Gustavo Fondevila
Datos Biográficos
| ID | 281878 |
|---|---|
| NOMBRE | Gustavo Fondevila |
| NOMBRES | Gustavo |
| APELLIDO | Fondevila |
| FIRMA | FONDEVILA G |
| AFILIACIONES | Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-4818-0584 |
| VERIFICADO | Sí |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 67 |
| TOTAL DE CITAS | 44 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 67 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 0 |
| PRIMER AÑO DE PUBLICACIÓN | 2001 |
| AÑO MÁS RECIENTE DE PUBLICACIÓN | 2026 |
| ÍNDICE H | 4 |
Temporality, violence, and masculinity challenges
Shaking urban crime
Criminology maintains that disasters modify routines and social control in disaster areas, impacting the incidence of crime. However, the spatial concentration of crime in affected areas has been little explored. This study analyses the impact of the earthquakes that occurred on the 7 and 19 September 2017, with magnitudes of 8.2 and 7.1 respectively, on crime patterns in Mexico City. Using geo-spatial techniques (LISA and SPPT), crime data in 18…
The diversification of drug trafficking organizations
Spatial competition and violence among organized crime groups in Mexico
Income Inequality and Homicide in North America
This study examines whether income inequality predicts homicide rates in Canada, the United States and Mexico. Drawing on relative deprivation and violent competition theories, we assess whether the inequality–violence relationship varies across national contexts and whether economic growth reduces homicide. Using panel data from 1990 to 2020, we estimate a spatial generalized additive model that allows non‐linear and country‐specific effects of …
Crime as a Job
Studies have shown that people who commit criminalized acts draw upon different narrative roles. This study highlights the narrative role of the professional and explores how such identities and self-understandings influence risk assessment and desistance. The study is based on qualitative interviews with 54 prisoners from Argentina, Chile, Honduras, and Mexico—all convicted of theft and robbery. The language of formal work and references to deta…
Allocating police stations
Public policies to prevent and reduce crime often emphasize the need for increased police presence in strategic locations to lower crime through their deterrent effects and ability to incapacitate offenders. This study examines the association between police module allocation and the concentration of low-impact crime. To achieve this, a two-part empirical strategy is employed to assess the effects of the territorial distribution of police modules…
The compounded risks of extortion
Between Paternalism and a Gender Perspective
Research has shown that women are treated more leniently than men in the criminal justice system, a finding that is often explained by referencing focal concerns theory and stereotypes related to paternalism and chivalry. For the most part, this research is quantitative, has focused on sentencing, and has been conducted in the Global North. We build on this literature by leveraging qualitative data to examine prosecutors’ gender perceptions and h…
From crime rates to crime harm
This study investigates the spatial and temporal dynamics of crime and social development in Mexico City between 2019 and 2023. By utilizing novel metrics—including crime rate (CR), crime harm per resident (CHIP), and crime harm per victim (CHIV)—alongside the Social Development Index (SDI), the study uncovers complex spatial relationships between crime and social conditions. The analysis reveals significant variability in crime patterns, highlig…
Clandestine Dumpsites and Crime in Mexico City
This paper revisits the broken windows theory with a particular focus on one sign of social disorder: clandestine dumpsites. To explore whether these are predictors of different types of crimes at a neighborhood level, two classification methods were used. Results suggest that clandestine dumpsites have a high predictive capacity for the crimes of dispossession, property damage, house robbery, vehicle theft, and robbery, and have almost none for …
Criminal Case Processing and Cumulative Disadvantage in Chile
This article examines how flagrante delicto and pretrial detention shape criminal case outcomes individually and cumulatively in Santiago, Chile. We find that flagrante delicto is associated with increases in the likelihood of pretrial detention and reductions in the likelihood of non-punitive outcomes, while both factors channel cases toward guilty pleas. Yet, flagrante delicto is also associated with increases in the likelihood of guilty pleas …
Towards a cartography of small-scale property grabbing
Beyond the immediate effects of income inequality on homicide rates
No Family, No Friends
Literature on recidivism and desistance has acquired increasing relevance in the criminological discussions of recent years. This study seeks to contribute to this discourse by implementing an instrumental variable analysis to examine inmates’ expectations regarding the factors that play a central role in their perceptions of factors for successful social reintegration. Results indicate that education is perceived as a key factor, while the suppo…
Unraveling residential burglary trends in urban Mexico
Family violence and runaway children in prisoner populations of Latin America
The paper aims to analyse the links between domestic violence and children abandoning their family home, using new empirical evidence from the Latin American inmate population. Interest in this group is obvious, as it is precisely because they ran away from home that many may have ended up in a criminal environment and finally, in prison. Among prison inmates, family violence is a strong predictor of abandoning the childhood home. Such inmates ha…
City on fire
Most of the literature on fires focuses on the wild or rural environment. Nevertheless, urban fires, and in particular those related to criminal activity, have recently begun to receive greater attention. This study focuses on the analysis of fires in shopping malls, public markets and businesses in Mexico City to study the criminal intention of arson in cities. Using spatial analysis and count models, we study emergency calls (911) from January …
Policing Social Disorder and Broken Windows Theory
There is ongoing debate regarding the association between disorder and criminality. The literature has shown mixed, reduced, or no effects between the two phenomena, although few studies have dealt with the problem in terms of social disorder and its spatial heterogeneity. Using official records, we analyzed crime incidence involving vehicles in Mexico City neighborhoods with a combination of spatial methods, classification algorithms, and non-pa…
Legal defense in Latin America
Testing the local and spatial spillover effects of police monitored CCTV systems on crime
Empirical Issues in the Homicide-Income Inequality Argument
The argument that income inequality increases homicide rates has provoked scholarly debate, with some studies not supporting this position and providing evidence to the contrary. We identify several empirical issues with the current body of evidence, as well as their underlying problems. We challenge these issues by using more robust techniques than those typical of this literature. Based on the case of Mexican municipalities, we provide evidence…
State Theory and Public Administration in Latin America
Research and teaching about the state in Latin America have been under the strong influence of constitutional law and political philosophy since the nineteenth century. To this day, a formal constitutional understanding of the state dominates not only professional training and scholarly research in the fields of government and public administration but also, perhaps more significantly, public controversies about the design of state institutions. …
Landscapes of dispossession
It is generally accepted that the State plays an important role in promoting and facilitating practices of dispossession; yet there is little reflection on its role in prevention, processing, and reversion (restitution). Our research focusses on dispossession understood as a crime. The criminal classification of dispossession as well as the continued reporting of its frequency and magnitude, suggest that crucial State institutions, such as those …
A quantile panel examination of the moderation effects of guardianship on residential burglary
Corona crimes
The epidemic psychology of pandemics creates an atmosphere of panic and fear that can expedite new laws and facilitate criminogenic narrative arousal. Using narrative criminology, we discuss crimes that emerged from pandemic narratives in the early phases of the disease in Mexico. We show how pandemic master narratives have unexpected criminogenic effects; can be negotiated to make them criminogenic; and are opposed by more fundamentally criminog…
Testing Broken Windows Theory in Mexico City
Objectives To test the broken windows theory in the Mexican context. Methods Publicly available homicide counts and census data at the neighborhood level were used. Broken windows theory was operationalized through the use of social disorder and physical disorder measures. Measures were both calculated using PCA. For data analysis, we employed four multilevel random intercept models to relate homicide counts to our broken windows components. Resu…
A Community-level Test of General Strain Theory (GST) in Mexico
This study explores the capacity of GST theory at the community level to explain differences in homicide rates across Mexico City neighborhoods. We find that higher levels of economic deprivation, population size, and organized crime activity, the latter being a source of strain leading to the deterioration of Mexican communities, are positively associated with homicide rates. However, neither crowding, residential mobility, nor Indian speaking p…
Stories of the “good father”
This study examines the role of fatherhood for incarcerated men in Mexico, based on repeated life-story interviews with twelve men. We distinguish between their descriptions of fatherhood in the past and present and how they imagine the future, and explore how fathers describe their relationship with their children. The incarcerated men idealize the past with their children or tell stories of how they have changed from being “bad” to “good” fathe…
The Impact of Anti-Covid-19 Measures on Mexico City Criminal Reports
From the start of the COVID-19 outbreak, government measures impacted citizens' behavior, particularly regarding social distancing and confinement. Whether or not these measures influenced criminal behavior is an area of particular interest. Findings, mainly concerned with the routine activity theory, have correlated restrictions on movement and circulation with a general decrease in crime. In this analysis, we use the case of Mexico City to esti…
Pre-trial detention and legal defence in Latin America
Pre-trial detention is used extensively in Latin America as a systematic practice implemented by courts. Despite this fact, few empirical studies have analysed the role of defence attorneys in pre-trial incarceration. This paper attempts to describe the actions taken by lawyers in order to free their clients during the judicial process, using new empirical evidence collected from the incarcerated population in Argentina, Brazil, El Salvador, Chil…
Perceived Police Corruption and Fear of Crime in Mexico
Estudios previos en México argumentan que la percepción de corrupción y la percepción de eficacia predicen la insatisfacción y la falta de confianza en la policía. Este artículo extiende estos estudios previos al examinar si la percepción de corrupción policial impacta el miedo al crimen entre la población adulta. Argumentamos que –más allá de los correlativos tradicionales del miedo al crimen y controlando por la intensidad de la guerra contra e…
Getting back to the state
This paper analyzes the impact of the pandemic (from 2020 to 2021) on levels of trust and legitimacy of the Chilean police (Carabineros) by the population in the metropolitan area of Santiago, Chile. Based on a pseudo-panel method and a cohort fixed-effects regression model that controlled for unobserved time invariant heterogeneity, we found a significant increase in police legitimacy during the pandemic (on average, 63%, among the adult residen…
The spatial diffusion of homicide in Mexico City
Homicidal violence has increased substantially in Mexico City in recent years. In this regard, we ask three questions: First, is there a contagious spread of this violence across neighbourhoods? Second, does it spread in association with drug market activity among local criminal organisations? Third, does it spread to neighbourhoods characterised by concentrated disadvantage, disorder, and crime opportunity? Using homicide data aggregated at the …
Testing Routine Activity Theory in Mexico
Using a comprehensive victimization survey data set, we develop the first test of routine activity (RA) theory in a Latin American country. Estimating a complementary log–log multilevel model of the theory in several stages, we investigate what factors in the theory predict residential burglary risk. We find that measures associated with the exposure to potential offenders, target attractiveness, target accessibility, personal guardianship, socia…
Homicide as a function of city block layout
Focused on Mexico City, this article offers a seminal examination of the relationship between block layout and intentional homicide. The authors applied multilevel random-intercept negative binomial models to assess the contribution of block layout characteristics to homicide counts while controlling for other factors related to the physical environment and socioeconomic disadvantage. The assessment finds that container-type city blocks registere…
War Hypotheses
This essay analyses how Mexican presidents have interpreted the concepts of drug trafficking and national security and how these particular connotations have redefined national sovereignty and the specific role of the armed forces in protecting this sovereignty. A qualitative technique of discourse analysis is used to examine public speeches by Zedillo (1994-2000), Fox (2000-2006) and Calderón (2006-2012). The conclusions suggest that drug traffi…
City on fire
Most of the literature on fires focuses on the wild or rural environment. Nevertheless, urban fires, and in particular those related to criminal activity, have recently begun to receive greater attention. This study focuses on the analysis of fires in shopping malls, public markets and businesses in Mexico City to study the criminal intention of arson in cities. Using spatial analysis and count models, we study emergency calls (911) from January …
Criminal justice reform and court-imposed bail in Mexico
This article furthers the discussion on bail through an analysis of the conditions under which this measure is used in Mexico, a country which has recently reformed its penal system (2008–2016) by introducing new procedural rules, which seek to reduce the use of pretrial detention. The study is based on a statistical-descriptive examination of 1,537 judicial cases in which judges chose to impose either pretrial detention or bail. Our findings ind…
Female homicide victimisation in Mexico
Recent literature has demonstrated that the War on Drugs policies had different consequences for different population groups. Despite this, female homicide victimisation resulting from such policies remains an underexplored subject of study. This paper examines the asymmetrical patterns of female homicides in the Mexican states that implemented the 2006 War on Drugs. A group-based trajectory analysis was undertaken, complemented by a spatial anal…
Castidad y honestidad sexual de la mujer joven en la justicia
Este artículo analiza el modo en que el ámbito judicial ha perfilado la conducta sexual aceptable de la mujer joven en la sociedad mexicana. Desde que inicia el siglo XX hasta fechas recientes, los elementos de los tipos penales relativos a delitos sexuales han servido para construir un ideal (moral) socialmente aceptable de sexualidad juvenil. En este sentido, tanto el juicio social como el resultado del proceso judicial coinciden en definir dic…
Las funciones de la toleranci en la resocialización política de lá ciudadanía
Este trabajo analiza críticamente la caracterización del comunitarismo (Michael Walzer y Amitai Etzioni) respecto de los problemas de desintegración social de las sociedades post-industriales (diagnóstico social) y las categorías propuestas (tolerancia, solidaridad y resocialización moral) para solucionar dichos problemas y sus consecuencias (apatía ciudadana, desinterés por los asuntos públicos, falta de compromiso social, criminalidad, vandalis…
Castidad y honestidad sexual de la mujer joven en la justicia
Este artículo analiza el modo en que el ámbito judicial ha perfilado la conducta sexual aceptable de la mujer joven en la sociedad mexicana. Desde que inicia el siglo XX hasta fechas recientes, los elementos de los tipos penales relativos a delitos sexuales han servido para construir un ideal (moral) socialmente aceptable de sexualidad juvenil. En este sentido, tanto el juicio social como el resultado del proceso judicial coinciden en definir dic…
Re-distribución, reconocimiento y derechos en el ámbito laboral mexicano
Una revista científica, con revisión por pares, que publica investigación empírica y contribuciones teóricas en sociología, antropología, sociodemografía, y disciplinas afines. Nuestra misión es presentar los resultados de la investigación de la más alta calidad, con énfasis en América Latina, pero con proyección y alcance global
Utilidad Y Eficacia De Tratados Y Convenios Internacionales en México
Desde 1919, el Estado mexicano suscribe y ratifica tratados internacionales. Sin embargo, no hay estudios empíricos que revelen la eficacia de dichos tratados ni su cumplimiento. En este sentido, este trabajo intenta contestar la siguiente pregunta: ¿qué utilidad tienen los tratados internacionales en México? Como el universo de población es demasiado extenso, el análisis se circunscribe a un caso concreto: la discriminación laboral de las mujere…
‘ Madrinas ’
This paper analyzes the institutional role of informal para‐police groups in Mexico known as ‘madrinas.’ The specific characteristics of ‘madrinas’ are that they are run as complex‐structured networks with hierarchies, they actively participate in police activities, and they are an alternative way of gaining entry into the police institution. However, their key function is intelligence work within the police agency itself, which is why they still…
Freezing Out the Mexican Cops
In recent years, bullying problems in public security or defense institutions have been studied. Such problems are associated with high stress situations, a large workload and pressure in hierarchical organisms that base their success on a rigid system of asymmetric power and authoritarian leadership style. The aim of the current study is to investigate (in-depth interviews and ethnographic work) the patterns of the victims’ subjective cultural p…
Juego de palabras
El proceso de democratización en México ha sido estudiado exhaustivamente pero poco se ha discutido sobre el efecto que ha tenido en la concepción oficial de la seguridad pública y del control delictivo. En este documento se plantea una pregunta de investigación que apunta a un aspecto de ese tema: los discursos presidenciales. ¿Cuál es el cambio “discursivo” en la concepción gubernamental de la seguridad pública y del control delictivo en la tra…
Comprensión social y complejidad del derecho en el ámbito familiar
En este trabajo, el autor analiza la relación entre la complejidad jurídica de las normas o procedimientos del sistema de administración de justicia y la comprensión social de los usuarios. Indaga factores que dificultan dicho proceso relacionando el nivel socioeconómico y educativo de los usuarios con su comprensión del derecho, así como la percepción social del sistema de administración de justicia
Mapping the Killer State
As a now voluminous literature demonstrates, lethal encounters between the State and society can occur under a variety of conditions and have different meanings according to the victims' characteristics. Nevertheless, only a few scholars have specifically discussed the manner in which females lose their lives at the hand of the State. This study examines 132 female deaths due to legal intervention that took place in Mexico from 2004 to 2010. In p…
War Hypotheses
This essay analyses how Mexican presidents have interpreted the concepts of drug trafficking and national security and how these particular connotations have redefined national sovereignty and the specific role of the armed forces in protecting this sovereignty. A qualitative technique of discourse analysis is used to examine public speeches by Zedillo (1994-2000), Fox (2000-2006) and Calderón (2006-2012). The conclusions suggest that drug traffi…
Kant y la libertad de la imaginación
A descriptive model of the relationship between police CCTV systems and crime. Evidence from Mexico City
We test the relationship of police closed circuit television (CCTV) systems with crime at the census block level. Our descriptive model is based on environmental criminology theory and spatial modeling. We use as case study the Colonia Roma neighborhood in Mexico City which is a neighborhood characterized by high density, mixed uses, and high levels of crime. We found that CCTV correlated only with non-violent crime and, further, that crime was m…
Economic informality as a national project
Despite the numerous theoretical and empirical gains rendered by research that has attempted to ‘bring the State back in’ to the study of economic informality, this literature has focused on state regulation and law enforcement while for the most part neglecting the analysis of the state as both an ideological product and a producer of meanings and ideologies. In this paper, we analyze the Mexican state's conceptualizations of economic informalit…
War on Drugs, War on Women
Recent literature has established that War on Drug policies lead to differentiated consequences over the lives of certain groups within the population when analyzed by race, gender, age, and/or social status. In particular is the relationship between the War on Drugs and its effects on women. The objective of this article is to analyze the asymmetric behavior of homicidal victimization between males and females that has unfolded since the beginni…
Homicide as a function of city block layout
Focused on Mexico City, this article offers a seminal examination of the relationship between block layout and intentional homicide. The authors applied multilevel random-intercept negative binomial models to assess the contribution of block layout characteristics to homicide counts while controlling for other factors related to the physical environment and socioeconomic disadvantage. The assessment finds that container-type city blocks registere…
Stories of the “good father”
This study examines the role of fatherhood for incarcerated men in Mexico, based on repeated life-story interviews with twelve men. We distinguish between their descriptions of fatherhood in the past and present and how they imagine the future, and explore how fathers describe their relationship with their children. The incarcerated men idealize the past with their children or tell stories of how they have changed from being “bad” to “good” fathe…
Tipo de vivienda, barreras físicas y sensación de inseguridad en la colonia
En este estudio analizamos si el tipo de vivienda y las barreras físicas colocadas entre la calle y la entrada de la misma mantienen una relación estadística con la sensación de inseguridad en el entorno de la colonia. Los resultados sugieren rechazar tal hipótesis por no existir evidencia. Esta investigación permite al lector conocer los correlativos que se asocian con la sensación de inseguridad en la colonia. Para la realización de este anális…
Corona crimes
The epidemic psychology of pandemics creates an atmosphere of panic and fear that can expedite new laws and facilitate criminogenic narrative arousal. Using narrative criminology, we discuss crimes that emerged from pandemic narratives in the early phases of the disease in Mexico. We show how pandemic master narratives have unexpected criminogenic effects; can be negotiated to make them criminogenic; and are opposed by more fundamentally criminog…
Perceived Police Corruption and Fear of Crime in Mexico
Estudios previos en México argumentan que la percepción de corrupción y la percepción de eficacia predicen la insatisfacción y la falta de confianza en la policía. Este artículo extiende estos estudios previos al examinar si la percepción de corrupción policial impacta el miedo al crimen entre la población adulta. Argumentamos que –más allá de los correlativos tradicionales del miedo al crimen y controlando por la intensidad de la guerra contra e…
Testing Broken Windows Theory in Mexico City
Objectives To test the broken windows theory in the Mexican context. Methods Publicly available homicide counts and census data at the neighborhood level were used. Broken windows theory was operationalized through the use of social disorder and physical disorder measures. Measures were both calculated using PCA. For data analysis, we employed four multilevel random intercept models to relate homicide counts to our broken windows components. Resu…
Spatial Analysis of Gunshot Reports on Twitter in Mexico City
The quarantine and stay-at-home measures implemented by most governments significantly impacted the volume and distribution of crime, and already, a body of literature exists that focuses on the effects of lockdown on crime. However, the effects of lockdown on firearm violence have yet to be studied. Within this context, this study analyzes reports of gunshots in Mexico City registered on Twitter from October 2018 to 2019 (pre-COVID-19) and from …
The impact of city block type on residential burglary
Crime deterrent effect of police stations
Prisons and Crime in Latin America
This groundbreaking work examines Latin America's prison crisis and the failure of mass incarceration policies. As crime rates rose over the past few decades, policy makers adopted incarceration as the primary response to public outcry. Yet, as the number of inmates increased, crime rates only continued to grow. Presenting new cross-national data based on extensive surveys of inmates throughout the region, this book explains the transformation of…
Criminal displacement in Mexico city's metropolitan area
Criminology (42 obras) · Political science (42 obras) · Sociology (41 obras) · Crime Patterns and Interventions (40 obras) · Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance (29 obras) · Psychology (27 obras) · Law (26 obras) · Geography (22 obras) · Medicine (19 obras) · Criminal Justice and Corrections Analysis (15 obras)