Working Class Votes and Conservative Losses
Solving the Ukip Puzzle
Datos Bibliográficos
| ID | 6309366 |
|---|---|
| Autores | Geoffrey M Evans (0000-0003-2036-7814), Geoffrey Evans (0009-0003-8488-0227), Jonathan Mellon (0000-0001-6754-203X, University of Oxford), Jon Mellon |
| Año | 2016 |
| Volumen | 69 |
| Número | 2 |
| Páginas | 464-479 |
| Fecha de publicación | 2016-04-01 |
| Peer Reviewed | Sí |
| Open Access | No |
| Tipo | ARTICLE |
| Revista | Parliamentary Affairs (JOURNAL) |
| Identificadores de la revista | ISSN: 0031-2290 • E-ISSN: 1460-2482 |
| Editorial | Oxford University Press (PUBLISHER • GB) |
| DOI | 10.1093/pa/gsv005 |
| OpenAlex | W2091275095 |
| Idioma | EN |
| Citas recibidas | 53 |
| Referencias citadas | 30 |
Opinions are divided on whether the Conservatives or Labour need to worry most about UK Independence Party (UKIP) in the 2015 General Election. How do we reconcile evidence of substantial levels of UKIP support among traditional working class voters, and in Labour constituencies, with evidence that UKIP voters report voting Conservative in 2010? In this article, we resolve this implicit contradiction using long-term panel data to examine the sequencing of vote switching from Labour to UKIP. We argue that Labour's move to the ‘liberal consensus’ on the EU and immigration led to many of their core voters defecting before UKIP were an effective political presence. We show that not only is the working-class basis of UKIP overstated but the party is mainly attracting disaffected former Labour voters from the Conservatives and elsewhere, which is why the Conservatives, not Labour, will feel most of the electoral pain in 2015
Ballot · Conservatism · Economics · General election · Independence (probability theory · Political economy · Political science · Politics · Voting · Electoral Systems and Political Participation · Law · Populism, Right-Wing Movements · Social Policy and Reform Studies
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| Obras citantes distintas | 53 |
|---|---|
| Citas por año | 5,3 |
| Intervalo de citas | 2016 - 2026 (11) |
| Velocidad de citación | current |
| Altamente citado | No |
| Tipos de cita | Neutras: 53 |