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Models for the estimation of the probability of dying between birth and exact ages of early childhood

Datos Bibliográficos

ID4894493
AutoresJeremiah M Sullivan (autor de correspondencia)
Año1972
Volumen26
Número1
Páginas79-97
Fecha de publicación1972-03-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessNo
TipoARTICLE
RevistaPopulation Studies (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0032-4728 • E-ISSN: 1477-4747
EditorialInforma UK Limited (PUBLISHER • GB)
DOI10.1080/00324728.1972.10405204
PMID22070174
OpenAlexW2022937275
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas35
Referencias citadas2

This paper develops two models, each of which is designed to estimate the probability of surviving from birth to selected exact ages of early childhood: namely ages two, three and five. The models are designed for use in areas with deficient registration systems. They require, as input, statistics which can be derived from retrospective data supplied by census or survey respondents. The first model, the age model, converts statistics on the proportion dead of children ever born to women in age groups 20-24, 25-29 and 30-34 into estimates of q2, q3 and q5. The second model, the marriage model, converts statistics on the proportion dead of children ever born to women of five-year marriage duration intervals into these estimates. The models can be used independently or simultaneously. These models were developed from data generated by a large number of empirical fertility and mortality schedules. Regression analysis was used to determine the parameter values of the relationships specified, and several sets of equations for estimating values of qa, for a = 2, 3 and 5 comprise the final product of the paper. It should be noted that the conceptual basis for the models was first derived by William Brass. The data generated for the regression analysis provided an opportunity to test the original Brass estimated model. We are able to report that the model performed well over the wide range of fertility and mortality conditions included in the test

Census · Econometrics · Estimation · Fertility · Population · Regression · Regression analysis · Sociology · Statistics · Birth, Development, and Health · Child Nutrition and Water Access · Demography · Engineering · Global Maternal and Child Health · Mathematics

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Obras citantes distintas35
Citas por año0,69
Intervalo de citas1975 - 2023 (49)
Velocidad de citaciónhistorical
Altamente citadoNo
Tipos de citaNeutras: 26
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