Dynamical Feedbacks between Population Growth and Sociopolitical Instability in Agrarian States
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 3063902 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Peter Turchin (0000-0002-1292-8100, corresponding author) |
| Year | 2005 |
| Volume | 1 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Publication date | 2005-09-18 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | No |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Structure and Dynamics eJournal of Anthropological and Related Sciences (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 1554-3374 • E-ISSN: 1554-3374 |
| Publisher | California Digital Library (CDL) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.5070/sd911003259 |
| OpenAlex | W2765083955 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 23 |
| References cited | 27 |
Most preindustrial states experienced recurrent waves of political collapse and internal warfare. One possible explanation of this pattern, the demographic-structural theory, suggests that population growth leads to state instability and breakdown, which in turn causes population decline. Mathematical models incorporating this mechanism predict sustained oscillations in demographic and political dynamics. Here I test these theoretical predictions with time-series data on population dynamics and sociopolitical instability in early modern England, the Han and Tang China, and the Roman Empire. Results suggest that population and instability are dynamically interrelated as predicted by the theory
Agrarian society · Agriculture · China · Development economics · Economics · Geography · Instability · Mechanics · Physics · Political instability · Political science · Politics · Population · Population growth · Sociology · State formation · Culture, Economy, and Development Studies · Demography · Historical Economic and Social Studies
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| Unique citing works | 23 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 1,1 |
| Citation span | 2005 - 2025 (21) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 23 |