Citizen forecasting
Can UK voters see the future
Datos Bibliográficos
| ID | 4170668 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Michael S Lewis-Beck (0000-0003-0301-5497, University of Iowa), Mary Stegmaier (0000-0001-6022-9307, University of Virginia) |
| Año | 2011 |
| Volumen | 30 |
| Número | 2 |
| Páginas | 264-268 |
| Fecha de publicación | 2011-06-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sí |
| Open Access | Sí |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Revista | Electoral Studies (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores de la revista | ISSN: 0261-3794 • E-ISSN: 1873-6890 |
| Editorial | Elsevier BV (PUBLISHER) |
| DOI | 10.1016/j.electstud.2010.09.012 |
| OpenAlex | W1997454391 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citas recibidas | 28 |
| Referencias citadas | 19 |
Economics · General election · Microeconomics · Outcome (game theory · Political science · Politics · Public relations · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Fiscal Policies and Political Economy · Housing Market and Economics · Law
Election Forecasting, Scientific Approaches
Citizens’ Electoral Expectations in Imperfect Democracies
The Party Leadership Model
Accuracy gains of adding vote expectation surveys to a combined forecast of US presidential election outcomes
Citizen Forecasts of the 2008 U . S . Presidential Election
Predicting in an (increasingly) unpredictable system? Forty years of election forecasting in France
Local knowledge, local learning and predicting election outcomes
A Technocratic View of Election Forecasting
Accuracy of Vote Expectation Surveys in Forecasting Elections
Can citizens guess how other citizens voted based on demographic characteristics
What Influences Citizen Forecasts? The Effects of Information, Elite Cues, and Social Cues
Voice or exit? Political corruption and voting intentions in Hungary
Incumbency and Competitiveness in City Council Elections
Le potentiel de croissance du Parti québécois
Vote Expectations Versus Vote Intentions
Citizen Forecasting
Citizen Forecasting 2020
Citizen Forecasts of the 2021 German Election
Did you see it coming? Explaining the accuracy of voter expectations for district and (sub)national election outcomes in multi-party systems
Forecasting proportional representation elections from non-representative expectation surveys
Echoing certainty in uncertain times
Forecasting the 2015 British general election
The wisdom of crowds
"Wisdom of crowds"? A decentralised election forecasting model that uses citizens' local expectations
Vote expectations at the next level. Trying to predict vote shares in the 2013 German federal election by polling expectations
Detecting manipulation in authoritarian elections
The evolution of election forecasting models in the UK
The wisdom of crowds design for sensitive survey questions
The United Kingdom
Popularity Function Forecasts for the 2005 UK General Election
Forecasting the 2005 General Election
Forecasting Seats from Votes in British General Elections
Election Forecasting
Modelers v. Pollsters
Changing the Boundaries but Keeping the Disproportionality
Nowcasting V. polling
Government Popularity and the Next General Election
The Electoral System
The PM and the Pendulum
The Politics of Institutional Choice
Electoral Forecasting from Poll Data
Citizen Forecasting
General election forecasting in Britain
Forecasting British elections
Evaluating rival forecasting models of the 2005 general election in Britain - An encompassing experiment
| Obras citantes distintas | 28 |
|---|---|
| Citas por año | 1,87 |
| Intervalo de citas | 2011 - 2025 (15) |
| Velocidad de citación | recent |
| Altamente citado | No |
| Tipos de cita | Neutras: 28 |