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Forecasting Models of Retail Rents

Datos Bibliográficos

ID4139364
AutoresChris Brooks (0009-0003-4507-357X, University of Reading, autor de correspondencia), Sotiris Tsolaco (Jones Lang LaSalle, 22 Hanover Square, London W1A 2BN, England), Sotiris Tsolacos (0000-0001-5771-212X, Jones Lang LaSalle, 22 Hanover Square, London W1A 2BN, England, autor de correspondencia)
Año2000
Volumen32
Número10
Páginas1825-1839
Fecha de publicación2000-10-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaEnvironment and Planning A Economy and Space (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0308-518X • E-ISSN: 1472-3409
EditorialSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1068/a3332
OpenAlexW2023047851
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas3
Referencias citadas21

The authors model retail rents in the United Kingdom with use of vector-autoregressive and time-series models. Two retail rent series are used, compiled by LaSalle Investment Management and CB Hillier Parker, and the emphasis is on forecasting. The results suggest that the use of the vector-autoregression and time-series models in this paper can pick up important features of the data that are useful for forecasting purposes. The relative forecasting performance of the models appears to be subject to the length of the forecast time-horizon. The results also show that the variables which were appropriate for inclusion in the vector-autoregression systems differ between the two rent series, suggesting that the structure of optimal models for predicting retail rents could be specific to the rent index used. Ex ante forecasts from our time-series suggest that both LaSalle Investment Management and CB Hillier Parker real retail rents will exhibit an annual growth rate above their long-term mean

Autoregressive integrated moving average · Autoregressive model · Econometrics · Economic rent · Economics · Ex-ante · Macroeconomics · Microeconomics · STAR model · Statistics · Time series · Vector autoregression · Computer Science · Economics of Agriculture and Food Markets · Housing Market and Economics · Mathematics · Monetary Policy and Economic Impact

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Obras citantes distintas3
Citas por año0,15
Intervalo de citas2006 - 2025 (20)
Velocidad de citaciónrecent
Altamente citadoNo
Tipos de citaNeutras: 3
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