Frank P Harvey
Datos Biográficos
| ID | 2010840 |
|---|---|
| NOMBRE | Frank P Harvey |
| NOMBRES | Frank P |
| APELLIDO | Harvey |
| FIRMA | HARVEY F P |
| AFILIACIONES | Dalhousie University |
| VERIFICADO | No |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 29 |
| TOTAL DE CITAS | 101 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 28 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 1 |
| PRIMER AÑO DE PUBLICACIÓN | 1985 |
| AÑO MÁS RECIENTE DE PUBLICACIÓN | 2025 |
| ÍNDICE H | 6 |
Explaining the 2003 Iraq war (again) - Gore-war vs. Gore-peace revisited
Fighting for Credibility
Do international reputations matter and are they transferable from one context to another? These critically important questions continue to frame policy debates surrounding US responses to crises in Syria and Ukraine. For skeptics, past actions and reputations for resolve have no bearing on an adversary's assessment of US credibility; relative “power” and “interests” explain behaviour (Hopf, 1994; Mercer, 1996; Press, 2005; Walt, 2013; Zakaria 20…
President Al Gore and the 2003 Iraq War
The almost universally accepted explanation for the Iraq war is very clear and consistent, namely, the US decision to attack Saddam Hussein's regime on March 19, 2003, was a product of the ideological agenda, misguided priorities, intentional deceptions and grand strategies of President George W. Bush and prominent “neoconservatives” and “unilateralists” on his national security team. Notwithstanding the widespread appeal of this version of histo…
The Homeland Security Dilemma
Besieged by insurgencies in Afghanistan and Iraq and gripped by mounting pressure to enhance security and public safety at home, officials in Washington and Ottawa are now confronted with a serious homeland security dilemma: the greater the financial costs, public sacrifice and political capital invested in security, the higher the public's expectations and corresponding standards for measuring performance, the more significant the public's sense…
Getting Nato's Success in Kosovo Right
The overwhelming consensus in the literature on Slobodan Milosevic's decision to pull Serb troops out of Kosovo in June, 1999, is very clear—his concession after 78 days of bombing was a direct product of both air strikes and NATO's preparations for a ground war. Most analysts believe it was the combination of these two pressures that established a sufficiently clear, resolute and capable threat to force Milosevic to comply. This paper directly c…
Canada's Addiction to American Security
1. America's Addiction to Security and Public Safety Despite the absence of another terrorist attack on U.S. soil since 9/11, American officials are becoming increasingly addicted to achieving perfect security and absolute safety in the midst of an unwinnable war on terrorism. Success will remain elusive because, over time, more groups and individuals with expanding lists of grievances will acquire the power to inflict levels of damage considered…
Multiple Dialogues, Layered Syntheses, and the Limits of Expansive Cumulation
Our contribution to this forum will focus on four observations about dialogue and synthesis in international relations. (1) Meaningful discussion of these and related issues will remain elusive if we continue to focus exclusively on the broadest level of analysis. There are multiple layers to orientations in the study of world politics that when combined produce irresolvable debates within epistemic and theoretical communities, making synthesis v…
The Future of Strategic Stability and Nuclear Deterrence
INTRODUCTIONStrategic stability is a catch-all expression used by scholars and practitioners to describe a set of interrelated concepts (such as mutually assured destruction), theories (for example, nuclear deterrence), policies (massive retaliation; flexible response; no-first-use), and treaties (Anti-Ballistic Missile treaty), all designed during the cold war for one purpose - to stabilize the longest nuclear rivalry in history to prevent a nuc…
Addicted to Security
MAJOR EVENTS SUCH AS THE END OF THE COLD WAR, the terrorist attacks on 11 September 2001, the US war in Afghanistan (2001) and the Iraq war led by the US and the UK (2003) provide excellent opportunities to re-evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of competing theories of international relations, the accuracy of different predictions about the future derived from these theories and the utility of alternative policy recommendations derived from th…
Conceptualizing and Measuring Conflict Management Success
National Missile Defence Revisited, Again a Reply to David Mutimer
National Missile Defence Revisited, Again
DAVID MUTIMER'S RESPONSE TO MY ARTICLE is a step in the right direction, although proponents and critics of NMD are still not fully engaged in constructive dialogue. Unfortunately, it falls well short of addressing the many logical errors and contradictions I describe in my article. Mutimer spends far too much time explaining why critics have some 'right' to protection from response to my arguments - one might ask why they need protection - and f…
Using Force to Prevent Violence
The International Politics of National Missile Defence
INTRODUCTIONTo encourage more informed discussion of national missile defence (NMD) and to widen a dangerously narrow public debate on the subject, this article challenges critics of NMD to confront the logical and factual errors in their arguments against deployment. Because the American programme has important implications for Canadian foreign and security policies (and Canadian-American relations more generally), critics should be prepared to …
The International Politics of National Missile Defence
Primordialism, Evolutionary Theory and Ethnic Violence in the Balkans
The literature on evolutionary theory tends to address questions of ethnicity from two perspectives: (1) macro, or long–term selection processes associated with basic human preferences for individual or group survival, ethnic identity or kinship affiliations; and (2) intermediate selection mechanisms associated with the fitness and adaptability of specific cultures, religions or belief systems in different regions of the world. Comparatively less…
Practicing Coercion
When do coercive threats succeed or fail? Does success depend on a uniform set of necessary conditions or do core prerequisites vary depending on context? If prerequisites vary, are some combinations more likely than others to lead to success or provoke challenges? The evidence to date is far from definitive. Critics cite proof from comparative case studies that rational deterrence has failed as a strategy and theory, whereas proponents have comp…
Conflict in World Politics
Rigor Mortis or Rigor, More Tests
The critique of rational deterrence constitutes one of the most comprehensive and sustained attacks on a "theory" in the field of international relations, a theory that many still believe is a sound, parsimonious, policy-relevant explanation of both human-social and military-strategic behavior. The attempt to identify the theoretical problems that plague the theory's behavioral assumptions,1 the methodological errors embedded within a great deal …
The Future's Back
Arguing that previous critiques of rational choice and deterrence theory are not convincing, Frank Harvey constructs a new set of empirical tests of rational deterrence theory to illuminate patterns of interaction between rival nuclear powers. He analyses the crisis management techniques used by the United States and the Soviet Union in twenty-eight post-war crises and isolates factors that promote or inhibit escalation of these crises. This cris…
Deterrence and ethnic conflict
Nuclear Crisis as a Multi-stage Threat Game
This investigation focuses on whether nuclear crises can be represented as a series of events with an essentially similar structure. Analysis of superpower crisis interactions, which provides a point of departure for development of a general model, unfolds in four stages. First, literature on deterrence is used to identify problems encountered in previous efforts to obtain cumulative knowledge about the superpower and other rivalries. The second …
Rational Deterrence Theory Revisited
Progress in the debate over rational deterrence has always depended on the ability of scholars to identify a body of evidence that would be appropriate for testing a wide range of propositions derived from the theory. Notwithstanding the tremendous amount of time and energy spent on producing a suitable list of cases, and several noteworthy surveys of the literature, cumulative knowledge about deterrence, both as a theory and as a strategy, remai…
Nuclear Deterrence Theory
One of the most controversial subjects among students of international politics is the role of rational choice in deterrence. Disagreement is especially intense regarding application to the nuclear setting. Progress in that debate depends on identifying evidence appropriate for testing a wide range of propositions. The overall purpose of this review is to assess the record of aggregate evaluation in order to obtain guidance for further research. …
The Most Dangerous Game
Crises involving the superpowers as adversaries pose a serious threat to the survival of the global system. The present investigation will focus on patterns of response when one superpower is faced with a crisis resulting from a threat attributed to the other. The objective is to determine which among several strategic options characterizes superpower reactions. With that priority in mind, there will be four stages to the inquiry. First, several …
Rigor Mortis or Rigor, More Tests
The critique of rational deterrence constitutes one of the most comprehensive and sustained attacks on a "theory" in the field of international relations, a theory that many still believe is a sound, parsimonious, policy-relevant explanation of both human-social and military-strategic behavior. The attempt to identify the theoretical problems that plague the theory's behavioral assumptions,1 the methodological errors embedded within a great deal …
Practicing Coercion
When do coercive threats succeed or fail? Does success depend on a uniform set of necessary conditions or do core prerequisites vary depending on context? If prerequisites vary, are some combinations more likely than others to lead to success or provoke challenges? The evidence to date is far from definitive. Critics cite proof from comparative case studies that rational deterrence has failed as a strategy and theory, whereas proponents have comp…
The Most Dangerous Game
Crises involving the superpowers as adversaries pose a serious threat to the survival of the global system. The present investigation will focus on patterns of response when one superpower is faced with a crisis resulting from a threat attributed to the other. The objective is to determine which among several strategic options characterizes superpower reactions. With that priority in mind, there will be four stages to the inquiry. First, several …
Threat Escalation and Crisis Stability
Using a modified version of Chicken, referred to as the Threat Game, Brams and Kilgour have developed a theoretical model of threat escalation and stability in superpower crises. More specifically, they derive explicit thresholds for sufficient pre-emption to stabilize a crisis before it escalates out of control. An appropriate degree of coercion thereby is designated for the response to an adversary, in order to deter further escalation. The ove…
The Homeland Security Dilemma
Besieged by insurgencies in Afghanistan and Iraq and gripped by mounting pressure to enhance security and public safety at home, officials in Washington and Ottawa are now confronted with a serious homeland security dilemma: the greater the financial costs, public sacrifice and political capital invested in security, the higher the public's expectations and corresponding standards for measuring performance, the more significant the public's sense…
The Anthropology of Space
Deterrence and ethnic conflict
Rational Deterrence Theory Revisited
Progress in the debate over rational deterrence has always depended on the ability of scholars to identify a body of evidence that would be appropriate for testing a wide range of propositions derived from the theory. Notwithstanding the tremendous amount of time and energy spent on producing a suitable list of cases, and several noteworthy surveys of the literature, cumulative knowledge about deterrence, both as a theory and as a strategy, remai…
Nuclear Deterrence Theory
One of the most controversial subjects among students of international politics is the role of rational choice in deterrence. Disagreement is especially intense regarding application to the nuclear setting. Progress in that debate depends on identifying evidence appropriate for testing a wide range of propositions. The overall purpose of this review is to assess the record of aggregate evaluation in order to obtain guidance for further research. …
Getting Nato's Success in Kosovo Right
The overwhelming consensus in the literature on Slobodan Milosevic's decision to pull Serb troops out of Kosovo in June, 1999, is very clear—his concession after 78 days of bombing was a direct product of both air strikes and NATO's preparations for a ground war. Most analysts believe it was the combination of these two pressures that established a sufficiently clear, resolute and capable threat to force Milosevic to comply. This paper directly c…
President Al Gore and the 2003 Iraq War
The almost universally accepted explanation for the Iraq war is very clear and consistent, namely, the US decision to attack Saddam Hussein's regime on March 19, 2003, was a product of the ideological agenda, misguided priorities, intentional deceptions and grand strategies of President George W. Bush and prominent “neoconservatives” and “unilateralists” on his national security team. Notwithstanding the widespread appeal of this version of histo…
Multiple Dialogues, Layered Syntheses, and the Limits of Expansive Cumulation
Our contribution to this forum will focus on four observations about dialogue and synthesis in international relations. (1) Meaningful discussion of these and related issues will remain elusive if we continue to focus exclusively on the broadest level of analysis. There are multiple layers to orientations in the study of world politics that when combined produce irresolvable debates within epistemic and theoretical communities, making synthesis v…
The Future of Strategic Stability and Nuclear Deterrence
INTRODUCTIONStrategic stability is a catch-all expression used by scholars and practitioners to describe a set of interrelated concepts (such as mutually assured destruction), theories (for example, nuclear deterrence), policies (massive retaliation; flexible response; no-first-use), and treaties (Anti-Ballistic Missile treaty), all designed during the cold war for one purpose - to stabilize the longest nuclear rivalry in history to prevent a nuc…
Primordialism, Evolutionary Theory and Ethnic Violence in the Balkans
The literature on evolutionary theory tends to address questions of ethnicity from two perspectives: (1) macro, or long–term selection processes associated with basic human preferences for individual or group survival, ethnic identity or kinship affiliations; and (2) intermediate selection mechanisms associated with the fitness and adaptability of specific cultures, religions or belief systems in different regions of the world. Comparatively less…
The Future's Back
Arguing that previous critiques of rational choice and deterrence theory are not convincing, Frank Harvey constructs a new set of empirical tests of rational deterrence theory to illuminate patterns of interaction between rival nuclear powers. He analyses the crisis management techniques used by the United States and the Soviet Union in twenty-eight post-war crises and isolates factors that promote or inhibit escalation of these crises. This cris…
Addicted to Security
MAJOR EVENTS SUCH AS THE END OF THE COLD WAR, the terrorist attacks on 11 September 2001, the US war in Afghanistan (2001) and the Iraq war led by the US and the UK (2003) provide excellent opportunities to re-evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of competing theories of international relations, the accuracy of different predictions about the future derived from these theories and the utility of alternative policy recommendations derived from th…
Nuclear Crisis as a Multi-stage Threat Game
This investigation focuses on whether nuclear crises can be represented as a series of events with an essentially similar structure. Analysis of superpower crisis interactions, which provides a point of departure for development of a general model, unfolds in four stages. First, literature on deterrence is used to identify problems encountered in previous efforts to obtain cumulative knowledge about the superpower and other rivalries. The second …
Fighting for Credibility
Do international reputations matter and are they transferable from one context to another? These critically important questions continue to frame policy debates surrounding US responses to crises in Syria and Ukraine. For skeptics, past actions and reputations for resolve have no bearing on an adversary's assessment of US credibility; relative “power” and “interests” explain behaviour (Hopf, 1994; Mercer, 1996; Press, 2005; Walt, 2013; Zakaria 20…
The Anthropology of Space
The Anthropology of Space
Anthropology of Space
Threat Escalation and Crisis Stability
Using a modified version of Chicken, referred to as the Threat Game, Brams and Kilgour have developed a theoretical model of threat escalation and stability in superpower crises. More specifically, they derive explicit thresholds for sufficient pre-emption to stabilize a crisis before it escalates out of control. An appropriate degree of coercion thereby is designated for the response to an adversary, in order to deter further escalation. The ove…
Nuclear Deterrence Theory
One of the most controversial subjects among students of international politics is the role of rational choice in deterrence. Disagreement is especially intense regarding application to the nuclear setting. Progress in that debate depends on identifying evidence appropriate for testing a wide range of propositions. The overall purpose of this review is to assess the record of aggregate evaluation in order to obtain guidance for further research. …
The Most Dangerous Game
Crises involving the superpowers as adversaries pose a serious threat to the survival of the global system. The present investigation will focus on patterns of response when one superpower is faced with a crisis resulting from a threat attributed to the other. The objective is to determine which among several strategic options characterizes superpower reactions. With that priority in mind, there will be four stages to the inquiry. First, several …
Rational Deterrence Theory Revisited
Progress in the debate over rational deterrence has always depended on the ability of scholars to identify a body of evidence that would be appropriate for testing a wide range of propositions derived from the theory. Notwithstanding the tremendous amount of time and energy spent on producing a suitable list of cases, and several noteworthy surveys of the literature, cumulative knowledge about deterrence, both as a theory and as a strategy, remai…
Nuclear Crisis as a Multi-stage Threat Game
This investigation focuses on whether nuclear crises can be represented as a series of events with an essentially similar structure. Analysis of superpower crisis interactions, which provides a point of departure for development of a general model, unfolds in four stages. First, literature on deterrence is used to identify problems encountered in previous efforts to obtain cumulative knowledge about the superpower and other rivalries. The second …
Deterrence and ethnic conflict
Conflict in World Politics
Rigor Mortis or Rigor, More Tests
The critique of rational deterrence constitutes one of the most comprehensive and sustained attacks on a "theory" in the field of international relations, a theory that many still believe is a sound, parsimonious, policy-relevant explanation of both human-social and military-strategic behavior. The attempt to identify the theoretical problems that plague the theory's behavioral assumptions,1 the methodological errors embedded within a great deal …
The Future's Back
Arguing that previous critiques of rational choice and deterrence theory are not convincing, Frank Harvey constructs a new set of empirical tests of rational deterrence theory to illuminate patterns of interaction between rival nuclear powers. He analyses the crisis management techniques used by the United States and the Soviet Union in twenty-eight post-war crises and isolates factors that promote or inhibit escalation of these crises. This cris…
Practicing Coercion
When do coercive threats succeed or fail? Does success depend on a uniform set of necessary conditions or do core prerequisites vary depending on context? If prerequisites vary, are some combinations more likely than others to lead to success or provoke challenges? The evidence to date is far from definitive. Critics cite proof from comparative case studies that rational deterrence has failed as a strategy and theory, whereas proponents have comp…
The International Politics of National Missile Defence
INTRODUCTIONTo encourage more informed discussion of national missile defence (NMD) and to widen a dangerously narrow public debate on the subject, this article challenges critics of NMD to confront the logical and factual errors in their arguments against deployment. Because the American programme has important implications for Canadian foreign and security policies (and Canadian-American relations more generally), critics should be prepared to …
The International Politics of National Missile Defence
Primordialism, Evolutionary Theory and Ethnic Violence in the Balkans
The literature on evolutionary theory tends to address questions of ethnicity from two perspectives: (1) macro, or long–term selection processes associated with basic human preferences for individual or group survival, ethnic identity or kinship affiliations; and (2) intermediate selection mechanisms associated with the fitness and adaptability of specific cultures, religions or belief systems in different regions of the world. Comparatively less…
National Missile Defence Revisited, Again a Reply to David Mutimer
National Missile Defence Revisited, Again
DAVID MUTIMER'S RESPONSE TO MY ARTICLE is a step in the right direction, although proponents and critics of NMD are still not fully engaged in constructive dialogue. Unfortunately, it falls well short of addressing the many logical errors and contradictions I describe in my article. Mutimer spends far too much time explaining why critics have some 'right' to protection from response to my arguments - one might ask why they need protection - and f…
Using Force to Prevent Violence
Conceptualizing and Measuring Conflict Management Success
Multiple Dialogues, Layered Syntheses, and the Limits of Expansive Cumulation
Our contribution to this forum will focus on four observations about dialogue and synthesis in international relations. (1) Meaningful discussion of these and related issues will remain elusive if we continue to focus exclusively on the broadest level of analysis. There are multiple layers to orientations in the study of world politics that when combined produce irresolvable debates within epistemic and theoretical communities, making synthesis v…
The Future of Strategic Stability and Nuclear Deterrence
INTRODUCTIONStrategic stability is a catch-all expression used by scholars and practitioners to describe a set of interrelated concepts (such as mutually assured destruction), theories (for example, nuclear deterrence), policies (massive retaliation; flexible response; no-first-use), and treaties (Anti-Ballistic Missile treaty), all designed during the cold war for one purpose - to stabilize the longest nuclear rivalry in history to prevent a nuc…
Addicted to Security
MAJOR EVENTS SUCH AS THE END OF THE COLD WAR, the terrorist attacks on 11 September 2001, the US war in Afghanistan (2001) and the Iraq war led by the US and the UK (2003) provide excellent opportunities to re-evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of competing theories of international relations, the accuracy of different predictions about the future derived from these theories and the utility of alternative policy recommendations derived from th…
Canada's Addiction to American Security
1. America's Addiction to Security and Public Safety Despite the absence of another terrorist attack on U.S. soil since 9/11, American officials are becoming increasingly addicted to achieving perfect security and absolute safety in the midst of an unwinnable war on terrorism. Success will remain elusive because, over time, more groups and individuals with expanding lists of grievances will acquire the power to inflict levels of damage considered…
Getting Nato's Success in Kosovo Right
The overwhelming consensus in the literature on Slobodan Milosevic's decision to pull Serb troops out of Kosovo in June, 1999, is very clear—his concession after 78 days of bombing was a direct product of both air strikes and NATO's preparations for a ground war. Most analysts believe it was the combination of these two pressures that established a sufficiently clear, resolute and capable threat to force Milosevic to comply. This paper directly c…
Political science (26 obras) · Law (22 obras) · Law (18 obras) · International Relations and Foreign Policy (17 obras) · Sociology (16 obras) · Law and economics (14 obras) · Economics (13 obras) · Political economy (11 obras) · Politics (11 obras) · History (10 obras)