Mortality trends and projections in Hong Kong
Datos Bibliográficos
| ID | 18975652 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Jianping Wang (0000-0002-1890-3238, Shanghai University, autor de correspondencia) |
| Año | 2022 |
| Volumen | 54 |
| Número | 2 |
| Páginas | 178-199 |
| Fecha de publicación | 2022-03-15 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sí |
| Open Access | No |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Revista | Chinese Sociological Review (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores de la revista | ISSN: 2162-0555 • E-ISSN: 2162-0563 |
| Editorial | Informa UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1080/21620555.2021.2007369 |
| OpenAlex | W4200216729 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Referencias citadas | 31 |
Hong Kong has experienced a steady decline in mortality during the past several decades, and Hong Kong now life expectancy are among the highest in the world. Given the very low mortality already achieved, is there much more room for further improvement in Hong Kong's mortality decline? This paper examined how age-specific mortality by sex in Hong Kong has changed over time, and applied the Lee–Carter model to mortality projections in Hong Kong for next 50 years. When using Lee–Carter model, we dealt with the possible divergence in mortality projection for males and females over time, and take a shorter projection base period to meet the assumption of the parameters describing the age pattern of mortality decline being invariant. If we compare the results with the most recent official forecasts, projections on mortality decline in this paper are more optimistic than the official forecasts
China · Developed country · Geography · Life expectancy · Mortality rate · Population · Population projection · Projections of population growth · Research methodology · Sociology · Demography · Global Health Care Issues · Health disparities and outcomes · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management · Mathematics
Aging, Natural Death, and the Compression of Morbidity
Broken Limits to Life Expectancy
A universal pattern of mortality decline in the G7 countries
Demographic forecasting
An Upper Limit to Human Longevity
Forecasting Mortality
Coherent mortality forecasts for a group of populations
Extending the Lee-Carter Method to Model the Rotation of Age Patterns of Mortality Decline for Long-Term Projections
Optimizing the Lee-Carter Approach in the Presence of Structural Changes in Time and Age Patterns of Mortality Improvements
Evaluating the performance of the lee-carter method for forecasting mortality
Coherent Mortality Forecasting
Bayesian Population Forecasting
A Poisson common factor model for projecting mortality and life expectancy jointly for females and males
Demographic Perspectives on Human Senescence
Limits to Human Life Expectancy
Reductions in Mortality at Advanced Ages
Oldest Old Mortality in China
| Velocidad de citación | historical |
|---|---|
| Altamente citado | No |