Ben Lacey

Datos Biográficos

ID5495462
NOMBREBen Lacey
NOMBRESBen
APELLIDOLacey
FIRMABEN LACEY
AFILIACIONESUniversity of Oxford
ORCID0000-0003-0139-2934
VERIFICADOSí
TOTAL DE OBRAS29
TOTAL DE CITAS10
TOTAL COMO AUTOR29
TOTAL COMO EDITOR0
PRIMER AÑO DE PUBLICACIÓN2011
AÑO MÁS RECIENTE DE PUBLICACIÓN2024
ÍNDICE H1

  • Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050

    Open AccessStein Emil Vollset, Hazim S Ababneh et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Future trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and prioritisation. We have expanded and improved upon previous forecasts produced as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) and provide a reference forecast (the most likely future), and alternativ…

  • Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2021, with forecasts to 2100

    Open AccessNatalia V Bhattacharjee, Austin E Schumacher et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Accurate assessments of current and future fertility-including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions-are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, environmental, and geopolitical challenges that these changes will bring. Estimates and projections of fertility are necessary to inform policies involving resource and health-care needs, labour supply, education, gender equality,…

  • Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021

    Open AccessMohsen Naghavi, Kanyin Liane Ong et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Regular, detailed reporting on population health by underlying cause of death is fundamental for public health decision making. Cause-specific estimates of mortality and the subsequent effects on life expectancy worldwide are valuable metrics to gauge progress in reducing mortality rates. These estimates are particularly important following large-scale mortality spikes, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. When systematically analysed, mort…

  • Global incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability (YLDs), disability-adjusted life-years (Dalys), and healthy life expectancy (Hale) for 371 diseases and injuries in 204 countries and territor…

    Open AccessAlize J Ferrari, Damian Francesco Santomauro et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2024

    BACKGROUND: Detailed, comprehensive, and timely reporting on population health by underlying causes of disability and premature death is crucial to understanding and responding to complex patterns of disease and injury burden over time and across age groups, sexes, and locations. The availability of disease burden estimates can promote evidence-based interventions that enable public health researchers, policy makers, and other professionals to im…

  • Unequal impact of Covid-19 on excess deaths, life expectancy, and premature mortality in Spanish regions (2020-2021)

    Open AccessNazrul Islam, Fernando García López et al.ARTICLEGaceta Sanitaria2024

    We aimed to estimate regional inequalities in excess deaths and premature mortality in Spain during 2020 and 2021, before high vaccination coverage against COVID-19. With data from the National Institute of Statistics, within each region, sex, and age group, we estimated the excess deaths, the change in life expectancy at birth ( e 0 ) and age 65 ( e 65 ) and years of life lost as the difference between the observed and expected deaths using a ti…

  • The state of health in the European Union (EU-27) in 2019

    Open AccessJoão Vasco Santos, Alicia Padron-Monedero et al.ARTICLEBMC Public Health2024

    There was a clear trend towards improvement in the overall health status of the EU but with differences between countries. EU health policymakers need to address the burden of diseases, paying specific attention to causes such as mental disorders. There are many opportunities for mutual learning among otherwise similar countries with different patterns of disease

  • Persistence of Sars-CoV-2 antibodies over 18 months following infection

    Open AccessJelena Bešević, Ben Lacey et al.ARTICLEJournal of Epidemiology and…2024Referencias: 16

    BACKGROUND: Little is known about the persistence of antibodies after the first year following SARS-CoV-2 infection. We aimed to determine the proportion of individuals that maintain detectable levels of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies over an 18-month period following infection. METHODS: Population-based prospective study of 20 000 UK Biobank participants and their adult relatives recruited in May 2020. The proportion of SARS-CoV-2 cases testing positive …

  • Social determinants of ethnic disparities in Sars-CoV-2 infection

    Open AccessWemimo Omiyale, Jo Holliday et al.ARTICLEJournal of Epidemiology and…2024Referencias: 27

    BACKGROUND: The social determinants of ethnic disparities in risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection during the first wave of the pandemic in the UK remain unclear. METHODS: In May 2020, a total of 20 195 adults were recruited from the general population into the UK Biobank SARS-CoV-2 Serology Study. Between mid-May and mid-November 2020, participants provided monthly blood samples. At the end of the study, participants completed a questionnaire on social f…

  • Associations of diabetes, hypertension and obesity with Covid-19 mortality

    Open AccessChaoyang Li, Nazrul Islam et al.ARTICLEBMJ Global Health2023

  • Predictive value of metabolic profiling in cardiovascular risk scores

    Open AccessDanyao Jin, Eirini Trichia et al.ARTICLEJournal of Epidemiology and…2023Referencias: 23

    BACKGROUND: Metabolic profiling (the extensive measurement of circulating metabolites across multiple biological pathways) is increasingly employed in clinical care. However, there is little evidence on the benefit of metabolic profiling as compared with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk scores. METHODS: UK Biobank is a prospective study of 0.5 million participants, aged 40-69 at recruitment. Analyses were restricted t…

  • Population-level risks of alcohol consumption by amount, geography, age, sex, and year

    Open AccessDana Bryazka, Marissa B Reitsma et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2022

    BACKGROUND: The health risks associated with moderate alcohol consumption continue to be debated. Small amounts of alcohol might lower the risk of some health outcomes but increase the risk of others, suggesting that the overall risk depends, in part, on background disease rates, which vary by region, age, sex, and year. METHODS: For this analysis, we constructed burden-weighted dose-response relative risk curves across 22 health outcomes to esti…

  • The burden of risk factors for non-communicable disease in rural Bihar, India

    Open AccessStephanie Ross, Kashika Chadha et al.ARTICLEBMC Public Health2022

    The prevalence of NCDs in rural India is higher than previously reported due to the older demographic in our survey. Future routine national health surveys must widen the age range of participants to reflect the changing disease profile of rural India, and inform the planning of health services

  • Long-term trends in population-based hospitalisation rates for myocardial infarction in England

    Open AccessF Lucy Wright, Nick Townsend et al.ARTICLEJournal of Epidemiology and…2022Referencias: 25

    AIM: To analyse the timing and scale of temporal changes in rates of hospitalised myocardial infarction (MI) in England by age and sex from 1968 to 2016. METHODS: MI admissions for adults aged 15-84 years were identified from electronic hospital data. We calculated age-standardised and age-specific rates, and examined trends using joinpoint. RESULTS: From 1968 to 2016, there were 3.5 million admissions for MI in England (68% men). Rates increased…

  • Global, regional, and national progress towards Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 for neonatal and child health

    Open AccessKatherine R Paulson, Katherine Paulson et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2021

    BACKGROUND: Sustainable Development Goal 3.2 has targeted elimination of preventable child mortality, reduction of neonatal death to less than 12 per 1000 livebirths, and reduction of death of children younger than 5 years to less than 25 per 1000 livebirths, for each country by 2030. To understand current rates, recent trends, and potential trajectories of child mortality for the next decade, we present the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, a…

  • Excess deaths associated with covid-19 pandemic in 2020

    Open AccessNazrul Islam, Vladimir M Shkolnikov et al.ARTICLEBMJ2021

  • Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019

    Open AccessMarissa B Reitsma, Parkes J Kendrick et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2021

    BACKGROUND: Ending the global tobacco epidemic is a defining challenge in global health. Timely and comprehensive estimates of the prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden are needed to guide tobacco control efforts nationally and globally. METHODS: We estimated the prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden for 204 countries and territories, by age and sex, from 1990 to 2019 as part of the Global B…

  • Global, regional, and national burden of stroke and its risk factors, 1990–2019

    Open AccessValery L Feigin, Benjamin A Stark et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet Neurology2021

    BACKGROUND: Regularly updated data on stroke and its pathological types, including data on their incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability, risk factors, and epidemiological trends, are important for evidence-based stroke care planning and resource allocation. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) aims to provide a standardised and comprehensive measurement of these metrics at global, regional, and national leve…

  • Body-mass index, blood pressure, diabetes and cardiovascular mortality in Cuba

    Open AccessNurys B Armas Rojas, Ben Lacey et al.ARTICLEBMC Public Health2021

    This large prospective study provides direct evidence for the effects of these major risk factors on cardiovascular mortality in Cuba. Despite comparatively low levels of these risk factors by international standards, the strength of their association with cardiovascular death means they nevertheless exert a substantial impact on premature mortality in Cuba

  • Social inequality and the syndemic of chronic disease and Covid-19

    Open AccessNazrul Islam, Ben Lacey et al.ARTICLEJournal of Epidemiology and…2021Citada por: 10Referencias: 14

    BACKGROUND: Given the effect of chronic diseases on risk of severe COVID-19 infection, the present pandemic may have a particularly profound impact on socially disadvantaged counties. METHODS: Counties in the USA were categorised into five groups by level of social vulnerability, using the Social Vulnerability Index (a widely used measure of social disadvantage) developed by the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The incidence and mor…

  • Global age-sex-specific fertility, mortality, healthy life expectancy (Hale), and population estimates in 204 countries and territories, 1950–2019

    Open AccessHaidong Wang, Kaja Abbas et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2020

    BACKGROUND: Accurate and up-to-date assessment of demographic metrics is crucial for understanding a wide range of social, economic, and public health issues that affect populations worldwide. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 produced updated and comprehensive demographic assessments of the key indicators of fertility, mortality, migration, and population for 204 countries and territories and selected sub…

  • Five insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

    Open AccessChristopher J L Murray, Cristiana Abbafati et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2020

  • Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risk Factors, 1990–2019

    Open AccessGregory A Roth, George A Mensah et al.ARTICLEJournal of the American College…2020

    Cardiovascular diseases (CVDs), principally ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke, are the leading cause of global mortality and a major contributor to disability. This paper reviews the magnitude of total CVD burden, including 13 underlying causes of cardiovascular death and 9 related risk factors, using estimates from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2019. GBD, an ongoing multinational collaboration to provide comparable and consisten…

  • Measuring universal health coverage based on an index of effective coverage of health services in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019

    Open AccessR Lozano, Nancy Fullman et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2020

    BACKGROUND: Achieving universal health coverage (UHC) involves all people receiving the health services they need, of high quality, without experiencing financial hardship. Making progress towards UHC is a policy priority for both countries and global institutions, as highlighted by the agenda of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and WHO's Thirteenth General Programme of Work (GPW13). Measuring effective coverage at the health-system le…

  • Physical distancing interventions and incidence of coronavirus disease 2019

    Open AccessNazrul Islam, Stephen J Sharp et al.ARTICLEBMJ2020

  • Global burden of 87 risk factors in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019

    Open AccessChristopher J L Murray, Aleksandr Y Aravkin et al.ARTICLEThe Lancet2020

    BACKGROUND: Rigorous analysis of levels and trends in exposure to leading risk factors and quantification of their effect on human health are important to identify where public health is making progress and in which cases current efforts are inadequate. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019 provides a standardised and comprehensive assessment of the magnitude of risk factor exposure, relative risk, and attribu…