Trends in Water Level and Flooding in Dhaka, Bangladesh and Their Impact on Mortality

Datos Bibliográficos

ID15482425
AutoresInsa Thiele-Eich (University of Bonn, autor de correspondencia), Katrin Burkart (0000-0001-6772-620X, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin), Clemens Simmer (0000-0003-3001-8642, University of Bonn)
Año2015
Volumen12
Número2
Páginas1196-1215
Fecha de publicación2015-01-22
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaInternational Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 1661-7827 • E-ISSN: 1660-4601
EditorialMultidisciplinary Digital Publishing Institute (PUBLISHER • CH)
DOI10.3390/ijerph120201196
PMID25648177
PMCIDPMC4344662
OpenAlexW2065195908
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas4
Referencias citadas36

Climate change is expected to impact flooding in many highly populated coastal regions, including Dhaka (Bangladesh), which is currently among the fastest growing cities in the world. In the past, high mortality counts have been associated with extreme flood events. We first analyzed daily water levels of the past 100 years in order to detect potential shifts in extremes. A distributed lag non-linear model was then used to examine the connection between water levels and mortality. Results indicate that for the period of 2003-2007, which entails two major flood events in 2004 and 2007, high water levels do not lead to a significant increase in relative mortality, which indicates a good level of adaptation and capacity to cope with flooding. However, following low water levels, an increase in mortality could be found. As our trend analysis of past water levels shows that minimum water levels have decreased during the past 100 years, action should be taken to ensure that the exposed population is also well-adapted to drought

Biology · Climate change · Coastal flood · Distributed lag · Environmental health · Flood myth · Flooding (psychology · Geography · Lag · Mortality rate · Population · Sea level rise · Water level · Water resource management · Climate Change and Health Impacts · Demography · Environmental Science · Flood Risk Assessment and Management · Hydrology and Drought Analysis · Medicine · Ecology