Using the three horizons approach to explore pathways towards positive futures for agricultural landscapes with rich biodiversity
Datos Bibliográficos
| ID | 12949798 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Tamara Schaal (Leuphana University of Lüneburg, autor de correspondencia), Michael Mitchell (0000-0003-2052-7347, Charles Sturt University), Ben C Scheele (0000-0001-7284-629X, Australian National University), P Ryan (0000-0002-8505-028X), J Hanspach (0000-0002-6638-8699, Leuphana University of Lüneburg) |
| Año | 2023 |
| Volumen | 18 |
| Número | 3 |
| Páginas | 1271-1289 |
| Fecha de publicación | 2023-02-06 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sí |
| Open Access | Sí |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Revista | Sustainability Science (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores de la revista | ISSN: 1862-4057 • E-ISSN: 1862-4065 |
| Editorial | Springer Science+Business Media (PUBLISHER • DE) |
| DOI | 10.1007/s11625-022-01275-z |
| OpenAlex | W4319263634 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citas recibidas | 19 |
| Referencias citadas | 60 |
In light of the global challenges of the Anthropocene, including biodiversity loss, there are increasing calls for positive, inspirational futures to motivate action and help steer away from current, largely unsustainable trajectories. The three horizons framework is an approach in future studies that engages with normative futures and helps develop pathways towards them. However, this approach has not been applied to explore opportunities for biodiversity conservation with farming communities. We developed a template to apply the three horizons framework in combination with storytelling to explore positive futures for agricultural landscapes with rich biodiversity. We then applied this method over two workshops with a rural community in a farming landscape of south-eastern Australia facing typical contemporary challenges of an ageing population, climate change, biodiversity loss and global market uncertainty. In the workshops, six pathways for change were developed. We unpack these narratives of change to contrast problem framings, future aspirations and mechanisms of change and discuss implications for conservation. We discuss our approach to integrating diverse perspectives and values, creating actionable knowledge and highlight the role of governance and policy to support individual and collective agency. We conclude that the three horizons approach has the potential to create actionable knowledge through locally meaningful narratives of change, and thus influence priorities and empower local action. For lasting on-ground change, leadership and effective cross-scale governance is required
Agency (philosophy · Agriculture · Anthropocene · Biodiversity · Biology · Business · Collective action · Corporate governance · Economics · Environmental ethics · Environmental planning · Environmental resource management · Futures contract · Geography · Management · Political science · Social science · Sociology · Sustainability · Environmental Conservation and Management · Environmental Philosophy and Ethics · Sustainability and Climate Change Governance · Ecology
Leverage points for scaling nature‐based adaptation to climate change
Co-designing futures
Exploring cultural landscape narratives to understand challenges for collaboration and their implications for governance
Walking together by asking questions
Destination marketing organisations
Exploring the local nexus between human development and environmental sustainability
Designing for collective action
Towards a forward-looking ethnobiology
Toward global environmental scenarios for (and by) the ‘bottom billion’
Applying the Three Horizons approach in local and regional scenarios to support policy coherence in SDG implementation
Co-creating climate future pathways for northwestern Ghana
Exploring desired urban futures
Participatory backcasting towards desirable co-produced mobility futures
Leveraging value-based pathways for Indigenous food security through participatory scenario planning
The Regenerative Lens
Understanding the mechanisms of meaning-making for transformations toward sustainability
Uplifting local ecological knowledge as part of adaptation pathways to wildfire risk reduction
Relational visioning and the emerging future
Recipe for a scenario
Global food demand and the sustainable intensification of agriculture
Putting meaning back into “sustainable intensification”
Bright spots
Assessing the evidence for stakeholder engagement in biodiversity conservation
Farming and the Fate of Wild Nature
Pervasive human-driven decline of life on Earth points to the need for transformative change
Planetary boundaries
Geology of mankind
The co-production of sustainable future scenarios
Building capacities for transformative change towards sustainability
Imagination and transformations to sustainable and just futures
Imagining socioecological transformation
Avoiding a Post-truth World
Imagining transformative biodiversity futures
Biodiversity and the challenge of pluralism
Transformations to sustainability
Narrative matters for sustainability
Quality criteria for visions and visioning in sustainability science
Grounding global environmental assessments through bottom-up futures based on local practices and perspectives
Linking multiple values of nature with future impacts
A novel approach for co-producing positive scenarios that explore agency
Adapting transformation and transforming adaptation to climate change using a pathways approach
The Actionable Researcher
Challenges to scenario-guided adaptive action on food security under climate change
Plausible and desirable futures in the Anthropocene
Co-designing global target-seeking scenarios
Futures Research Methods and Applications in Natural Resources
You can’t be green if you’re in the red’
The role of scenarios in fostering collective action for sustainable development
What should we conserve? Farmer narratives on biodiversity values in the McLaren Vale, South Australia
Essence of backcasting
Scenarios of Good Anthropocenes in southern Africa
Scenario types and techniques
Past and future of backcasting
Farmer-driven Innovation in New South Wales, Australia
Scenarios for Community-based Approaches to Biodiversity Conservation
Imagined Futures
Seeds of good anthropocenes
Narratives of change
Six pillars
Shooting the Rapids
Participatory scenario planning in place-based social-ecological research
Promoting agency for social-ecological transformation
Using futures methods to create transformative spaces
New pathways for governing food system transformations
Three horizons
Stories in social-ecological knowledge cocreation
Studying the complexity of change
| Obras citantes distintas | 19 |
|---|---|
| Citas por año | 6,33 |
| Intervalo de citas | 2023 - 2026 (4) |
| Velocidad de citación | current |
| Altamente citado | No |
| Tipos de cita | Neutras: 17 |