The Tipping-Point Model

Prediction of Change in the Racial Composition of Cleveland, Ohio, Neighborhoods, 1940-1970

Datos Bibliográficos

ID4883368
AutoresWilliam A Schwab (0009-0005-2710-8411, University of Arkansas at Fayetteville), E Marsh (Department of Sociology, University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, Arkansas 72701, USA), Elizabeth J Marsh (0000-0003-0456-9547, University of Arkansas at Fayetteville)
Año1980
Volumen12
Número4
Páginas385-398
Fecha de publicación1980-04-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaEnvironment and Planning A Economy and Space (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0308-518X • E-ISSN: 1472-3409
EditorialSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1068/a120385
OpenAlexW2036361838
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas14
Referencias citadas26

The tipping-point model of neighborhood change is tested for the years 1940-1970. The model posits that once a white area reaches a certain percentage of Negro residents the area will become completely Negro. Recent work by Steinnes (1977), who used a regression analysis of a sample of Chicago census tracts, supports the tipping-point concept. The present replication with Cleveland, Ohio, data differs from the earlier work in three ways: (1) control for sectoral growth patterns; (2) use of the entire population of Cleveland's tracts, rather than a sample of tracts, to determine whether the model is generalizable to the entire city; and (3) an expansion of the time frame of the study. The tipping-point model does not appear to be generalizable to the entire city of Cleveland. The findings suggest that social, economic, and historical factors need to be included in the model

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