helpful, this tendency may sometimes lead to worse decisions. The less numerate were influenced more by competing, irrelevant affective considerations. Analyses showed that the effect of numeracy was not due to general intelligence. Numerical ability appears to matter to judgments and decisions in important ways.
Affect (linguistics) · Cognition · Cognitive psychology · Framing (construction) · Framing effect · Meaning (existential) · Numeracy · Persuasion · Cognitive and developmental aspects of mathematical skills · Communication · Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics · Psychology · Social Psychology · Visual and Cognitive Learning Processes
Communicating Quantitative Risk Information
Modeling the Predictors of Extreme Weather Affective Experience and Its Influence on Extreme Weather Decision-Making
The dark side of intuition
The gist of juries
Communicating about chemicals in cigarette smoke
Ratio Bias Across Cultures and Disciplines
Feeling the Numbers
The Role of Numeracy and Intelligence in Health‐Risk Estimation and Medical Data Interpretation
Measuring Rational Thinking in Adolescents
Conceptual replication study of fifteen JDM effects
Multiple numeric competencies
Individual differences in adult decision-making competence
The pros and cons of funnel plots as an aid to risk communication and patient decision making
Infographics on risks associated with Covid-19 and the willingness to get the AstraZeneca vaccine
Communicating Research Findings
Transparent Communication of Health Risks
Using Behavioral Insights to Increase Vaccination Policy Effectiveness
Eliciting risk preferences
Mindful Judgment and Decision Making
The Influence of Narrative v. Statistical Information on Perceiving Vaccination Risks
Cognitive abilities and superior decision making under risk
Consequences of Age-Related Cognitive Declines
Less Is More in Presenting Quality Information to Consumers
Beyond Comprehension
A Theory of Medical Decision Making and Health
Public perceptions of energy consumption and savings
Beyond nudges
Numeracy, ratio bias, and denominator neglect in judgments of risk and probability
Numeracy Skill And The Communication, Comprehension, And Use Of Risk-Benefit Information
Personality Psychology and Economics
Numeric, Verbal, and Visual Formats of Conveying Health Risks
Measuring Risk Literacy
Conducting Discrete Choice Experiments to Inform Healthcare Decision Making
Cognitive skills affect economic preferences, strategic behavior, and job attachment
Narrative communication in cancer prevention and control
Effective communication of uncertainty in the IPCC reports
Adult Age Differences in Dual Information Processes
Investigating an alternate form of the cognitive reflection test
Cognitive Ability, Personality, and Pathways to Retirement
Putting a Number on Preferences
Importance of Numeracy as a Risk Factor for Elder Financial Exploitation in a Community Sample
Exploration of youth knowledge and perceptions of individual-level climate mitigation action
The Impact of Mild Cognitive Impairment on Decision Making in Two Gambling Tasks
A Kenyan newspaper analysis of the limitations of voluntary medical male circumcision and the importance of sustained condom use
The Landscape of Risk Communication Research
Boosting Numerical Cognition in Children and Adolescents with Mathematical Learning Disabilities by a Brain-Based Intervention
The @Risk Study
Chemical Exposure
Biases in medical decision-making
Limitations of the S-TOFHLA in measuring poor numeracy
Individually optimal choices can be collectively disastrous in Covid-19 disease control
Learning from Planned Vs. Unplanned Content
Probabilistic Earthquake Forecasts and Public Perception
Framing Climate Uncertainty
Visualizing Volcanic Ash Forecasts
Vulnerability and fraud
Interpretations of aftershock advice and probabilities after the 2013 Cook Strait earthquakes, Aotearoa New Zealand
Where does scientific uncertainty come from, and from whom? Mapping perspectives of natural hazards science advice
The role of numeracy and personal experience in emergency management decision-making
Information Avoidance
Leveraging Math Cognition to Combat Health Innumeracy
Maintaining credibility when communicating uncertainty
Who detects and why
Both a bioweapon and a hoax
Why Retractions of Numerical Misinformation Fail
Exploring Numerical Framing Effects
Revisiting the Open Sampling format
Who shows the Unlikelihood Effect – and why
A Conceptual Framework of Financial Advice-Seeking and Short- and Long-Term Financial Behaviors
Competence, Confidence, and Gender
Influencing HIV Testing Intentions
Augmented Virtuality Systems as a Tool for Improving Numeracy Decision-Making Among Children
Effects of Communicating Prevalence Information about Two Common Health Conditions
Do Messages Matter? Investigating the Combined Effects of Framing, Outcome Uncertainty, and Number Format on Covid-19 Vaccination Attitudes and Intention
Exploring public preferences for alcohol risk communication
Developing an objective measure of knowledge of factory farming
Does Concrete Content Help People to Reason Scientifically
Nudge me right
The impact of rational and experiential thinking styles on resource allocation in human - Computer fighting games
Communities of practice as purveyors of instructional communication during crises
Money counts
When more is less in financial decision-making
Communicating uncertainty in intelligence forecasts using verbal expressions of probability and confidence
Improving intelligence analysis and education in the US with stronger foundations in statistical literacy
Individual differences in retirement savings
Can a Single Cue Reduce Bias
Beliefs About Covid-19 in Canada, the United Kingdom, and the United States
Romanians’ willingness to comply with restrictive measures during the Covid-19 pandemic
Check (it) yourself before you wreck yourself
Intuitive symbolic magnitude judgments and decision making under risk in adults
Information acquisition and decision strategies in intertemporal choice
Who benefits from debiasing
Numeracy Matters
Considering class
Development and Validation of the Social Discounting Task
From chance to choice
Motivated reasoning, fast and slow
Motivated numeracy and enlightened self-government
Educating good decisions
Laypeople have difficulty processing efficiency when assessing environmental policies
On the practice of dichotomization of quantitative variables.
All Frames Are Not Created Equal
The Evaluability Hypothesis
General Performance on a Numeracy Scale among Highly Educated Samples
Risk as Analysis and Risk as Feelings
Violence risk assessment and risk communication
Decision framing
Integration of the cognitive and the psychodynamic unconscious
Conflict between intuitive and rational processing
Feeling and thinking
The construction of preference
The empirical case for two systems of reasoning
Risk as feelings
How Consumers are Affected by the Framing of Attribute Information Before and After Consuming the Product
| Unique citing works | 224 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 11,2 |
| Citation span | 2006 - 2026 (21) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | Yes |
| Citation types | Neutral: 211 |