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Information Aggregation with Random Ordering

Cascades and Overconfidence

Bibliographic Data

ID9707734
AuthorsMarkus Nöth (0000-0001-7942-5148, University of Mannheim), Martin Weber (0000-0002-3533-5850, University of Mannheim)
Year2003
Volume113
Issue484
Pages166-189
Publication date2003-01-01
Peer ReviewedYes
Open AccessYes
TypeARTICLE
VenueThe Economic Journal (JOURNAL)
Journal identifiersISSN: 0013-0133 • E-ISSN: 1468-0297
PublisherOxford University Press (OUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1111/1468-0297.00091
OpenAlexW3020998977
LanguageEN
Citations received7
References cited22

In economic models, it is usually assumed that agents aggregate their private information with all available public information correctly and completely. In this experiment, we identify subjects’ updating procedures and analyse the consequences for the aggregation process. Decisions can be based on private information with known quality and on the observed decisions of other participants. In this setting with random ordering, information cascades are observable and agents’ overconfidence has a positive effect on avoiding a non‐revealing aggregation process. However, overconfidence reduces welfare in general

Aggregate (composite · Computer security · Data mining · Econometrics · Economics · Information aggregation · Information cascade · Microeconomics · Observable · Overconfidence effect · Private information retrieval · Process (computing · Quality (philosophy · Auction Theory and Applications · Computer Science · Economic Policies and Impacts · Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies · Psychology · Social Psychology

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    Open Access•Julija Michailova, Alminas Mačiulis et al.•Economic Research-Ekonomska…•2017

  • Overconfidence and Excess Entry

    Colin Camerer, Colin F Camerer et al.•American Economic Review•1999

  • Non-Bayesian updating in a social learning experiment

    Roberta De Filippis, Antonio Guarino et al.•2020

  • Non-Bayesian updating in a social learning experiment

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    Gregory D Alles, Gregory Alles•Method & Theory in the Study of…•2004

  • Do individuals recognize cascade behavior of others? – An experimental study

    Open Access•Tim Grebe, Julia Schmid et al.•Journal of Economic Psychology•2008

  • Optional disclosure and observational learning

    Open Access•Diefeng Peng, Yulei Rao et al.•Journal of Economic Behavior &…•2024

  • Overconfidence and Excess Entry

    Colin Camerer, Colin F Camerer et al.•American Economic Review•1999

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    Open Access•Sarah Lichtenstein, Baruch Fischhoff et al.•Judgment under uncertainty•1982

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    Vernon L Smith, Gerry L Suchanek et al.•Econometrica•1988

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    Open Access•Ward Edwards•Judgment under uncertainty•1982

  • Endogenous Timing and the Clustering of Agents' Decisions

    Faruk Gül, Russell J Lundholm et al.•Journal of Political Economy•1995

  • A Theory of Fads, Fashion, Custom, and Cultural Change as Informational Cascades

    Sushil Bikhchandani, David Hirshleifer et al.•Journal of Political Economy•1992

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Unique citing works7
Citations per year0,26
Citation span1999 - 2024 (26)
Citation velocityrecent
Highly citedNo
Citation typesNeutral: 6
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