Leo Page
Datos Biográficos
| ID | 267372 |
|---|---|
| NOMBRE | Leo Page |
| NOMBRES | Leo |
| APELLIDO | Page |
| FIRMA | PAGE L |
| AFILIACIONES | Queensland University of Technology |
| ORCID | 0000-0002-6020-9733 |
| VERIFICADO | Sí |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 27 |
| TOTAL DE CITAS | 27 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 27 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 0 |
| PRIMER AÑO DE PUBLICACIÓN | 1938 |
| AÑO MÁS RECIENTE DE PUBLICACIÓN | 2026 |
| ÍNDICE H | 3 |
Disappointment looms around the corner
We study whether restaurants in more visible urban locations receive different customer ratings, consistent with consumer-search models in which prominence interacts with search frictions. Using 1.5 million Yelp reviews of 61,000 restaurants in 18 cities across eight countries, we relate ratings to three location-based proxies for prominence: proximity to tourist landmarks, street corners, and public squares. Across specifications with rich contr…
How Market Prices React to Information
Using a natural experiment setting in binary options markets, we compare the evolution of market prices in situations where the occurrence of public information shocks is contingent on knife-edge conditions and can be considered nearly random. We find that prices mostly react efficiently and quickly to information shocks, adjusting to the new fundamental value. Nonetheless, we observe a tendency for prices to initially under-react when the inform…
Small ponds are best to motivate performance with relative feedback
The strategic benefits of overconfidence
Driving a hard bargain is a balancing act
Introduction
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
Using digital technologies to deliver scenarios to geographically dispersed stakeholders
The heritability of fertility makes world population stabilization unlikely in the foreseeable future
Fooled by Performance Randomness
We provide evidence of a violation of the informativeness principle whereby lucky successes are overly rewarded. We isolate a quasi-experimental situation where the success of an agent is as good as random. To do so, we use high-quality data on football (soccer) matches and select shots on goal that landed on the goal posts. Using nonscoring shots, taken from a similar location on the pitch, as counterfactuals to scoring shots, we estimate the ca…
Disclosure for real humans
Modern consumers typically face complex goods and services. In the interest of customer protection, these companies are asked to disclose information about the products and consumers are typically required to indicate their understanding of the information provided. In truth, consumers seldom consult, even less understand the information provided. I present here the state of evidence about how commercial disclosure actually works (or rather does …
Does Success Breed Success? a Quasi-Experiment on Strategic Momentum in Dynamic Contests
We study how agents adapt their behaviour to variations of incentives in dynamic contests. We investigate a real dynamic contest with large stakes: professional tennis matches. Situations in which balls bounce very close to the court’s lines are used as the setting of a quasi-experiment providing random variations in winning probability. We find evidence of a momentum effect for men whereby winning a point has a positive causal impact on the prob…
Winner and loser effects in human competitions. Evidence from equally matched tennis players
Do agents maximise? Risk taking on first and second serves in tennis
The older the bolder
Economics and psychology of contests
I Take Care of My Own
In most collective actions, individuals' incentives are not perfectly aligned with the goals of the group/team they are part of. We investigate how individual specific incentives affect both individuals and team leaders' strategies in a natural setting. We use a discontinuity in individual rewards in batsmen scoring in cricket to identify the causal effect of such incentives on behavior. We find that batsmen react to the presence of individual-sp…
Do Prediction Markets Produce Well‐Calibrated Probability Forecasts
Journal Article Do Prediction Markets Produce Well‐Calibrated Probability Forecasts? Get access Lionel Page, Lionel Page Queensland University of Technology Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Robert T. Clemen Robert T. Clemen Duke University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 123, Issue 568, May 2013, Pages 491–513, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1…
Alone against the crowd
Aspiration levels and educational choices
Des inégalités sociales aux inégalités scolaires
L’explication des inégalités sociales dans l’éducation a souvent été justifiée par des différences d’aspiration entre individus d’origines sociales différentes. Pour expliquer de telles différences, Boudon [1973] a suggéré que les individus ont une perception relative de la réussite sociale : ils comparent leur réussite scolaire à celle de leurs parents. Nous montrons comment la Prospect Theory de Kahneman et Tversky donne un fondement théorique …
La radicalité négligée de la théorie de la justice de John Rawls
Les reseaux sociaux, tels que Facebook sont de plus en plus investis par les usagers d’internet. Ces usages temoignent du meilleur comme du pire, mais demandent surtout a etre elucides du point de vue de la psychanalyse. Le concept de « narcissisme des petites differences » est de ce point de vue tout a fait pertinent. Il permet de saisir l’enjeu narcissique de l’aconflictualite de surface dont temoigne en apparence cet espace d’echange. Il s’agi…
The Young Lag
Within the Walls
The Treatment of Young Offenders
Within the limits of a short paper it is possible to deal with no more than a single aspect of juvenile delinquency, if one makes an effort beyond mere generalities. I propose to say something about the punishment of young offenders after their conviction in the criminal courts. To justify and to explain what I say on this matter I shall assume therefore the truth of two statements: the first, that the amount of crime committed by young people to…
Crime and the Community
Do Prediction Markets Produce Well‐Calibrated Probability Forecasts
Journal Article Do Prediction Markets Produce Well‐Calibrated Probability Forecasts? Get access Lionel Page, Lionel Page Queensland University of Technology Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Robert T. Clemen Robert T. Clemen Duke University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 123, Issue 568, May 2013, Pages 491–513, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1…
Does Success Breed Success? a Quasi-Experiment on Strategic Momentum in Dynamic Contests
We study how agents adapt their behaviour to variations of incentives in dynamic contests. We investigate a real dynamic contest with large stakes: professional tennis matches. Situations in which balls bounce very close to the court’s lines are used as the setting of a quasi-experiment providing random variations in winning probability. We find evidence of a momentum effect for men whereby winning a point has a positive causal impact on the prob…
The older the bolder
Do agents maximise? Risk taking on first and second serves in tennis
Alone against the crowd
I Take Care of My Own
In most collective actions, individuals' incentives are not perfectly aligned with the goals of the group/team they are part of. We investigate how individual specific incentives affect both individuals and team leaders' strategies in a natural setting. We use a discontinuity in individual rewards in batsmen scoring in cricket to identify the causal effect of such incentives on behavior. We find that batsmen react to the presence of individual-sp…
Des inégalités sociales aux inégalités scolaires
L’explication des inégalités sociales dans l’éducation a souvent été justifiée par des différences d’aspiration entre individus d’origines sociales différentes. Pour expliquer de telles différences, Boudon [1973] a suggéré que les individus ont une perception relative de la réussite sociale : ils comparent leur réussite scolaire à celle de leurs parents. Nous montrons comment la Prospect Theory de Kahneman et Tversky donne un fondement théorique …
The strategic benefits of overconfidence
Disclosure for real humans
Modern consumers typically face complex goods and services. In the interest of customer protection, these companies are asked to disclose information about the products and consumers are typically required to indicate their understanding of the information provided. In truth, consumers seldom consult, even less understand the information provided. I present here the state of evidence about how commercial disclosure actually works (or rather does …
Economics and psychology of contests
La radicalité négligée de la théorie de la justice de John Rawls
Les reseaux sociaux, tels que Facebook sont de plus en plus investis par les usagers d’internet. Ces usages temoignent du meilleur comme du pire, mais demandent surtout a etre elucides du point de vue de la psychanalyse. Le concept de « narcissisme des petites differences » est de ce point de vue tout a fait pertinent. Il permet de saisir l’enjeu narcissique de l’aconflictualite de surface dont temoigne en apparence cet espace d’echange. Il s’agi…
The Discharged Prisoner
Later Criminal Careers
Crime and the Community
The Treatment of Young Offenders
Within the limits of a short paper it is possible to deal with no more than a single aspect of juvenile delinquency, if one makes an effort beyond mere generalities. I propose to say something about the punishment of young offenders after their conviction in the criminal courts. To justify and to explain what I say on this matter I shall assume therefore the truth of two statements: the first, that the amount of crime committed by young people to…
The Young Lag
Within the Walls
La radicalité négligée de la théorie de la justice de John Rawls
Les reseaux sociaux, tels que Facebook sont de plus en plus investis par les usagers d’internet. Ces usages temoignent du meilleur comme du pire, mais demandent surtout a etre elucides du point de vue de la psychanalyse. Le concept de « narcissisme des petites differences » est de ce point de vue tout a fait pertinent. Il permet de saisir l’enjeu narcissique de l’aconflictualite de surface dont temoigne en apparence cet espace d’echange. Il s’agi…
Des inégalités sociales aux inégalités scolaires
L’explication des inégalités sociales dans l’éducation a souvent été justifiée par des différences d’aspiration entre individus d’origines sociales différentes. Pour expliquer de telles différences, Boudon [1973] a suggéré que les individus ont une perception relative de la réussite sociale : ils comparent leur réussite scolaire à celle de leurs parents. Nous montrons comment la Prospect Theory de Kahneman et Tversky donne un fondement théorique …
Aspiration levels and educational choices
Alone against the crowd
Do Prediction Markets Produce Well‐Calibrated Probability Forecasts
Journal Article Do Prediction Markets Produce Well‐Calibrated Probability Forecasts? Get access Lionel Page, Lionel Page Queensland University of Technology Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar Robert T. Clemen Robert T. Clemen Duke University Search for other works by this author on: Oxford Academic Google Scholar The Economic Journal, Volume 123, Issue 568, May 2013, Pages 491–513, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1…
I Take Care of My Own
In most collective actions, individuals' incentives are not perfectly aligned with the goals of the group/team they are part of. We investigate how individual specific incentives affect both individuals and team leaders' strategies in a natural setting. We use a discontinuity in individual rewards in batsmen scoring in cricket to identify the causal effect of such incentives on behavior. We find that batsmen react to the presence of individual-sp…
Winner and loser effects in human competitions. Evidence from equally matched tennis players
Do agents maximise? Risk taking on first and second serves in tennis
The older the bolder
Economics and psychology of contests
The heritability of fertility makes world population stabilization unlikely in the foreseeable future
Fooled by Performance Randomness
We provide evidence of a violation of the informativeness principle whereby lucky successes are overly rewarded. We isolate a quasi-experimental situation where the success of an agent is as good as random. To do so, we use high-quality data on football (soccer) matches and select shots on goal that landed on the goal posts. Using nonscoring shots, taken from a similar location on the pitch, as counterfactuals to scoring shots, we estimate the ca…
Disclosure for real humans
Modern consumers typically face complex goods and services. In the interest of customer protection, these companies are asked to disclose information about the products and consumers are typically required to indicate their understanding of the information provided. In truth, consumers seldom consult, even less understand the information provided. I present here the state of evidence about how commercial disclosure actually works (or rather does …
Does Success Breed Success? a Quasi-Experiment on Strategic Momentum in Dynamic Contests
We study how agents adapt their behaviour to variations of incentives in dynamic contests. We investigate a real dynamic contest with large stakes: professional tennis matches. Situations in which balls bounce very close to the court’s lines are used as the setting of a quasi-experiment providing random variations in winning probability. We find evidence of a momentum effect for men whereby winning a point has a positive causal impact on the prob…
Using digital technologies to deliver scenarios to geographically dispersed stakeholders
Introduction
An abstract is not available for this content so a preview has been provided. Please use the Get access link above for information on how to access this content
Driving a hard bargain is a balancing act
How Market Prices React to Information
Using a natural experiment setting in binary options markets, we compare the evolution of market prices in situations where the occurrence of public information shocks is contingent on knife-edge conditions and can be considered nearly random. We find that prices mostly react efficiently and quickly to information shocks, adjusting to the new fundamental value. Nonetheless, we observe a tendency for prices to initially under-react when the inform…
Small ponds are best to motivate performance with relative feedback
Economics (12 obras) · Computer Science (11 obras) · Experimental Behavioral Economics Studies (8 obras) · Psychology (8 obras) · Sociology (8 obras) · Sports Analytics and Performance (8 obras) · Business (7 obras) · Political science (7 obras) · Microeconomics (5 obras) · Social Psychology (5 obras)