Political Science and Prediction

What's Next for U.S. Climate Change Policy

Dados Bibliográficos

ID7367726
AutoresHelaine Selin (0000-0002-1011-1455), Stacy D Vandeveer (0000-0001-5941-8020, University of New Hampshire at Manchester)
Ano2007
Volume24
Fascículo1
Páginas1-27
Data de publicação2007-01-01
Peer ReviewedSim
Open AccessSim
TipoARTICLE
PeriódicoReview of Policy Research (JOURNAL)
Identificadores do periódicoISSN: 1541-132X • E-ISSN: 1541-1338
EditoraWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1111/j.1541-1338.2007.00265.x
OpenAlexW2156352223
IdiomaEN
Citações recebidas53
Referências citadas53

This article analyzes how U.S. climate change politics and policy making are changing in the public, private and civil society sectors, and how such changes are likely to influence U.S. federal policies. It outlines the current status of U.S. climate change action and explores four overlapping pathways of policy change: (1) the strategic demonstration of the feasibility of climate change action; (2) the creation and expansion of markets; (3) policy diffusion and learning; and (4) the creation and promulgation of norms about the need for more aggressive climate change action. These four pathways seek to fruitfully draw from rationalist and constructivist approaches to policy analysis, without collapsing or confusing the different logics. Building on this analysis, it predicts that future federal U.S. climate policy will include six major components: (1) A national cap on GHG emissions; (2) A national market based cap‐and‐trade GHG emissions trading scheme; (3) Mandatory renewable energy portfolio standards; (4) Increased national product standards for energy efficiency; (5) Increased vehicle fleet energy efficiency standards; and (6) Increased federal incentives for research and development on energy efficiency issues and renewable energy development. In addition, expanding federal climate policy may bring about significant changes in U.S. foreign policy as U.S. international re‐engagement on climate change is likely to occur only after the development of more significant federal policy

Business · Climate change · Climate change mitigation · Economics · Emissions trading · Energy policy · Feed-in tariff · Incentive · Market economy · Policy analysis · Political economy of climate change · Political science · Politics · Portfolio · Public economics · Renewable energy · Renewable portfolio standard · Climate Change Policy and Economics · Law · Policy Transfer and Learning · Public Administration · Sustainability and Climate Change Governance · Finance