Nils Bochow

• The implications of overshooting 1.5 °C on Earth system tipping elements—a review

  Open Access•Paul Ritchie, Norman Julius Steinert et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2026

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  Due to insufficient emission reductions in recent years, it is increasingly likely that global warming will exceed the 1.5 °C temperature limit in the late 2020s or 2030s. As a result, several Earth system tipping elements could, at least temporarily, have their tipping points surpassed, posing risks of large-scale and profound structural change. Tipping does not always occur immediately upon crossing such a critical threshold. If the length of t…

• Arctic summer sea ice loss will accelerate in coming decades

  Open Access•Anna Poltronieri, Nils Bochow et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2024

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  The Arctic sea ice (ASI) is expected to decrease with further global warming. However, considerable uncertainty remains regarding the temperature range that would lead to a completely ice-free Arctic. Here, we combine satellite data and a large suite of models from the latest phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) to develop an empirical, observation-based projection of the September ASI area for increasing global mean surface…

• Arctic summer sea ice loss will accelerate in coming decades

  Open Access•Anna Poltronieri, Nils Bochow et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2024

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  The Arctic sea ice (ASI) is expected to decrease with further global warming. However, considerable uncertainty remains regarding the temperature range that would lead to a completely ice-free Arctic. Here, we combine satellite data and a large suite of models from the latest phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) to develop an empirical, observation-based projection of the September ASI area for increasing global mean surface…

• The implications of overshooting 1.5 °C on Earth system tipping elements—a review

  Open Access•Paul Ritchie, Norman Julius Steinert et al.•ARTICLE•Environmental Research Letters•2026

  Añadir item

  Due to insufficient emission reductions in recent years, it is increasingly likely that global warming will exceed the 1.5 °C temperature limit in the late 2020s or 2030s. As a result, several Earth system tipping elements could, at least temporarily, have their tipping points surpassed, posing risks of large-scale and profound structural change. Tipping does not always occur immediately upon crossing such a critical threshold. If the length of t…

Climate variability and models (2 obras) · Algorithm (1 obra) · Arctic (1 obra) · Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics (1 obra) · Climate change (1 obra) · Climate change and permafrost (1 obra) · Climatology (1 obra) · Computer Science (1 obra) · Coral reef (1 obra) · Earth system science (1 obra)