Joacim Rocklöv
Datos Biográficos
| ID | 4621746 |
|---|---|
| NOMBRE | Joacim Rocklöv |
| NOMBRES | Joacim |
| APELLIDO | Rocklöv |
| FIRMA | ROCKLÖV J |
| AFILIACIONES | Umeå University |
| ORCID | 0000-0003-4030-0449 |
| VERIFICADO | Sí |
| TOTAL DE OBRAS | 65 |
| TOTAL DE CITAS | 8 |
| TOTAL COMO AUTOR | 65 |
| TOTAL COMO EDITOR | 0 |
| PRIMER AÑO DE PUBLICACIÓN | 2009 |
| AÑO MÁS RECIENTE DE PUBLICACIÓN | 2026 |
| ÍNDICE H | 2 |
A framework for assessing global health impacts of polar change
Research on the human health risks of climate change is expanding, yet the influence of polar region shifts on these risks remains underexplored. This paper presents a framework to assess global and regional health risks stemming from polar physical changes. The polar regions are experiencing rapid environmental transformations, including melting ice, ocean warming, ocean acidification, permafrost thaw, intensifying wildfires, and alterations to …
Urban Aedes aegypti suitability indicators
Northward expansion of Aedes albopictus-associated arbovirus transmission risk in Europe
Climate change and pandemics
Impact of climate and Aedes albopictus establishment on dengue and chikungunya outbreaks in Europe
The 2024 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change
The 2023 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change
Climate variability, socio-economic conditions and vulnerability to malaria infections in Mozambique 2016–2018
Background: Temperature, precipitation, relative humidity (RH), and Normalized Different Vegetation Index (NDVI), influence malaria transmission dynamics. However, an understanding of interactions between socioeconomic indicators, environmental factors and malaria incidence can help design interventions to alleviate the high burden of malaria infections on vulnerable populations. Our study thus aimed to investigate the socioeconomic and climatolo…
Nowcasting Covid-19 Statistics Reported with Delay
The COVID-19 pandemic has demonstrated the importance of unbiased, real-time statistics of trends in disease events in order to achieve an effective response. Because of reporting delays, real-time statistics frequently underestimate the total number of infections, hospitalizations and deaths. When studied by event date, such delays also risk creating an illusion of a downward trend. Here, we describe a statistical methodology for predicting true…
The 2022 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change
A Method for Estimating the Number of Infections From the Reported Number of Deaths
At the outset of an epidemic, available case data typically underestimate the total number of infections due to insufficient testing, potentially hampering public responses. Here, we present a method for statistically estimating the true number of cases with confidence intervals from the reported number of deaths and estimates of the infection fatality ratio; assuming that the time from infection to death follows a known distribution. While the m…
The 2021 report of the Lancet Countdown on health and climate change
The 2020 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change
The effectiveness of malaria camps as part of the Durgama Anchalare Malaria Nirakaran (DAMaN) program in Odisha, India
The Indian state of Odisha has a longstanding battle with forest malaria. Many remote and rural villages have poor access to health care, a problem that is exacerbated during the rainy season when malaria transmission is at its peak. Approximately 62% of the rural population consists of tribal groups who are among the communities most negatively impacted by malaria. To address the persistently high rates of malaria in these remote regions, the Od…
Development and Comparison of Dengue Vulnerability Indices Using GIS-Based Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis in Lao PDR and Thailand
Dengue is a continuous health burden in Laos and Thailand. We assessed and mapped dengue vulnerability in selected provinces of Laos and Thailand using multi-criteria decision approaches. An ecohealth framework was used to develop dengue vulnerability indices (DVIs) that explain links between population, social and physical environments, and health to identify exposure, susceptibility, and adaptive capacity indicators. Three DVIs were constructed…
Ecological, Social, and Other Environmental Determinants of Dengue Vector Abundance in Urban and Rural Areas of Northeastern Thailand
Aedes aegypti is the main vector of dengue globally. The variables that influence the abundance of dengue vectors are numerous and complex. This has generated a need to focus on areas at risk of disease transmission, the spatial-temporal distribution of vectors, and the factors that modulate vector abundance. To help guide and improve vector-control efforts, this study identified the ecological, social, and other environmental risk factors that a…
The reproductive number of Covid-19 is higher compared to Sars coronavirus
In Wuhan, China, a novel and alarmingly contagious primary atypical (viral) pneumonia broke out in December 2019. It has since been identified as a zoonotic coronavirus, similar to SARS coronavirus and MERS coronavirus and named COVID-19. As of 8 February 2020, 33 738 confirmed cases and 811 deaths have been reported in China. Here we review the basic reproduction number (R0) of the COVID-19 virus. R0 is an indication of the transmissibility of a…
High population densities catalyse the spread of Covid-19
To the Editor-in-chief: The control of the COVID-19 epidemic is in many locations moving from a public health strategy of containment to mitigation.1 A main control strategy of COVID-19 is contact tracing. Its effectiveness depends on the pre-symptomatic and asymptomatic patterns of the disease. With 100% symptomatic cases, R0 of 1.5 could be controlled with 50% of the contacts traced. With R0 of 3.5, 90% is required.2 With pre-symptomatic and po…
Discovery of Carcinogenic Liver Fluke Metacercariae in Second Intermediate Hosts and Surveillance on Fish-Borne Trematode Metacercariae Infections in Mekong Region of Myanmar
Countries of lower Mekong regions are highly alarmed by the spread of fish-borne trematode infections, i.e., small liver flukes and minute intestinal flukes especially in Thailand, Lao People's Democratic Republic (Lao PDR), Vietnam, Cambodia and Myanmar. Moreover; the incidence of cholangiocarcinoma has also been increasing in the endemic area of liver fluke infections. Only a few reports have been published concerning the fish-borne trematodes …
Dengue Seroprevalence and Seroconversion in Urban and Rural Populations in Northeastern Thailand and Southern Laos
Dengue is the most rapidly spreading mosquito-borne viral disease in the world. The detection of clinical cases enables us to measure the incidence of dengue infection, whereas serological surveys give insights into the prevalence of infection. This study aimed to determine dengue seroprevalence and seroconversion rates in northeastern Thailand and southern Laos and to assess any association of mosquito control methods and socioeconomic factors w…
The 2019 report of The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change
The Lancet Countdown is an international, multidisciplinary collaboration, dedicated to monitoring the evolving health profile of climate change, and providing an independent assessment of the delivery of commitments made by governments worldwide under the Paris Agreement.
Climate impacts on the ocean are making the Sustainable Development Goals a moving target travelling away from us
Climate change is impacting marine ecosystems and their goods and services in diverse ways, which can directly hinder our ability to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), set out under the 2030 Agenda for Sustainable Development. Through expert elicitation and a literature review, we find that most climate change effects have a wide variety of negative consequences across marine ecosystem services, though most studies have highlighted…
ZikaPLAN
Zika Preparedness Latin American Network (ZikaPLAN) is a research consortium funded by the European Commission to address the research gaps in combating Zika and to establish a sustainable network with research capacity building in the Americas. Here we present a report on ZikaPLAN`s mid-term achievements since its initiation in October 2016 to June 2019, illustrating the research objectives of the 15 work packages ranging from virology, diagnost…
Dengue Vector Control through Community Empowerment
Effort to control dengue transmission requires community participation to ensure its sustainability. We carried out a knowledge attitude and practice (KAP) survey of dengue prevention to inform the design of a vector control intervention. A cross-sectional survey was conducted in June−August 2014 among 521 households in two villages of Yogyakarta, Indonesia. Demographic characteristics and KAP questions were asked using a self-managed questionnai…
The Lancet Countdown on health and climate change
The opposing effects of climate change and socio-economic development on the global distribution of malaria
On the association between weather variability and total and cause-specific mortality before and during industrialization in Sweden
While there is ample evidence for health risks associated with heat and other extreme weather events today, little is known about the impact of weather patterns on population health in preindustrial societies
Impact of climate and Aedes albopictus establishment on dengue and chikungunya outbreaks in Europe
Climate variability and increase in intensity and magnitude of dengue incidence in Singapore
INTRODUCTION: Dengue is currently a major public health burden in Asia Pacific Region. This study aims to establish an association between dengue incidence, mean temperature and precipitation, and further discuss how weather predictors influence the increase in intensity and magnitude of dengue in Singapore during the period 2000-2007. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Weekly dengue incidence data, daily mean temperature and precipitation and the midyear po…
Comparing approaches for studying the effects of climate extremes – a case study of hospital admissions in Sweden during an extremely warm summer
BACKGROUND: Health effects induced by climate, weather and climatic change may act directly or indirectly on human physiology. The future total burden of global warming is uncertain, but in some areas and for specific outcomes, mortality and morbidity are likely to increase. One likely effect of global warming is an increasing number of extreme weather events, such as floods, storms and heat waves. The excess numbers of specific health outcomes a…
Heat impact on schoolchildren in Cameroon, Africa
BACKGROUND: Health impacts related to climate change are potentially an increasing problem in Cameroon, especially during hot seasons when there are no means for protective and adaptive actions. OBJECTIVE: To describe environmental conditions in schools and to evaluate the impact of heat on schoolchildren's health during school days in the Cameroon cities of Yaoundé and Douala. METHODS: Schoolchildren (N = 285) aged 12-16 years from public second…
The Effect of High Ambient Temperature on the Elderly Population in Three Regions of Sweden
The short-term effects of high temperatures are a serious concern in the context of climate change. In areas that today have mild climates the research activity has been rather limited, despite the fact that differences in temperature susceptibility will play a fundamental role in understanding the exposure, acclimatization, adaptation and health risks of a changing climate. In addition, many studies employ biometeorological indexes without caref…
Heat wave impact on morbidity and mortality in the elderly population
The opposing effects of climate change and socio-economic development on the global distribution of malaria
Time-series analysis of weather and mortality patterns in Nairobi's informal settlements
BACKGROUND: Many studies have established a link between weather (primarily temperature) and daily mortality in developed countries. However, little is known about this relationship in urban populations in sub-Saharan Africa. OBJECTIVES: The objective of this study was to describe the relationship between daily weather and mortality in Nairobi, Kenya, and to evaluate this relationship with regard to cause of death, age, and sex. METHODS: We utili…
DengueTools
Dengue fever is a mosquito-borne viral disease estimated to cause about 230 million infections worldwide every year, of which 25,000 are fatal. Global incidence has risen rapidly in recent decades with some 3.6 billion people, over half of the world's population, now at risk, mainly in urban centres of the tropics and subtropics. Demographic and societal changes, in particular urbanization, globalization, and increased international travel, are m…
Past, present, and future climate at select INDEPTH member Health and Demographic Surveillance Systems in Africa and Asia
BACKGROUND: Climate and weather affect human health directly and indirectly. There is a renewed interest in various aspects of environmental health as our understanding of ongoing climate change improves. In particular, today, the health effects in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are not well understood. Many computer models predict some of the biggest changes in places where people are equipped with minimal resources to combat the effec…
Climate change and eHealth
Climate change is one of today's most pressing global issues. Policies to guide mitigation and adaptation are needed to avoid the devastating impacts of climate change. The health sector is a significant contributor to greenhouse gas emissions in developed countries, and its climate impact in low-income countries is growing steadily. This paper reviews and discusses the literature regarding health sector mitigation potential, known and hypothetic…
Weather and mortality
BACKGROUND: A growing body of evidence points to the emission of greenhouse gases from human activity as a key factor in climate change. This in turn affects human health and wellbeing through consequential changes in weather extremes. At present, little is known about the effects of weather on the health of sub-Saharan African populations, as well as the related anticipated effects of climate change partly due to scarcity of good quality data. W…
The short-term association of temperature and rainfall with mortality in Vadu Health and Demographic Surveillance System
BACKGROUND: Research in mainly developed countries has shown that some changes in weather are associated with increased mortality. However, due to the lack of accessible data, few studies have examined such effects of weather on mortality, particularly in rural regions in developing countries. OBJECTIVE: In this study, we aimed to investigate the relationship between temperature and rainfall with daily mortality in rural India. DESIGN: Daily mort…
Potential Distribution of Dengue Fever Under Scenarios of Climate Change and Economic Development
The influence of seasonal climate variability on mortality in pre-industrial Sweden
BACKGROUND: Recent studies have shown an association between weather and climatic factors with mortality, cardiovascular and infectious diseases. We used historical data to investigate the impact of seasonal temperature and precipitation on total mortality in Uppsala, Sweden, during the first two stages of the demographic transition, 1749-1859. DESIGN: We retrieved mortality and population numbers of the Uppsala Domkyrka parish from digitised par…
Only an integrated approach across academia, enterprise, governments, and global agencies can tackle the public health impact of climate change
BACKGROUND: Despite considerable global attention to the issues of climate change, relatively little priority has been given to the likely effects on human health of current and future changes in the global climate. We identify three major societal determinants that influence the impact of climate change on human health, namely the application of scholarship and knowledge; economic and commercial considerations; and actions of governments and glo…
Community Perceptions of Air Pollution and Related Health Risks in Nairobi Slums
Air pollution is among the leading global risks for mortality and responsible for increasing risk for chronic diseases. Community perceptions on exposure are critical in determining people's response and acceptance of related policies. Therefore, understanding people' perception is critical in informing the design of appropriate intervention measures. The aim of this paper was to establish levels and associations between perceived pollution and h…
A time series approach for evaluating intra-city heat-related mortality
Extreme heat is a leading cause of weather-related mortality. Most research has considered the aggregate response of the populations of large metropolitan areas, but the focus of heat-related mortality and morbidity investigations is shifting towards a more fine-scale approach in which impacts are measured in smaller units such as postal codes. However, most existing statistical techniques to model the relationship between temperature and mortali…
Impact of climate change on global malaria distribution
Significance This study is the first multimalaria model intercomparison exercise. This is carried out to estimate the impact of future climate change and population scenarios on malaria transmission at global scale and to provide recommendations for the future. Our results indicate that future climate might become more suitable for malaria transmission in the tropical highland regions. However, other important socioeconomic factors such as land u…
Epidemiology of dengue fever in Hanoi from 2002 to 2010 and its meteorological determinants
BACKGROUND: Dengue fever (DF) is a growing public health problem in Vietnam. The disease burden in Vietnam has been increasing for decades. In Hanoi, in contrast to many other regions, extrinsic drivers such as weather have not been proved to be predictive of disease frequency, which limits the usefulness of such factors in an early warning system. AIMS: The purpose of this research was to review the epidemiology of DF transmission and investigat…
Special Issue
No abstract available. (Published: 8 December 2014) Citation : Glob Health Action 2014, 7 : 26552 - http://dx.doi.org/10.3402/gha.v7.26552 SPECIAL ISSUE : The individual papers of this Special Issue: Climate Change and Health in Vietnam can be found at http://www.globalhealthaction.net
Primary healthcare system capacities for responding to storm and flood-related health problems
BACKGROUND: As a tropical depression in the East Sea, Vietnam is greatly affected by climate change and natural disasters. Knowledge of the current capacity of the primary healthcare system in Vietnam to respond to health issues associated with storms and floods is very important for policy making in the country. However, there has been little scientific research in this area. OBJECTIVE: This research was to assess primary healthcare system capac…
Diet and nutritional status among children 24–59 months by seasons in a mountainous area of Northern Vietnam in 2012
BACKGROUND: Seasonal variation affects food availability. However, it is not clear if it affects dietary intake and nutritional status of children in Vietnam. OBJECTIVES: This paper aims at examining the seasonal variation in nutrition status and dietary intake of children aged 24-59 months. DESIGN: A repeated cross-sectional study design was used to collect data of changes in nutritional status and diets of children from 24 to 59 months through …
Susceptibility to mortality related to temperature and heat and cold wave duration in the population of Stockholm County, Sweden
BACKGROUND: Ambient temperatures can cause an increase in mortality. A better understanding is needed of how health status and other factors modify the risk associated with high and low temperatures, to improve the basis of preventive measures. Differences in susceptibility to temperature and to heat and cold wave duration are relatively unexplored. OBJECTIVES: We studied the associations between mortality and temperature and heat and cold wave d…
Climate change and health modeling
Mathematical and statistical models are needed to understand the extent to which weather, climate variability, and climate change are affecting current and may affect future health burdens in the context of other risk factors and a range of possible development pathways, and the temporal and spatial patterns of any changes. Such understanding is needed to guide the design and the implementation of adaptation and mitigation measures. Because each …
The effect of temperature on cardiovascular disease hospital admissions among elderly people in Thai Nguyen Province, Vietnam
BACKGROUND: Projected increases in weather variability due to climate change will have severe consequences on human health, increasing mortality, and disease rates. Among these, cardiovascular diseases (CVD), highly prevalent among the elderly, have been shown to be sensitive to extreme temperatures and heat waves. OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to find out the relationship between daily temperature (and other weather parameters) and daily CVD hosp…
Medicine (52 obras) · Geography (41 obras) · Climate Change and Health Impacts (34 obras) · Environmental health (33 obras) · Climate change (29 obras) · Population (24 obras) · Demography (23 obras) · Biology (17 obras) · Malaria Research and Control (17 obras) · Mosquito-borne diseases and control (17 obras)