Drought, Local Institutional Contexts, and Support for Violence in Kenya
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6283873 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Andrew M Linke (0000-0002-2031-4686, Department of Geography, The University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, USA, corresponding author), Frank D W Witmer (0000-0002-2646-0705, University of Alaska Anchorage), John Ο’loughlin (University of Colorado Boulder), John O’loughlin (University of Colorado Boulder), J T Mccabe (0000-0002-0394-6681, University of Colorado Boulder), Jaroslav Tir (0000-0001-9492-5837, University of Colorado Boulder) |
| Year | 2018 |
| Volume | 62 |
| Issue | 7 |
| Pages | 1544-1578 |
| Publication date | 2018-08-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Journal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766 |
| Publisher | SAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1177/0022002717698018 |
| OpenAlex | W2606549367 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 41 |
| References cited | 64 |
We address two questions on the effects of climate change for social instability. First, do droughts and their associated environmental impacts affect support for the use of violence? Second, do local-level formal and informal institutions moderate support for violence when and where droughts worsen? To answer these questions, we conducted a national survey of 1,400 Kenyans in 2014. Respondents were asked about patterns of rainfall and the presence of rules regulating natural resource use and access. Survey data are joined to spatially disaggregated observed rainfall trends. The survey uses endorsement experiments to elicit honest responses about support for using violence. There is some evidence of a direct, though limited, link between observed drought and violent attitudes. Certain local-level natural resource use rules have moderating effects on support for violence where drought is reported and precipitation is less frequent. This conditional and contextual effect is an important modification of overly simplistic narratives of universal climate change effects
Affect (linguistics · Climate change · Economics · Geography · Natural resource · Political science · Resource (disambiguation · Socioeconomics · Survey data collection · Agricultural risk and resilience · Ecology · Psychology · Rangeland Management and Livestock Ecology · Transboundary Water Resource Management
Droughts, state-citizen relations and support for political violence in Sub-Saharan Africa
Internal Conflicts and Shocks. A Narrative Meta-Analysis
Defection Denied
Rebel Governance in the Age of Climate Change
Vicious Circles
Beyond disaster vulnerabilities
Drought exposure decreases altruism with salient group identities as key moderator
Food Insecurity, Local Institutions, and Changing Support for Violence during a Severe Drought in Northern Kenya, 2020–2022
Catastrophes, Confrontations, and Constraints
Exploring the relationship between climate change and violent conflict
From Damage to Dispute
Climate mitigation policies and the potential pathways to conflict
Reframing Climate-Induced Socio-Environmental Conflicts
The consequences of relocating in response to drought
Quantifying the influence of climate variability on armed conflict in Africa, 2000–2015
Disasters as Ambivalent Multipliers
Norms and Peace in a Turbulent World
Balancing Immediate Relief and Resilience
Multi-method evidence for when and how climate-related disasters contribute to armed conflict risk
Ideology and Rifles
Conflict in abundance and peacebuilding in scarcity
Climate shocks, regional favoritism and trust in leaders
Rainfall and intimate partner violence
Public Preferences for Intergroup Assistance in Conflicts Facing Joint External Threats
The Impact of Natural Disasters on the Ongoing Civil War
Weather variability and conflict forecasts
Weather, wheat, and war
Rethinking climate conflicts
Echoes of colonial disruption
Crimes of the current
Fragile Geographies and the Climate-Conflict Nexus
Climate Shocks, Political Institutions, and Nomadic Invasions in Early Modern East Asia
Climatic Stress, Internal Migration, and Syrian Civil War Onset
Drought, Resilience, and Support for Violence
Climate Change and Conflict
Desertification, migration, and herder-farmer conflicts in Nigeria
Come rain, or come wells
Floods, communal conflict and the role of local state institutions in Sub-Saharan Africa
Food and water insecurity as causes of social unrest
Disaster risk reduction amidst armed conflict
Violent farmer-herder conflicts in West Africa
Governing the Commons
Cattle Bring Us to Our Enemies
Temperatures and cyclones strongly associated with economic production in the Caribbean and Central America
Civil conflicts are associated with the global climate
War and local collective action in Sierra Leone
Climate variability and conflict risk in East Africa, 1990–2009
Using Weather Data and Climate Model Output in Economic Analyses of Climate Change
One effect to rule them all? A comment on climate and conflict
Stable and Efficient Multiple Smoothing Parameter Estimation for Generalized Additive Models
GMM estimation with cross sectional dependence
Place and Politics
To share or not to share? (non-)violence, scarcity and resource access in Somali Region, Ethiopia
Forecasting civil conflict along the shared socioeconomic pathways
The climate of war
Climate–conflict research
Local warming and violent conflict in North and South Sudan
The climate-population nexus in the East African Horn
Demand, supply, and restraint
Rainfall variability and violence in rural Kenya
Climate shocks and political violence
Climate change, conflict, and cooperation
Come rain or shine
Civic Education and Democratic Backsliding in the Wake of Kenya’s Post-2007 Election Violence
The Institutional Design of Riparian Treaties
Who’s Asking? Interviewer Coethnicity Effects in African Survey Data
Comparing and Combining List and Endorsement Experiments
Poverty and Support for Militant Politics
What Do They Know and How Do They Know It
"Political ecology and the moral dimensions of "resource conflicts
Violent Conflict and Behavior
What Do We Learn from the Weather? The New Climate-Economy Literature
Long-term environmental change and geographical patterns of violence in Darfur, 2003-2005
Close-up on renewable resources and armed conflict
Climate triggers
Oil and the Probability of Rebel Participation Among Youths in the Niger Delta of Nigeria
Subnational violent conflict forecasts for sub-Saharan Africa, 2015-65, using climate-sensitive models
Feeding unrest
Conflict and the evolution of institutions
Temperature seasonality and violent conflict
Politics of Formalized River Cooperation
Weathering unrest
Introducing Acled
Mountainous Terrain and Civil Wars
Explaining Support for Combatants during Wartime
Success and Failure
| Unique citing works | 41 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 4,56 |
| Citation span | 2017 - 2026 (10) |
| Citation velocity | current |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 40 |