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Modeling workplace contact networks

The effects of organizational structure, architecture, and reporting errors on epidemic predictions

Datos Bibliográficos

ID6161606
AutoresGail E Potter (0000-0001-6667-6992, California Polytechnic State University), Timo Smieszek (0000-0003-1681-9777, Public Health England), Kerstin Sailer (0000-0001-6066-7737, University College London)
Año2015
Volumen3
Número3
Páginas298-325
Fecha de publicación2015-07-30
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaNetwork Science (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 2050-1250 • E-ISSN: 2050-1242
EditorialCambridge University Press (PUBLISHER • US)
DOI10.1017/nws.2015.22
PMID26634122
OpenAlexW2207150697
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas6
Referencias citadas47

Face-to-face social contacts are potentially important transmission routes for acute respiratory infections, and understanding the contact network can improve our ability to predict, contain, and control epidemics. Although workplaces are important settings for infectious disease transmission, few studies have collected workplace contact data and estimated workplace contact networks. We use contact diaries, architectural distance measures, and institutional structures to estimate social contact networks within a Swiss research institute. Some contact reports were inconsistent, indicating reporting errors. We adjust for this with a latent variable model, jointly estimating the true (unobserved) network of contacts and duration-specific reporting probabilities. We find that contact probability decreases with distance, and that research group membership, role, and shared projects are strongly predictive of contact patterns. Estimated reporting probabilities were low only for 0–5 min contacts. Adjusting for reporting error changed the estimate of the duration distribution, but did not change the estimates of covariate effects and had little effect on epidemic predictions. Our epidemic simulation study indicates that inclusion of network structure based on architectural and organizational structure data can improve the accuracy of epidemic forecasting models

Covariate · Econometrics · Latent variable · Machine learning · Social network (sociolinguistics · Complex Network Analysis Techniques · Computer Science · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Mathematics · Mental Health Research Topics · Artificial Intelligence

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Obras citantes distintas6
Citas por año0,6
Intervalo de citas2016 - 2024 (9)
Velocidad de citaciónrecent
Altamente citadoNo
Tipos de citaNeutras: 6
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