A simple scaling approach to produce climate scenarios of local precipitation extremes for the Netherlands
Datos Bibliográficos
| ID | 15545992 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Geert Lenderink (0000-0002-1572-4867, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, autor de correspondencia), Jisk Attema (0000-0002-0948-1176, Netherlands eScience Center) |
| Año | 2015 |
| Volumen | 10 |
| Número | 8 |
| Páginas | 085001-085001 |
| Fecha de publicación | 2015-08-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sí |
| Open Access | Sí |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Revista | Environmental Research Letters (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores de la revista | ISSN: 1748-9326 • E-ISSN: 1748-9326 |
| Editorial | IOP Publishing (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1088/1748-9326/10/8/085001 |
| OpenAlex | W2167573463 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citas recibidas | 9 |
| Referencias citadas | 48 |
Scenarios of future changes in small scale precipitation extremes for the Netherlands are presented. These scenarios are based on a new approach whereby changes in precipitation extremes are set proportional to the change in water vapor amount near the surface as measured by the 2m dew point temperature. This simple scaling framework allows the integration of information derived from: (i) observations, (ii) a new unprecedentedly large 16 member ensemble of simulations with the regional climate model RACMO2 driven by EC-Earth, and (iii) short term integrations with a non-hydrostatic model Harmonie. Scaling constants are based on subjective weighting (expert judgement) of the three different information sources taking also into account previously published work. In all scenarios local precipitation extremes increase with warming, yet with broad uncertainty ranges expressing incomplete knowledge of how convective clouds and the atmospheric mesoscale circulation will react to climate change
Atmospheric sciences · Climate change · Climate model · Climatology · Geography · Mesoscale meteorology · Meteorology · Physics · Precipitation · Scale (ratio · Scaling · Weighting · Atmospheric and Environmental Gas Dynamics · Climate variability and models · Environmental Science · Mathematics · Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations · Geology
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| Obras citantes distintas | 9 |
|---|---|
| Citas por año | 0,82 |
| Intervalo de citas | 2015 - 2024 (10) |
| Velocidad de citación | recent |
| Altamente citado | No |
| Tipos de cita | Neutras: 9 |