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Do Outbreaks of War Follow a Poisson-Process

Datos Bibliográficos

ID6283466
AutoresHenk Houweling, H W Houweling, Jan B Kuné (University of Amsterdam)
Año1984
Volumen28
Número1
Páginas51-61
Fecha de publicación1984-03-01
Peer ReviewedSí
Open AccessSí
TipoARTICLE
RevistaJournal of Conflict Resolution (JOURNAL)
Identificadores de la revistaISSN: 0022-0027 • E-ISSN: 1552-8766
EditorialSAGE Publications Inc (PUBLISHER)
DOI10.1177/0022002784028001003
OpenAlexW2080498018
IdiomaEN
Citas recibidas7
Referencias citadas9

Richardson's finding that the distribution of war outbreaks in time conforms to the Poisson distribution has been repeated over and over again. In this article, we argue that the close correspondence between the two distributions does not imply that the mechanism generating the data is the Poisson process. Because the time sequence is broken down in Richardson's analysis, his finding does not imply that war outbreaks follow a distinct pattern in time. The Parzen test on arrival times revealed that war outbreaks are not generated by a Poisson random process

Biology · Distribution (mathematics · Econometrics · Mathematical analysis · Outbreak · Poisson distribution · Poisson process · Sequence (biology · Statistics · COVID-19 epidemiological studies · Mathematics · Statistical Mechanics and Entropy

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Obras citantes distintas7
Citas por año0,17
Intervalo de citas1985 - 2026 (42)
Velocidad de citacióncurrent
Altamente citadoNo
Tipos de citaNeutras: 7
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