Modelling the Effectiveness of Epidemic Control Measures in Preventing the Transmission of Covid-19 in Malaysia
Datos Bibliográficos
| ID | 15480792 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Balvinder Singh Gill (0000-0002-0738-2991, Ministry of Health), Vivek Jason Jayaraj (0000-0002-8131-9878, Ministry of Health), Sarbhan Singh (0000-0002-6602-1758, Ministry of Health), Sumarni Mohd Ghazali (0000-0001-5230-9569, Ministry of Health), Yoon Ling Cheong (0000-0002-2786-7195, Ministry of Health), Nuur Hafizah Md Iderus (0000-0002-3178-2549, Ministry of Health), Bala Murali Sundram (0000-0002-8805-1106, Ministry of Health), Tahir Aris (0000-0002-0205-3080, Ministry of Health), Hishamshah Mohd Ibrahim (0000-0002-0689-3095, Ministry of Health), Boon Hao Hong (0000-0002-2822-7480, Universiti Malaysia Sarawak), Jane Labadin (0000-0003-0508-4277, Universiti Malaysia Sarawak, autor de correspondencia) |
| Año | 2020 |
| Volumen | 17 |
| Número | 15 |
| Páginas | 5509-5509 |
| Fecha de publicación | 2020-07-30 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sí |
| Open Access | Sí |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Revista | International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores de la revista | ISSN: 1661-7827 • E-ISSN: 1660-4601 |
| Editorial | Multidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (PUBLISHER • CH) |
| DOI | 10.3390/ijerph17155509 |
| PMID | 32751669 |
| OpenAlex | W3045539027 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citas recibidas | 9 |
| Referencias citadas | 10 |
Malaysia is currently facing an outbreak of COVID-19. We aim to present the first study in Malaysia to report the reproduction numbers and develop a mathematical model forecasting COVID-19 transmission by including isolation, quarantine, and movement control measures. We utilized a susceptible, exposed, infectious, and recovered (SEIR) model by incorporating isolation, quarantine, and movement control order (MCO) taken in Malaysia. The simulations were fitted into the Malaysian COVID-19 active case numbers, allowing approximation of parameters consisting of probability of transmission per contact ( β ), average number of contacts per day per case ( ζ ), and proportion of close-contact traced per day ( q ). The effective reproduction number (R t ) was also determined through this model. Our model calibration estimated that ( β ), ( ζ ), and ( q ) were 0.052, 25 persons, and 0.23, respectively. The (R t ) was estimated to be 1.68. MCO measures reduce the peak number of active COVID-19 cases by 99.1% and reduce ( ζ ) from 25 (pre-MCO) to 7 (during MCO). The flattening of the epidemic curve was also observed with the implementation of these control measures. We conclude that isolation, quarantine, and MCO measures are essential to break the transmission of COVID-19 in Malaysia
2019-20 coronavirus outbreak · Basic reproduction number · Biology · Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19 · Environmental health · Infectious disease (medical specialty · Isolation (microbiology · Outbreak · Pandemic · Population · Quarantine · Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2 · Statistics · Telecommunications · Transmission (telecommunications · Computer Science · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · COVID-19 Pandemic Impacts · Demography · Mathematics · Medicine · SARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research · Ecology · Virology
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Perception of the Movement Control Order during the Covid-19 Pandemic
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Feasibility of controlling Covid-19 outbreaks by isolation of cases and contacts
Data Analysis
The reproductive number of Covid-19 is higher compared to Sars coronavirus
Herd Immunity
Incubation period of 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) infections among travellers from Wuhan, China, 20–28 January 2020
Nowcasting and forecasting the potential domestic and international spread of the 2019-nCoV outbreak originating in Wuhan, China
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| Obras citantes distintas | 9 |
|---|---|
| Citas por año | 1,5 |
| Intervalo de citas | 2020 - 2024 (5) |
| Velocidad de citación | recent |
| Altamente citado | No |
| Tipos de cita | Neutras: 9 |