Volker Krey

Datos Biográficos

ID4017435
NOMBREVolker Krey
NOMBRESVolker
APELLIDOKrey
FIRMAKREY V
AFILIACIONESInternational Institute for Applied Systems Analysis
ORCID0000-0003-0307-3515
VERIFICADOSí
TOTAL DE OBRAS47
TOTAL DE CITAS404
TOTAL COMO AUTOR47
TOTAL COMO EDITOR0
PRIMER AÑO DE PUBLICACIÓN1977
AÑO MÁS RECIENTE DE PUBLICACIÓN2026
ÍNDICE H4

  • Material and carbon implications of future mobility infrastructure expansion around the world

    Open AccessAndré Baumgart, Gamze Ünlü et al.ARTICLEJournal of Industrial Ecology2026

    Global mobility infrastructure is expected to expand significantly, especially in the Global South, potentially requiring a substantial share of the remaining carbon budget. However, the resource use and carbon emissions associated with the anticipated expansion of roads, railways, and other mobility infrastructure, as well as the potential of mitigation measures, have so far not been explored systematically. Using high-resolution infrastructure …

  • Promising climate progress from net-zero ambitions to the Paris Agreement goal

    Open AccessIsabela Schmidt Tagomori, Fabio A Diuana et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2026

    Climate targets require strong commitments from countries to be achieved. Using a multi-model analysis, we show that current net-zero pledges bring the world closer to a well-below 2 °C pathway, but an emission gap remains. Increasing ambition will be crucial: expanding the global coverage of net-zero pledges and speeding up action increases consistency with the Paris Agreement (1.5–2.0 °C range in model mean). However, reaching the 1.5 °C goal w…

  • Feasibility of peak temperature targets in light of institutional constraints

    Open AccessChristoph Bertram, Elina Brutschin et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2024

    Despite faster-than-expected progress in clean energy technology deployment, global annual CO 2 emissions have increased from 2020 to 2023. The feasibility of limiting warming to 1.5 °C is therefore questioned. Here we present a model intercomparison study that accounts for emissions trends until 2023 and compares cost-effective scenarios to alternative scenarios with institutional, geophysical and technological feasibility constraints and enable…

  • Targeting net-zero emissions while advancing other sustainable development goals in China

    Open AccessShu Zhang, Wenying Chen et al.ARTICLENature Sustainability2024Citada por: 3Referencias: 3

  • Ecopt 2

    Open AccessChristine Roxanne Hung, Paul Kishimoto et al.ARTICLEJournal of Industrial Ecology2022

    Life cycle assessment (LCA) is a method to evaluate the environmental impacts of technologies from cradle to grave. However, LCAs are commonly defined in terms of the consumption of a single unit of a product and thus ignore scaling issues in large‐scale deployment of technologies. Such product‐level LCAs often do not consider capital manufacturing capacity and supply chain bottlenecks that may hinder the rapid, widespread uptake of emerging tech…

  • Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot

    Open AccessKeywan Riahi, Christoph Bertram et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2021

  • Net zero-emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change

    Open AccessLaurent Drouet, Valentina Bosetti et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2021

  • A framework for national scenarios with varying emission reductions

    Open AccessShinichiro Fujimori, Volker Krey et al.ARTICLENature Climate Change2021

  • Emissions of electric vehicle charging in future scenarios

    Open AccessAnders Arvesen, Steve Völler et al.ARTICLEJournal of Industrial Ecology2021

    Electrification of transport is an important option to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Although many studies have analyzed emission implications of electric vehicle charging, time‐specific emission effects of charging are inadequately understood. Here, we combine climate protection scenarios for Europe for the year 2050, detailed power system simulation at hourly time steps, and life cycle assessment of electricity in order to explore the influe…

  • Air quality and health implications of 1.5 °C–2 °C climate pathways under considerations of ageing population

    Open AccessPeter Rafaj, Gregor Kiesewetter et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Low-carbon pathways consistent with the 2 °C and 1.5 °C long-term climate goals defined in the Paris Agreement are likely to induce substantial co-benefits for air pollution and associated health impacts. In this analysis, using five global integrated assessment models, we quantify the emission reductions in key air pollutants resulting from the decarbonization of energy systems and the resulting changes in premature mortality attributed to the e…

  • Climate change scenario services

    Open AccessCornelia Auer, Elmar Kriegler et al.ARTICLEOne Earth2021

    The goal of limiting global warming to well below 2°C as set out in the Paris Agreement calls for a strategic assessment of societal pathways and policy strategies. Besides policy makers, new powerful actors from the private sector, including finance, have stepped up to engage in forward-looking assessments of a Paris-compliant and climate-resilient future. Climate change scenarios have addressed this demand by providing scientific insights on th…

  • Integrated assessment model diagnostics

    Open AccessMathijs Harmsen, Elmar Kriegler et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    Integrated assessment models (IAMs) form a prime tool in informing about climate mitigation strategies. Diagnostic indicators that allow comparison across these models can help describe and explain differences in model projections. This increases transparency and comparability. Earlier, the IAM community has developed an approach to diagnose models (Kriegler (2015 Technol. Forecast. Soc. Change 90 45–61)). Here we build on this, by proposing a se…

  • Energy system developments and investments in the decisive decade for the Paris Agreement goals

    Open AccessChristoph Bertram, Keywan Riahi et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2021

    The Paris Agreement does not only stipulate to limit the global average temperature increase to well below 2 °C, it also calls for ‘making finance flows consistent with a pathway towards low greenhouse gas emissions’. Consequently, there is an urgent need to understand the implications of climate targets for energy systems and quantify the associated investment requirements in the coming decade. A meaningful analysis must however consider the nea…

  • Land-based implications of early climate actions without global net-negative emissions

    Open AccessTomoko Hasegawa, Shinichiro Fujimori et al.ARTICLENature Sustainability2021Citada por: 2Referencias: 14

  • What future for primary aluminium production in a decarbonizing economy

    Open AccessJulien Pedneault, Guillaume Majeau‐Bettez et al.ARTICLEGlobal Environmental Change2021Citada por: 4Referencias: 3

  • Taking stock of national climate policies to evaluate implementation of the Paris Agreement

    Open AccessMark Roelfsema, Heleen Van Soest et al.ARTICLENature Communications2020

    Many countries have implemented national climate policies to accomplish pledged Nationally Determined Contributions and to contribute to the temperature objectives of the Paris Agreement on climate change. In 2023, the global stocktake will assess the combined effort of countries. Here, based on a public policy database and a multi-model scenario analysis, we show that implementation of current policies leaves a median emission gap of 22.4 to 28.…

  • A new scenario logic for the Paris Agreement long-term temperature goal

    Open AccessJoeri Rogelj, Daniel Huppmann et al.ARTICLENature2019

  • Analysing interactions among Sustainable Development Goals with Integrated Assessment Models

    Open AccessHeleen Van Soest, Heleen L van Soest et al.ARTICLEGlobal Transitions2019

    To achieve all Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030, it is necessary to understand how they interact with each other. Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) represent many human–environment interactions and can inform policymakers about the synergies and trade-offs involved in meeting multiple goals simultaneously. We analyse how IAMs, originally developed to study interactions among energy, the economy, climate, and land, can contribute to …

  • Co-designing Indus Water-Energy-Land Futures

    Open AccessYoshihide Wada, Adriano Vinca et al.ARTICLEOne Earth2019

    The Indus River Basin covers an area of around 1 million square kilometers and connects four countries: Afghanistan, China, India, and Pakistan. More than 300 million people depend to some extent on the basin’s water, yet a growing population, increasing food and energy demands, climate change, and shifting monsoon patterns are exerting increasing pressure. Under these pressures, a “business as usual” (BAU) approach is no longer sustainable, and …

  • Early transformation of the Chinese power sector to avoid additional coal lock-in

    Open AccessHuan Wang, Wenying Chen et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2019

    Emission reduction from the coal-dominated power sector is vital for achieving China’s carbon mitigation targets. Although the coal expansion has been slowed down due to the cancellation of and delay in new construction, coal-based power was responsible for over one third of China’s energy-related CO 2 emissions by 2018. Moreover, with a technical lifetime of over 30 years, current investment in coal-based power could hinder CO 2 mitigation until…

  • A comparison of low carbon investment needs between China and Europe in stringent climate policy scenarios

    Open AccessWenji Zhou, David Mccollum et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2019

    The radical change in recent global climate governance calls for China and Europe to ramp up their efforts in leading the world to reach the long-term climate goals. By analyzing the results from the state-of-the-art global integrated assessment model, MESSAGEix-GLOBIOM, this paper aims to understand the future levels of financial investment needed for building and maintaining energy-related infrastructure in the two regions for fulfilling string…

  • A multi-model assessment of food security implications of climate change mitigation

    Open AccessShinichiro Fujimori, Tomoko Hasegawa et al.ARTICLENature Sustainability2019Citada por: 3Referencias: 16

  • Diagnostic indicators for integrated assessment models of climate policy

    Elmar Kriegler, Nils Petermann et al.

  • Enhancing global climate policy ambition towards a 1.5 °c stabilization

    Zoi Vrontisi, Gunnar Luderer et al.

    The Paris Agreement is a milestone in international climate policy as it establishes a global mitigation framework towards 2030 and sets the ground for a potential 1.5 °C climate stabilization. To provide useful insights for the 2018 UNFCCC Talanoa facilitative dialogue, we use eight state-of-the-art climate-energy-economy models to assess the effectiveness of the Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) in meeting high probability 1.…

  • Locked into Copenhagen pledges - Implications of short-term emission targets for the cost and feasibility of long-term climate goals

    Keywan Riahi, Elmar Kriegler et al.