Hylke de Vries

Datos Biográficos

ID7993731
NOMBREHylke de Vries
NOMBRESHylke
APELLIDOde Vries
FIRMADE VRIES H
AFILIACIONESRoyal Netherlands Meteorological Institute
ORCID0000-0002-6124-1102
VERIFICADOSí
TOTAL DE OBRAS7
TOTAL DE CITAS0
TOTAL COMO AUTOR7
TOTAL COMO EDITOR0
PRIMER AÑO DE PUBLICACIÓN2014
AÑO MÁS RECIENTE DE PUBLICACIÓN2022
ÍNDICE H0

  • Convection in future winter storms over Northern Europe

    Open AccessSégolène Berthou, Malcolm Roberts et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2022

    Precipitation within extratropical cyclones is very likely to increase towards the end of the century in a business-as-usual scenario. We investigate hourly precipitation changes in end-of-century winter storms with the first km-scale model ensemble covering northwest Europe and the Baltic region. This is an ensemble that explicitly represents convection (convection permitting models (CPMs)). Models agree that future winter storms will bring 10%–…

  • Cold waves are getting milder in the northern midlatitudes

    Open AccessGeert Jan van Oldenborgh, Eli Mitchell-Larson et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2019

    The strong two-day cold wave in the midwestern United States in January 2019 again ignited the discussion as to whether cold waves are getting more severe or not as a result of Arctic amplification due to climate change. Assessing the evolution of cold waves in the northern hemisphere midlatitudes in the observations has been difficult because the variability of cold waves is large compared to anthropogenic warming. In order to detect changes in …

  • Systematic increases in the thermodynamic response of hourly precipitation extremes in an idealized warming experiment with a convection-permitting climate model

    Open AccessGeert Lenderink, Danijel Belušić et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2019

    Changes in sub-daily precipitation extremes potentially lead to large impacts of climate change due to their influence on soil erosion, landslides, and flooding. However, these changes are still rather uncertain, with only limited high-resolution results available and a lack of fundamental knowledge on the processes leading to sub-daily extremes. Here, we study the response of hourly extremes in a convection-permitting regional climate model (CPR…

  • A high-end sea level rise probabilistic projection including rapid Antarctic ice sheet mass loss

    Open AccessDewi Le Bars, Sybren Drijfhout et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2017

    The potential for break-up of Antarctic ice shelves by hydrofracturing and following ice cliff instability might be important for future ice dynamics. One recent study suggests that the Antarctic ice sheet could lose a lot more mass during the 21st century than previously thought. This increased mass-loss is found to strongly depend on the emission scenario and thereby on global temperature change. We investigate the impact of this new informatio…

  • Resolution dependence of circulation forced future central European summer drying

    Open AccessRonald van Haren, Rein Haarsma et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2015

    Climate model based projections suggest a drying of the central European summer climate toward the end of the century. In this study we investigate the influence of the spatial resolution of an atmosphere-only climate model (EC-Earth at two resolutions, ∼25 and ∼112 km horizontal) on the simulated summer drying in this area. High resolution models have a more realistic representation of circulation in the current climate and could provide more co…

  • Preparing local climate change scenarios for the Netherlands using resampling of climate model output

    Open AccessGeert Lenderink, Bart van den Hurk et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2014

    A method to prepare a set of four climate scenarios for the Netherlands is presented. These scenarios for climate change in 2050 and 2085 (compared to present-day) are intended for general use in climate change adaptation in the Netherlands. An ensemble of eight simulations with the global model EC-Earth and the regional climate model RACMO2 (run at 12 km resolution) is used. For each scenario time horizon, two target values of the global mean te…

  • Constructing scenarios of regional sea level change using global temperature pathways

    Open AccessHylke de Vries, Caroline Katsman et al.ARTICLEEnvironmental Research Letters2014

    The effects of sea level change become increasingly relevant for the Dutch coast. Therefore we construct two scenarios for regional sea-level change in the 21st century. They are designed to follow two temperature pathways, in which global mean temperature rises moderately ('G', +1.5 K in 2085) or more substantially ('W', +3.5 K in 2085). Contributions from all major processes leading to sea level rise are included (ocean expansion, glacier melt,…