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Are Social Background Models Time-Bound

Bibliographic Data

ID3559971
AuthorsSidney Ulmer, S Sidney Ulmer (University of Kentucky, corresponding author)
Year1986
Volume80
Issue3
Pages957-967
Publication date1986-09-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueAmerican Political Science Review (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0003-0554 • E-ISSN: 1537-5943
PublisherCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.2307/1960547
OpenAlexW2333343638
LanguageEN
Citations received15
References cited20

In this research note I seek to determine whether a significantly predicting social background model for analyzing the votes of Supreme Court justices is time-bound. I argue that an affirmative result poses serious questions for past uses of such models, none of which has controlled for the possibility that time is a confounding variable. A model that significantly predicted the votes of the justices in the Court's 1903-1968 terms was constructed. Analysis with this model for two periods-from 1903 to 1935, and from 1936 to 1968-established that the model was not timeneutral. Appropriate theoretical implications are drawn

Confounding · Econometrics · Economics · Political science · Positive economics · Statistics · Supreme court · Upper and lower bounds · Variable (mathematics · Judicial and Constitutional Studies · Law · Law, Economics, and Judicial Systems · Legal and Constitutional Studies · Mathematics

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Unique citing works15
Citations per year0,39
Citation span1988 - 2020 (33)
Citation velocityhistorical
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 15
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