An analysis of spatial correlates of terrorism using risk terrain modeling

Datos Bibliográficos

ID4086572
AutoresIsmail Onat (0000-0001-9756-9153, University of Scranton, autor de correspondencia)
Año2019
Volumen31
Número2
Páginas277-298
Fecha de publicación2019-03-04
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessNo
TipoARTICLE
RevistaTerrorism and Political Violence (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0954-6553 • E-ISSN: 1556-1836
EditorialInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/09546553.2016.1215309
OpenAlexW2512853275
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas6

The purpose of this study is to identify correlates of terrorism in space. It examines whether places with terrorist incidents show similar patterns with respect to the physical features across landscape, and tests the spatial influence of various features of environment on the incidence of terrorism. Drawing on the locations of violent terrorist offenses committed between 2008 and 2012, the study in Istanbul applies the Risk Terrain Modeling framework to terrorism. It uses data on police incidents and infrastructure (e.g., government buildings or parks). The analysis employs GIS techniques and an event count model, and combines all risky layers in a composite map to understand where the risk is higher. The study suggests a concentration of 1153 violent terrorist incidents relative to key physical factors by identifying seventeen potential risk factors, eight of which were significantly correlated in the model. Regardless of terrorists’ intent, the significantly associated establishments increase the risk in the surrounding areas where these features are located. The coexistence of leisure places such as bakeries, religious facilities, or eateries results in higher risks. While the environmental backcloth may constitute a risk for terrorism, its components may also help forecast the locations of terrorist incidents in the future

Archaeology · Cartography · Computer security · Criminology · Geography · Political science · Terrain · Terrorism · Computer Science · Psychology · Terrorism, Counterterrorism, and Political Violence