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Japan and China

The Next Fifty Years

Datos Bibliográficos

ID2132004
AutoresVaclav Smil (0000-0002-8142-298X, autor de correspondencia)
Año2006
Volumen4
Número9
Fecha de publicación2006-09-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaJapan focus (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 1557-4660 • E-ISSN: 1557-4660
EditorialCambridge University Press (CUP) (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1017/s1557466006005377
OpenAlexW4410181364
IdiomaEN

Major trends that are gradually changing the fortunes of nations and reshaping world history are not easy to identify. There are three key reasons for this. First, many important trends unfold so insidiously that they are recognized only ex post once the developments reach a breaking point and a long-term trend ends in a stunning discontinuity. Second, we cannot foresee which trends will become so embedded as to be seemingly immune to external forces and which ones will suddenly veer away from predictable lines. Third, what follows afterward is often equally unpredictable: the beginning of a new long-lasting trend or a prolonged oscillation, a further intensification or an irreversible weakening

Ancient history · Archaeology · China · Geography · History · International Relations and Foreign Policy

Velocidad de citaciónhistorical
Altamente citadoNo
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