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Recent U.S. Macroeconomic Stability

Good Policies, Good Practices, or Good Luck

Datos Bibliográficos

ID19318690
AutoresShaghil Ahmed (Federal Reserve), Andrew Levin (0000-0002-5309-2864), Andrew T Levin (0000-0002-1136-6900, Federal Reserve), Beth Anne Wilson (Federal Reserve)
Año2004
Volumen86
Número3
Páginas824-832
Fecha de publicación2004-08-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessNo
TipoARTICLE
RevistaThe Review of Economics and Statistics (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0034-6535 • E-ISSN: 1530-9142
EditorialMIT Press - Journals (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1162/0034653041811662
OpenAlexW2100636337
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas19
Referencias citadas5

The volatility of U.S. real GDP growth since 1984 has been markedlylowerthanoverthepreviousquartercentury.Weutilizefrequency-domain and VAR methods to distinguish among competing explanations for this reduction: improvements in monetary policy, better business practices, and a fortuitous reduction in exogenous disturbances. We find that reduced innovation variances account for much of the decline in aggregate output volatility, suggesting that good luck is the most likely explanation. Good practices and good policy appear to have played a more important role in explaining the post-1984 decline in the volatility of consumer price inflation

Business cycle · Econometrics · Economics · Inflation (cosmology) · Luck · Macroeconomics · Monetary economics · Monetary policy · Volatility (finance) · Economic Growth and Productivity · Market Dynamics and Volatility · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Obras citantes distintas19
Citas por año0,86
Intervalo de citas2004 - 2022 (19)
Velocidad de citaciónhistorical
Altamente citadoNo
Tipos de citaNeutras: 17
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