Jesse H Ausubel
Datos Biográficos
| ID | 1114308 |
|---|---|
| NOMBRE | Jesse H Ausubel |
| NOMBRES | Jesse H |
| APELLIDO | Ausubel |
| FIRMA | AUSUBEL J H |
| AFILIACIONES | Rockefeller University |
| ORCID | 0000-0001-9568-9880 |
| VERIFICADO | Sí |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 29 |
| TOTAL DE CITAS | 43 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 29 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 0 |
| PRIMER AÑO DE PUBLICACIÓN | 1982 |
| AÑO MÁS RECIENTE DE PUBLICACIÓN | 2023 |
| ÍNDICE H | 4 |
Jewish population trajectories between the Jordan River and the Mediterranean Sea
This article re-examines Jewish population in what is now Israel using historical estimates from Ottoman, Mandatory British and United Nations sources and recent data from the Israeli census bureau. A logistic model generates backward extrapolations and forward projections. The model quantifies three waves of Jewish immigration totalling about 3.5 million. Subtracting immigrant data from total population numbers gives the main empirical trajector…
Peak Farmland and the Prospect for Land Sparing
Expecting that more and richer people will demand more from the land, cultivating wider fields, logging more forests, and pressing Nature, comes naturally. The past half-century of disciplined and dematerializing demand and more intense and efficient land use encourage a rational hope that humanity’s pressure will not overwhelm Nature. Beginning with the examples of crops in the large and fast-developing countries of India and China as well as th…
Returning forests analyzed with the forest identity
Amid widespread reports of deforestation, some nations have nevertheless experienced transitions from deforestation to reforestation. In a causal relationship, the Forest Identity relates the carbon sequestered in forests to the changing variables of national or regional forest area, growing stock density per area, biomass per growing stock volume, and carbon concentration in the biomass. It quantifies the sources of change of a nation's forests.…
Human population dynamics revisited with the logistic model
Will the rest of the world live like America
A framework for sustainability science
Learning actors' leverage for change along the journey to sustainability requires quantifying the component forces of environmental impact and integrating them. Population, income, consumers' behavior, and producers' efficiency jointly force impact. Here, we renovate the “IPAT Identity” to identify actors with the forces. Forcing impact I are P for population, A for income as gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, C for intensity of use as a go…
Death and the human environment
How Much Will Feeding More and Wealthier People Encroach on Forests
Forests have recently expanded in many countries. The success of the world, including both rich and poor, in following this trend depends on future changes in population, income per capita, appetite, and crop yields. Extended to the year 2050, the strengths of these forces, estimated from experience, project cropland shrinking by nearly 200 million hectares, more than three times the land area of France. Changes in some of the forces, with crop y…
The great reversal
Restoring the Forests
Eight thousand years ago, when humans played only bit parts in the world ecosystem, trees covered two-fifths of the land. Since then, humans have grown in number while thinning and shaving the forests to cook, keep warm, grow crops, plank ships, frame houses, and make paper. Fires, saws, and axes have cleared about half of the original forestland, and some analysts warn that within decades, the remaining natural forests will disappear altogether.…
Reasons to worry about the human environment
Toward green mobility
We envisage a transport system producing zero emissions and sparing the surface landscape, while people, on average, range hundreds of kilometres daily. We believe this prospect of ‘green mobility’ is consistent in general principles with historical evolution. We lay out these general principles, extracted from widespread observations of human behaviour over long periods, and use them to explain past transport and to project the next 50 to 100 ye…
The Virtual Ecology of Industry
Searching for Leverage to Conserve Forests
The forest and the creatures it shelters exemplify nature, and logging exemplifies the impacts of humans. In the 1990s Americans annually removed 70% more timber from the forest than in 1900. Since I900 population rose more than three times and gross domestic product (GDP) per person almost five. Despite more people, affluence, and logging, U.S. forest area remained constant. Since mid‐century, standing timber volume me nearly 30%. Consumers, mil…
Statement
Lightening the Tread of Population on the Land
The authors search the past century for principles and trends influencing land use in the United States and contemplate the future when Americans might number an additional 100 million. Examples from American cities counties and states suggest that land covered by the built environment increases less than in proportion to population. For example despite the rising use of paper relative to gross national product the declining use of lumber combine…
Science International A US view of its institutional needs
Science International A US view of its institutional needs
Global science will benefit from better 'international market places' in which potential participants in international scientific cooperation can gather, trade information, and do business, should they choose. Problems with projects such as particle accelerators and space stations underscore the timeliness of institutional innovation. Changes should occur in both non-governmental infrastructure, which brings together the people with the ideas, an…
Directions for environmental technologies
The organizational ecology of science advice in America
One way that the American government has changed in the past 50 years is through the establishment and expansion of organizations providing technical expertise for decisionmaking. This essay reviews the performance of current structures from the diverse vantage points of elites, bureaucracies, the general public and activist minorities, drawing on studies of the Carnegie Commission on Science, Technology and Government, and the cultural theory of…
Chernobyl after perestroika
Infrastructure Investment
Current Trends and Environmental Research Needs
Seven trends are identified that may call for reorientation in environmental research and policies. These are• An increasingly 'total' concept of environment, tracing risks to more and more destinations with greater concern about fairness to different populations• Rising spatial concentration of industry, with the possibility that manufacturing will take place largely in only a few regions, especially in Japan and the Pacific Rim• Emergence of a …
Climate Impact Assessment
Quantitative dynamics of human empires
Quantitative modeling of social systems shows a large component of automatic drives in the behavior of individual humans and human society. Studies of the formation and breakdown of 20 diverse empires operating over almost 3,000 years describe these processes with utmost clarity and paradigmatic simplicity. Taking territorial expansion as the basic parameter, we show that it can be represented in time by a single logistic equation in spite of the…
Climate Impact Assessment
Peak Farmland and the Prospect for Land Sparing
Expecting that more and richer people will demand more from the land, cultivating wider fields, logging more forests, and pressing Nature, comes naturally. The past half-century of disciplined and dematerializing demand and more intense and efficient land use encourage a rational hope that humanity’s pressure will not overwhelm Nature. Beginning with the examples of crops in the large and fast-developing countries of India and China as well as th…
How Much Will Feeding More and Wealthier People Encroach on Forests
Forests have recently expanded in many countries. The success of the world, including both rich and poor, in following this trend depends on future changes in population, income per capita, appetite, and crop yields. Extended to the year 2050, the strengths of these forces, estimated from experience, project cropland shrinking by nearly 200 million hectares, more than three times the land area of France. Changes in some of the forces, with crop y…
Lightening the Tread of Population on the Land
The authors search the past century for principles and trends influencing land use in the United States and contemplate the future when Americans might number an additional 100 million. Examples from American cities counties and states suggest that land covered by the built environment increases less than in proportion to population. For example despite the rising use of paper relative to gross national product the declining use of lumber combine…
Restoring the Forests
Eight thousand years ago, when humans played only bit parts in the world ecosystem, trees covered two-fifths of the land. Since then, humans have grown in number while thinning and shaving the forests to cook, keep warm, grow crops, plank ships, frame houses, and make paper. Fires, saws, and axes have cleared about half of the original forestland, and some analysts warn that within decades, the remaining natural forests will disappear altogether.…
Toward green mobility
We envisage a transport system producing zero emissions and sparing the surface landscape, while people, on average, range hundreds of kilometres daily. We believe this prospect of ‘green mobility’ is consistent in general principles with historical evolution. We lay out these general principles, extracted from widespread observations of human behaviour over long periods, and use them to explain past transport and to project the next 50 to 100 ye…
The great reversal
Human population dynamics revisited with the logistic model
Will the rest of the world live like America
Death and the human environment
The organizational ecology of science advice in America
One way that the American government has changed in the past 50 years is through the establishment and expansion of organizations providing technical expertise for decisionmaking. This essay reviews the performance of current structures from the diverse vantage points of elites, bureaucracies, the general public and activist minorities, drawing on studies of the Carnegie Commission on Science, Technology and Government, and the cultural theory of…
Climate Impact Assessment
How Many Will Survive the Next Fifty Years
Jesse H. Ausubel Michael A. Stoto In discussions of long-term environmental issues, such as carbon dioxide and global climatic change, reference is often made to the improbability of substantial societal action to protect populations of the future. Most government and business planning decisions are oriented toward the next quarter or the next year, not toward half a century from now, when many experts contend dramatic environmental shifts will b…
Climatic Constraints and Human Activities. Task Force on the Nature of Climate and Society Research, February 4-6, 1980
Climate Impact Assessment
Climate Impact Assessment
Climate Impact Assessment
Problems related to the effects of extreme climatic events - such as droughts, floods, or severe cold - are a continual burden to economies and societies in many parts of the world. Moreover, with growing evidence that increasing atmospheric concentrations of greenhouse gases may be altering the Earth's climate, these problems seem likely to be exacerbated. Thus, it is incumbent upon the scientific community to develop and refine effective method…
Current Trends and Environmental Research Needs
Seven trends are identified that may call for reorientation in environmental research and policies. These are• An increasingly 'total' concept of environment, tracing risks to more and more destinations with greater concern about fairness to different populations• Rising spatial concentration of industry, with the possibility that manufacturing will take place largely in only a few regions, especially in Japan and the Pacific Rim• Emergence of a …
Infrastructure Investment
Chernobyl after perestroika
The organizational ecology of science advice in America
One way that the American government has changed in the past 50 years is through the establishment and expansion of organizations providing technical expertise for decisionmaking. This essay reviews the performance of current structures from the diverse vantage points of elites, bureaucracies, the general public and activist minorities, drawing on studies of the Carnegie Commission on Science, Technology and Government, and the cultural theory of…
Directions for environmental technologies
Science International A US view of its institutional needs
Science International A US view of its institutional needs
Global science will benefit from better 'international market places' in which potential participants in international scientific cooperation can gather, trade information, and do business, should they choose. Problems with projects such as particle accelerators and space stations underscore the timeliness of institutional innovation. Changes should occur in both non-governmental infrastructure, which brings together the people with the ideas, an…
Lightening the Tread of Population on the Land
The authors search the past century for principles and trends influencing land use in the United States and contemplate the future when Americans might number an additional 100 million. Examples from American cities counties and states suggest that land covered by the built environment increases less than in proportion to population. For example despite the rising use of paper relative to gross national product the declining use of lumber combine…
The Virtual Ecology of Industry
Searching for Leverage to Conserve Forests
The forest and the creatures it shelters exemplify nature, and logging exemplifies the impacts of humans. In the 1990s Americans annually removed 70% more timber from the forest than in 1900. Since I900 population rose more than three times and gross domestic product (GDP) per person almost five. Despite more people, affluence, and logging, U.S. forest area remained constant. Since mid‐century, standing timber volume me nearly 30%. Consumers, mil…
Statement
Toward green mobility
We envisage a transport system producing zero emissions and sparing the surface landscape, while people, on average, range hundreds of kilometres daily. We believe this prospect of ‘green mobility’ is consistent in general principles with historical evolution. We lay out these general principles, extracted from widespread observations of human behaviour over long periods, and use them to explain past transport and to project the next 50 to 100 ye…
Reasons to worry about the human environment
The great reversal
Restoring the Forests
Eight thousand years ago, when humans played only bit parts in the world ecosystem, trees covered two-fifths of the land. Since then, humans have grown in number while thinning and shaving the forests to cook, keep warm, grow crops, plank ships, frame houses, and make paper. Fires, saws, and axes have cleared about half of the original forestland, and some analysts warn that within decades, the remaining natural forests will disappear altogether.…
Death and the human environment
How Much Will Feeding More and Wealthier People Encroach on Forests
Forests have recently expanded in many countries. The success of the world, including both rich and poor, in following this trend depends on future changes in population, income per capita, appetite, and crop yields. Extended to the year 2050, the strengths of these forces, estimated from experience, project cropland shrinking by nearly 200 million hectares, more than three times the land area of France. Changes in some of the forces, with crop y…
A framework for sustainability science
Learning actors' leverage for change along the journey to sustainability requires quantifying the component forces of environmental impact and integrating them. Population, income, consumers' behavior, and producers' efficiency jointly force impact. Here, we renovate the “IPAT Identity” to identify actors with the forces. Forcing impact I are P for population, A for income as gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, C for intensity of use as a go…
Human population dynamics revisited with the logistic model
Will the rest of the world live like America
Economics (16 obras) · Geography (13 obras) · Business (12 obras) · Biology (11 obras) · Political science (11 obras) · Ecology (10 obras) · Environmental Science (9 obras) · Natural resource economics (9 obras) · Population (9 obras) · Sociology (8 obras)