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Liquidity Preference, Interest Rate Spread, and the Transformation of the US Financial System

Datos Bibliográficos

ID21549331
AutoresYeo Hyub Yoon (0000-0002-6716-841X, University of Denver, Denver, CO, USA, autor de correspondencia), Grishma Neupane (University of Denver, Denver, CO, USA)
Año2024
Volumen56
Número4
Páginas497-509
Fecha de publicación2024-12-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaReview of Radical Political Economics (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0486-6134 • E-ISSN: 1552-8502
EditorialSAGE Publications (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1177/04866134241275185
OpenAlexW4403360287
IdiomaEN
Referencias citadas11

This article examines empirical patterns of interest rate spreads between yields on long-term corporate bonds and the Federal Funds Rate (FFR) in the United States over the period from 1960 through 2023. Since the early 1980s, discernible patterns of interest spreads have emerged, revealing marked deviations in corporate bond yields from the FFR. We focus on financial market forces particularly arising from financial intermediaries in analyzing these patterns. To this end, the article develops a theoretical framework based on the concept of liquidity preference in Keynes’s 1937 papers and the works of Hyman Minsky and Victoria Chick. We also conduct cointegration analyses for corporate bond yields, the FFR, and financial intermediaries’ leverage ratios. Overall, our empirical results indicate that the relationship between the FFR and corporate bond yields—particularly with respect to their long-run relationship and interest rate markups—has markedly changed since the 1980s and is significantly affected by financial intermediaries’ asset/capital leverage ratios. As a policy implication, regulatory reforms aimed at enhancing the Federal Reserve Bank’s capacity to steer long-term rates and contain intermediaries’ balance sheet leverage, particularly those centered on risky asset trading to increase gains from price differentials, are required JEL Classification: B26, E11, E43, E52

Business · Economics · Financial system · Interest rate · Liquidity preference · Market liquidity · Microeconomics · Monetary economics · Preference · Banking stability, regulation, efficiency · Economic theories and models · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

  • The general theory of employment, interest, and money

    John Maynard Keynes•The general theory of employment,…•1991

  • John Maynard Keynes

    Open Access•Hyman P Minsky•John Maynard Keynes•1975

  • Alternative Theories of the Rate of Interest

    John Maynard Keynes•The Economic Journal•1937

  • The "Ex-Ante" Theory of the Rate of Interest

    John Maynard Keynes•The Economic Journal•1937

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