The delphi technique in urban forecasting

Datos Bibliográficos

ID10409199
AutoresDavid Ley (0000-0002-9112-4126, University of British Columbia, autor de correspondencia), D F Ley, G Anderson (University of Waterloo)
Año1975
Volumen9
Número3
Páginas243-249
Fecha de publicación1975-11-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessNo
TipoARTICLE
RevistaRegional Studies (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0034-3404 • E-ISSN: 1360-0591
EditorialRoutledge (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/09595237500185251
OpenAlexW2031764390
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas2
Referencias citadas11

Ley D. F. and Anderson G. (1975) The delphi technique in urban forecasting. Reg. Studies 9, 243–249. The adaptive system is information-consumptive; this attribute holds for social, urban and regional systems, and is particularly true for information of future states of the system's environment. The battery of forecasting techniques available to elicit this information may be categorized into technical and intuitive methodologies, each with advantages and shortcomings. The Delphi technique is suggested as a linking methodology which retains both systematization and firm contact with the real world. An empirical Delphi forecast of the urban future of Nanaimo, British Columbia indicates the versatility of the instrument, its avoidance of biases inherent in other methods, and its particular appropriateness to participatory planning

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