Reconsidering Regime Type and Growth
Lies, Dictatorships, and Statistics
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6275096 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Christopher S P Magee (Bucknell University), Christopher Magee (0000-0003-2622-4005, Bucknell University), John Doces (0000-0002-4671-2885, Bucknell University), John A Doces (Bucknell University) |
| Year | 2015 |
| Volume | 59 |
| Issue | 2 |
| Pages | 223-237 |
| Publication date | 2015-06-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | International Studies Quarterly (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0020-8833 • E-ISSN: 1468-2478 |
| Publisher | Oxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1111/isqu.12143 |
| OpenAlex | W2071996348 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 35 |
| References cited | 41 |
Some recent papers have concluded that authoritarian regimes have faster economic growth than democracies. These supposed growth benefits of autocracies are estimated using data sets in which growth rates rely heavily on data reported by each government. Governments have incentives to exaggerate their economic growth figures, however, and authoritarian regimes may have fewer limitations than democracies on their ability to do so. This paper argues that growth data submitted to international agencies are overstated by authoritarian regimes compared to democracies. If true, it calls into question the estimated relationship between government type and economic growth found in the literature. To measure the degree to which each government's official growth statistics are overstated, the economic growth rates reported in the World Bank's World Development Indicators are compared to a new measure of economic growth based on satellite imaging of nighttime lights. This comparison reveals whether or not dictators exaggerate their true growth rates and by how much. Annual GDP growth rates are estimated to be overstated by 0.5–1.5 percentage points in the statistics that dictatorships report to the World Bank
Authoritarianism · Autocracy · Democracy · Development economics · Dictatorship · Economics · Government (linguistics · Incentive · Market economy · Political science · Politics · Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth · Income, Poverty, and Inequality · Law · Local Government Finance and Decentralization
Citizen Support for Democratic and Autocratic Regimes
Citizen Support for Democratic and Autocratic Regimes
Social Media and Press Freedom
Researcher effects in survey‐based research
Revisiting the relationship between economic freedom and development to account for statistical deception by autocratic regimes
Governments manipulate official Statistics
Political institutions and output collapses
Paying for Legitimacy
How Dictatorships Work
One Road to Riches
Effects of corruption and income inequality on the reported number of Covid-19 cases and deaths
Varieties of Authoritarian Policymaking
The forsaken road
Overstatement of GDP growth in autocracies and the recent decline in global inequality
Impact of democracy on economic, human, and societal development
Democracy, consumption, and growth in sub-Saharan Africa
Building legitimacy? The role of Chinese contract workers in foreign regimes’ political strategies
Statistical disclosure and economic growth
Leader value added
Political competition and Chinese official data
Linking anticorruption threats, performance pay, administrative outputs, and policy outcomes in China
How Much Should We Trust the Dictator’s GDP Growth Estimates
Leader Turnover, Regime Type, and Growth Volatility
Diseases of commerce
Have Autocrats Governed for the Long Term
The latent characteristics that structure autocratic rule
Do Self-Reporting Regimes Matter? Evidence from the Convention Against Torture
Do Resource-Wealthy Rulers Adopt Transparency-Promoting Laws
State of the world 2021
A business case for democracy
Substantive Representation, Women’s Health, and Regime Type
Information Politics and Propaganda in Authoritarian Societies
Encouraged to Cheat? Federal Incentives and Career Concerns at the Sub-national Level as Determinants of Under-Reporting of Covid-19 Mortality in Russia
Transparency, Protest, and Autocratic Instability
The Decline of Global Inequality in the 21st Century
Development strategies reconsidered
Regression Diagnostics
Macroeconomic determinants of growth
Improved International Comparisons of Real Product and Its Composition
Democracy and growth
Do Democratic Transitions Produce Bad Economic Outcomes?
An empirical analysis of cross-national economic growth, 1951–1980
Measuring Economic Growth from Outer Space
How democracy affects growth
A New Set of International Comparisons of Real Product and Price Levels Estimates for 130 Countries, 1950–1985
Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error
Democracy and Development
Political Regimes and Economic Growth
Are You Being Served? Political Accountability and Quality of Government
The Correlates of War 2 International Governmental Organizations Data Version 2.0
Path to Prosperity
Democracy and dictatorship revisited
The political economy of development
Sociological explanations of economic growth
Democracy and Growth
The Institutional Framework and Economic Development
Authoritarian versus Nonauthoritarian Approaches to Economic Development
Democracy and Economic Crisis
Democracy and Economic Growth
Democracy and Transparency
Property Rights, Democracy and Economic Growth
The Political Economy of Development
The Consequences of Regime Type for Public-Policy Outputs
Democracy and Economic Growth
Democracy, Political Stability and Economic Growth
Political Democracy and Economic Growth
Democracy and Economic Growth
Empirical Linkages Between Democracy and Economic Growth
The Regime Debate Revisted
No Shortcut to Stability
Government and Economic Growth in the Less Developed Countries
Political Regimes and Economic Growth
| Unique citing works | 35 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 3,18 |
| Citation span | 2015 - 2026 (12) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 34 |