Combining backcasting and adaptive management for climate adaptation in coastal regions
A methodology and a South African case study
Bibliographic Data
| ID | 9843575 |
|---|---|
| Authors | Tom van der Voorn (0000-0003-1851-8089, Osnabrück University, corresponding author), Claudia Pahl-Wostl, Claudia Pahl‐wostl (0000-0002-2294-6521, Osnabrück University), Jaco Quist (0000-0002-6365-4082, Delft University of Technology) |
| Year | 2012 |
| Volume | 44 |
| Issue | 4 |
| Pages | 346-364 |
| Publication date | 2012-05-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Yes |
| Open Access | Yes |
| Type | ARTICLE |
| Venue | Futures (JOURNAL) |
| Journal identifiers | ISSN: 0016-3287 • E-ISSN: 1873-6378 |
| Publisher | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.futures.2011.11.003 |
| OpenAlex | W2077861317 |
| Language | EN |
| Citations received | 32 |
| References cited | 85 |
Adaptation (eye · Adaptive Management · Backcasting · Business · Citizen journalism · Climate change · Climate change adaptation · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Futures contract · Normative · Political science · Sustainability · Coastal and Marine Management · Computer Science · demographic modeling and climate adaptation · Ecology · Environmental Science · Sustainability and Climate Change Governance
Participatory futures thinking in the African context of sustainability challenges and socio-environmental change
Cities and Systemic Change for Sustainability
Facilitators/barriers to the implementation of public policies and strategies towards water security, Lao PDR
Towards government mechanisms of sponge city construction in China
Consolidating backcasting
A new analytical tool for a more deliberate implementation of Sustainable Drainage Systems
Bridging scenario planning and backcasting
Historic narratives, myths and human behavior in times of climate change
Understanding the current state of collaboration in the production and dissemination of adaptation knowledge in Namibia
A review of the water resources management for the Brantas River basin
The strengths and weaknesses of future visioning approaches for climate change adaptation
Normative future visioning
Interactions between oceans and societies in 2030
Changes in perception and the effects of personal attributes in decision-making as imaginary future generations
Operationalizing the Nature Futures Framework for ecological infrastructure
Achieving sustainable future objectives under uncertain conditions
Disseminating land use land cover change scenarios for improving the role of blue and green infrastructure
Understanding the nested, multi-scale, spatial and hierarchical nature of future climate change adaptation decision making in agricultural regions
Stakeholder participation in planning rural development strategies
Rescaling social dynamics in climate change
Contributions of local Lucc spatially explicit scenarios for water management
Climate-resilient and regenerative futures for Latin America and the Caribbean
Shifting the perception of water environment problems by introducing “imaginary future generations”—Evidence from participatory workshop in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam
Climate change impacts and its implications on future water resource management in the Meghna Basin
Targeting net climate benefits by wood utilization in Finland
Scenarios for sustainable futures beyond GDP growth 2050
Evaluating the use of an integrated forest land-use planning approach in addressing forest ecosystem services conflicting demands
Management challenges for future digitalization of healthcare services
Policy design by “imaginary future generations” with systems thinking
Foresight in natural resource management
Barriers in municipal climate change adaptation
Anticipating and planning for mine closure in South Africa
Integrated management of natural resources
Towards sustainability in the water sector – The importance of human actors and processes of social learning
Strategies of Causal Assessment in Comparative Historical Analysis
An Anatomy of Adaptation to Climate Change and Variability
Backcasting for sustainability
More evolution than revolution
Reasons for confidence.
Transitions towards adaptive management of water facing climate and global change
Energy backcasting A proposed method of policy analysis
The Science of Adaptation
Resilience and Stability of Ecological Systems
Adaptive Governance of Social-Ecological Systems
Scenarios
The Social construction of technological systems
Structure of Social Action
Big, Slow-Moving, and … Invisible
Comparative Historical Analysis in the Social Sciences
The Politics of Climate Change
Reflexive Governance for Sustainable Development
Appraising Adaptive Management
Beyond consensus
Quality in environmental science for policy
Integrating mitigation and adaptation into climate and development policy
The evolution of the IPCC's emissions scenarios
Socio-economic futures in climate change impact assessment
Redefining global environmental change
Climate and socio-economic scenarios for global-scale climate change impacts assessments
Human adaptation to climatic variability and change
A conceptual framework for analysing adaptive capacity and multi-level learning processes in resource governance regimes
Socio-economic scenarios for climate impact assessment
Adaptation, adaptive capacity and vulnerability
Linkages between vulnerability, resilience, and adaptive capacity
Sustainable regulatory systems
Toward More Reflexive Use of Adaptive Management
Recursive Regression and the Historical Use of “Time” in Time-Series Analysis of Historical Process
Rescuing All Our Futures
Accommodating or compromising change? A story about ambitions and historic deterministic scenarios
Essence of backcasting
Rescuing All Our Futures
Determinism and backcasting in future studies
Multiple pasts, converging presents, and alternative futures
Practising the scenario-axes technique
Past and future of backcasting
Futures under glass
Participative backcasting
An updated scenario typology
The vision phenomenon
The Year 2000
Energy Strategy
Seeing the past in the present
Resilience
Social and ecological resilience
Scale Mismatches in Social-Ecological Systems
Resources Management in Transition
The Importance of Social Learning in Restoring the Multifunctionality of Rivers and Floodplains
Adaptive Water Governance
Managing Change toward Adaptive Water Management through Social Learning
Social Learning and Water Resources Management
Collapse. How Societies Choose to Fail or Survive
Networks of Power
Networks of Power
The Reinvention of Politics
| Unique citing works | 32 |
|---|---|
| Citations per year | 2,46 |
| Citation span | 2013 - 2025 (13) |
| Citation velocity | recent |
| Highly cited | No |
| Citation types | Neutral: 31 |