Climate Change Effects on River Flow to the Baltic Sea

River flow to the Baltic Sea originates under a range of different climate regimes in a drainage basin covering some 1 600 000 km2. Changes to the climate in the Baltic Basin will not only affect the total amount of freshwater flowing into the sea, but also the distribution of the origin of these flows. Using hydrological modeling, the effects of future climate change on river runoff to the Baltic Sea have been analyzed. Four different climate change scenarios from the Swedish Regional Climate Modelling Programme (SWE-CLIM) were used. The resulting change to total mean annual river flow to the Baltic Sea ranges from −2% to 15% of present-day flow according to the different climate scenarios. The magnitude of changes within different subregions of the basin varies considerably, with the most severe mean annual changes ranging from −30% to 40%. However, common to all of the scenarios evaluated is a general trend of reduced river flow from the south of the Bal Basin together with increased river flow from the north

Baltic sea · Climate change · Climate model · Climatology · Drainage basin · Geography · Hydrology (agriculture · Physical geography · Range (aeronautics · Streamflow · Structural basin · Surface runoff · Climate variability and models · Ecology · Environmental Science · Geology · Hydrology and Watershed Management Studies · Oceanography · Soil and Water Nutrient Dynamics

• Changes in specific runoff in river catchments of Western Pomerania versus climate change

  Open Access•Małgorzata Świątek, Szymon Walczakiewicz•Geographia Polonica•2022

  Añadir item

• A Late Holocene Stable Isotope and Carbon Accumulation Record from Teringi Bog in Southern Estonia

  Open Access•Nathan D Stansell, Eric S Klein et al.•Quaternary•2022

  Añadir item

• Value of adaptation in water protection — Economic impacts of uncertain climate change in the Baltic Sea

  Open Access•Lassi Ahlvik, Kari Hyytiäinen•Ecological Economics•2015

  Añadir item

• The Swedish Regional Climate Modelling Programme, SWECLIM

  Markku Rummukainen, Sten Bergström et al.•AMBIO•2004

  Añadir item

• Climate Change Impact on Riverine Nutrient Load and Land-Based Remedial Measures of the Baltic Sea Action Plan

  Open Access•Berit Arheimer, Joel Dahné et al.•AMBIO•2012

  Añadir item

• Future Nutrient Load Scenarios for the Baltic Sea Due to Climate and Lifestyle Changes

  Open Access•Hanna Eriksson Hägg, Steve W Lyon et al.•AMBIO•2014

  Añadir item

• Ecology, evolution, and management strategies of northern pike populations in the Baltic Sea

  Open Access•Per Larsson, Petter Tibblin et al.•AMBIO•2015

  Añadir item

• Impact of Climate Change on Ecological Quality Indicators and Biogeochemical Fluxes in the Baltic Sea

  Open Access•H E Markus Meier, Bärbel Müller-Karulis et al.•AMBIO•2012

  Añadir item

• Ensemble Modeling of the Baltic Sea Ecosystem to Provide Scenarios for Management

  Open Access•H E Markus Meier, Helén C Andersson et al.•AMBIO•2014

  Añadir item