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Orochi impact formula

An evidence-based approach for quantifying the societal harm of County Lines drug supply

Datos Bibliográficos

ID21372425
AutoresCoral J Dando (0000-0002-6196-8475, Deptartment of Psychology, University of Westminster, London, UK, autor de correspondencia), Anthony Jones (0009-0003-7335-8775, Metropolitan Police, London, UK), Anthony K Jones (Metropolitan Police Service), Nick Harvey (Cellebrite Ltd., London, UK), Rebecca Milne (0000-0002-4542-8495, Instutute of Criminal Justice Studies, University of Portsmouth, Portsmouth, UK)
Año2025
Volumen98
Número1
Páginas76-86
Fecha de publicación2025-03-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaThe Police Journal Theory Practice and Principles (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0032-258X • E-ISSN: 1740-5599
EditorialSAGE Publications (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/0032258x241239017
OpenAlexW4392862038
IdiomaEN
Referencias citadas25

The County Lines (CL) drug supply model is a rapidly increasing threat. Metropolitan Police Specialist Crime have developed a statistical formula, referred to as ‘Orochi impact formula’ for conservatively quantifying the quantity and monetary value of drugs sold per line. The novel formula, which uses known average daily consumption rates of Class A drug and customer demand telephony data, conservatively indicates deal line trade, systematically differentiating between deal lines to quantify the relative impact of each. This evidence-based approach has potential for supporting (i) prosecution of line holders, (ii) determining sentencing deterrents, and (iii) wider public information and knowledge exchange

Business · Drug · Harm · Harm reduction · Political science · Public health · Crime, Illicit Activities, and Governance · Law · Medicine · Nursing · Pharmacology · Supply Chain Resilience and Risk Management

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