Climate Change Scenarios for the UK

Bibliographic Data

ID8962597
AuthorsRichard A Warrick, Elaine Barrow (0000-0003-3087-7172), Elaine M Barrow
Year1991
Volume16
Issue4
Pages387-387
Publication date1991-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessNo
TypeARTICLE
VenueTransactions of the Institute of British Geographers (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0020-2754 • E-ISSN: 1475-5661
PublisherWiley (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.2307/623026
OpenAlexW2320150234
LanguageEN
Citations received9
References cited4

The purpose of this paper is to present time-dependent scenarios of climate change for the UK, including possible changes in extreme climatic events. Initially, the methods of scenario construction are described. These involve the scaling of the regional patterns of equilibrium climate change produced by general circulation models (GCMs) by the time-dependent projection of global-mean temperature change. A 'Business-as-Usual' forcing scenario is then used to project global warming to the year 2050. This projection is used to develop scenarios of the UK temperature and precipitation change. The implications for sea level are also discussed. Finally, the climate change 'commitment' for the UK, due to past radiative forcing changes and the lags in the climate system, is considered

Climate change · Climatology · Geography · Climate variability and models · demographic modeling and climate adaptation · Environmental Science · Geology · Geophysics and Gravity Measurements · Oceanography