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Swing Voter and Governing Party Alternation in Taiwan

Victory of Opposition KMT in the 2008 Presidential Election

Bibliographic Data

ID6233395
AuthorsKevin Tze-Wai Wong, Kevin Wong (0000-0002-1820-7013, Chinese University of Hong Kong, corresponding author)
Year2013
Volume21
Issue3
Pages285-305
Publication date2013-12-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueAsian Journal of Political Science (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0218-5377 • E-ISSN: 1750-7812
PublisherInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/02185377.2013.864516
OpenAlexW2066455518
LanguageEN
Citations received3
References cited28

This study explores the relationship between swing voters and alternation of governing party in Taiwan by using national survey data from the 2004 and 2008 presidential elections. It finds that the electoral decision of swing voters always determines electoral outcome. Besides, swing voters make their vote choice based on different heuristics, whereas non-swing voters cast a vote solely based on partisan identification. Issue voting is one of the major heuristic of swing voters. Cross-strait economic integration and the referendum about membership of the United Nations were two determinative issues to swing voters in the 2008 presidential election. Alternation of the governing party succeeded in 2008 because the Democratic Progressive Party took the false step of proposing a referendum and the Kuomintang took advantage of promoting cross-strait economic integration

Democracy · Economics · Opposition (politics · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Presidential election · Presidential system · Referendum · Single non-transferable vote · Swing · Victory · Voting · China's Socioeconomic Reforms and Governance · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Hong Kong and Taiwan Politics · Law

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Unique citing works3
Citations per year0,38
Citation span2018 - 2024 (7)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 3
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