Radiocarbon‐Inferred Population Trajectories for Southeastern Arabia During the Bronze Age
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 6415451 |
|---|---|
| Authors | James Ted Mcdonald (Durham University, corresponding author), James R P McDonald (0009-0008-1320-8456, University of Durham Durham UK) |
| Year | 2025 |
| Volume | 36 |
| Issue | 1 |
| Pages | 24-38 |
| Publication date | 2025-09-08 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Arabian archaeology and epigraphy (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0905-7196 • E-ISSN: 1600-0471 |
| Publisher | Wiley (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1111/aae.70005 |
| OpenAlex | W4414218896 |
| Language | EN |
| References cited | 94 |
This paper builds on previous attempts to estimate radiocarbon‐inferred population trends—although in Arabia, these attempts are few. A probabilistic reconstruction of Bronze Age (3200–1300 cal BC ) demographic trends using a new data set of radiocarbon rates from across the Arabian Peninsula ( n = 1280) is presented and a subset of dates ( n = 288) from the Southeast (Oman and United Arab Emirates) is used. Using two different Bayesian modelling techniques to estimate growth rates, their changepoint and general fluctuations are assessed. The results from both models, although disagreeing about the magnitude of these trends, show clear evidence for steady and continual growth until the mid‐Early Bronze Age. This is followed by a decline before the end of the third millennium, then growth until a peak in the Middle Bronze Age, before significant decline in the Late Bronze Age. These results are interpreted and contextualised in relation to possible drivers, including adaptions to climate and environmental changes, shifts in subsistence economies, increasing maritime and terrestrial trade, and the combination of long‐term sedentary and mobile lifeways
Archaeology and ancient environmental studies · Geology and Paleoclimatology Research · Pleistocene-Era Hominins and Archaeology
Validation of a global model of taphonomic bias using geologic radiocarbon ages
A Pronounced Dry Event Recorded Around 4.2 ka in Brine Sediments from the Northern Red Sea
The Archaeology of Prehistoric Arabia
Holocene Forcing of the Indian Monsoon Recorded in a Stalagmite from Southern Oman
Climate change at the 4.2 ka BP termination of the Indus valley civilization and Holocene south Asian monsoon variability
Holocene Climate and Cultural Evolution in Late Prehistoric–Early Historic West Asia
Evidence of resilience to past climate change in Southwest Asia
Regional population collapse followed initial agriculture booms in mid-Holocene Europe
Formal ratification of the subdivision of the Holocene Series/Epoch (Quaternary System/Period)
The Genesis and Collapse of Third Millennium North Mesopotamian Civilization
A Record of Holocene Climate Change from Lake Geochemical Analyses in Southeastern Arabia
Statistical Inference of Prehistoric Demography from Frequency Distributions of Radiocarbon Dates
A multi-proxy analysis of the Holocene humid phase from the United Arab Emirates and its implications for southeast Arabia's Neolithic populations
Rivers of the Hadramawt watershed (Yemen) during the Holocene
The use of summed radiocarbon probability distributions in archaeology
On Applications of Space–Time Modelling with Open-Source 14C Age Calibration
Cycles of Civilization in Northern Mesopotamia, 4400–2000 BC
Sum things are not what they seem
The earliest cylinder seal in the Arabian Peninsula
The nature of third‐millennium settlement
The Neolithic period in the Central Region of the Emirate of Sharjah (UAE)
Defining the Early Bronze Age landscape
A comparative geochemical study of bituminous boat remains from H3, As‐Sabiyah (Kuwait), and RJ‐2, Ra's al‐Jinz (Oman)
The agricultural basis of Umm an‐Nar society in the northern Oman peninsula (2500–2000 BC)
Preliminary report on the archaeobotanical investigations at Tell Abraq with special attention to chaff impressions in mud brick
Survey methods and biases in the Al‐Mudhaybi Regional Survey, Sultanate of Oman
The Social, Spatial, and Bioarchaeological Histories of Ancient Oman project
Developing a framework of Holocene climatic change and landscape archaeology for the lower Gulf region, southeastern Arabia
The Middle and Late Bronze Age in Central Oman
The Jabal al‐Yamh and Ḥattā Valley survey (Emirate of Dubai, UAE)
Exchange networks of the Early Bronze Age Gulf
Settlement history in the eastern Rub al‐Khali
The “walled oases” phenomenon. A study of the ramparts in Dūmat al‐Jandal and other pre‐Islamic sites in north‐western Arabia
The decline of Magan and the rise of Dilmun
The westward transmission of Indus Valley sealing technology
Soil erosion and valley fills in the Yemen highlands and southern Turkey
End-to-end Bayesian analysis for summarizing sets of radiocarbon dates
Reconstructing regional population fluctuations in the European Neolithic using radiocarbon dates
Impacts of long term climate change during the collapse of the Akkadian Empire
Comparing archaeological proxies for long-term population patterns
Variability in the marine radiocarbon reservoir effect in Muscat (Sultanate of Oman) during the 4th millennium BC
Long-term trends in settlement persistence in Southwest Asia
Correcting temporal frequency distributions for taphonomic bias
IntCal, SHCal, or a Mixed Curve? Choosing a 14 C Calibration Curve for Archaeological and Paleoenvironmental Records from Tropical South America
A Revised Radiocarbon Chronology of the Aceramic Shell Midden of Ra’s Al-Hamra 6 (Muscat, Sultanate of Oman)
Marine20—The Marine Radiocarbon Age Calibration Curve (0–55,000 cal BP)
Methods for Summarizing Radiocarbon Datasets
Addressing the Intensity of Changes in the Prehistoric Population Dynamics
Inference From Large Sets of Radiocarbon Dates
The IntCal20 Northern Hemisphere Radiocarbon Age Calibration Curve (0–55 cal kBP)
Diet and mobility in a late neolithic population of coastal oman inferred from radiocarbon dating and stable isotope analysis
Geographic origins and dietary transitions during the bronze age in the oman peninsula
Human Response to Climate Change during the Umm an‐Nar/Wadi Suq Transition in the United Arab Emirates
The chronology of culture
Shell Middens, Ships and Seeds
Premiers éléments sur l'agriculture protohistorique de l'Arabie orientale
Settlement and Chronology in the early Bronze Age of Southeastern Arabia
Quantum theory of radiocarbon calibration
The archaeology of the longue durée
Dates as Data
"Dynamics of Trade in the Ancient Mesopotamian "World System
| Citation velocity | historical |
|---|---|
| Highly cited | No |