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Collective Action and the Self-Fulfilling Prophecy

The Case of the Panama Papers Protest in Iceland

Datos Bibliográficos

ID2234875
AutoresJon Gunnar Bernburg (0000-0001-7534-7613, University of Iceland, autor de correspondencia)
Año2022
Volumen38
Número2
Páginas304-320
Fecha de publicación2022-03-22
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaEuropean Sociological Review (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0266-7215 • E-ISSN: 1468-2672
EditorialOxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1093/esr/jcab051
OpenAlexW3209137185
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas3
Referencias citadas59

Social theory implies that a rise in the expectation that many will participate in collective action can make participation in the action widely rational, giving rise to a 'self-fulfilling prophecy'. I address this classic, yet understudied, proposition by surveying participation in a demonstration that the 'Panama Papers Leak' triggered in Iceland in 2016. The demonstration was preceded by a sudden rise of large-turnout expectations, and attracted one-fifth of an urban population, allowing me to obtain event-specific, population-representative survey measures of the focal constructs (N = 821). The findings support hypotheses about the role of large-turnout expectations in collective action. They confirm that protest support (i.e. the value placed in the goal of the collective action) both raises large-turnout expectations and moderates their effects on protest participation. In fact, large-turnout expectations were associated with participation only if individuals supported the protest. Also, the findings imply that large-protest expectations trigger interpersonal relational dynamics that further motivate participation. The study thus supports and yet qualifies the role of the self-fulfilling prophecy in collective action

Action (physics) · Collective action · Economics · Epistemology · Event (particle physics) · Interpersonal communication · Political science · Politics · Population · Positive economics · Proposition · Sociology · Turnout · Value (mathematics) · Demography · Law · Political Conflict and Governance · Psychology · Religion and Society Interactions · Social Psychology · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence

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Obras citantes distintas3
Citas por año3
Intervalo de citas2025 - 2025 (1)
Velocidad de citaciónrecent
Altamente citadoNo
Tipos de citaNeutras: 3
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