Systematic and chance components in fertility measurement

Datos Bibliográficos

ID4267753
AutoresJohn C Barrett (0000-0002-1152-370X), W Bra, W Brass
Año1974
Volumen28
Número3
Páginas473-493
Fecha de publicación1974-11-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessNo
TipoARTICLE
RevistaPopulation Studies (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0032-4728 • E-ISSN: 1477-4747
EditorialInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00324728.1974.10405194
PMID22077738
OpenAlexW2013602439
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas11
Referencias citadas11

A Monte Carlo simulation model of fertility is developed to incorporate a decline in fecundability with age of women as well as a variation between women, and a family planning strategy in which couples prefer certain sizes of families and seek to lengthen the last planned birth interval. In the simulation of family planning and non-family planning populations, segmental parity tables are computed. These are tables in which the numbers of women in the columns representing the completed family sizes are sub-divided by rows representing the sizes of the families for shorter durations of marriage. The couples' success in their plans, under various conditions, and the rapidity with which family sizes stabilize, are among the results obtained from the simulation. The application of the tables to the estimation of family size preferences from observed family size distributions is also discussed

Family planning · Fertility · Monte Carlo method · Parity (physics) · Physics · Population · Research methodology · Sociology · Statistics · Demography · Family Dynamics and Relationships · Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management · Mathematics